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Early-warning signals for critical transitions.

Nature

Animals, Asthma, physiopathology, Climate, Ecosystem, Eutrophication, Extinction, Biological, Humans, Models, Biological, Models, Economic, Seizures, Stochastic Processes

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      Abstract

      Complex dynamical systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate, can have tipping points at which a sudden shift to a contrasting dynamical regime may occur. Although predicting such critical points before they are reached is extremely difficult, work in different scientific fields is now suggesting the existence of generic early-warning signals that may indicate for a wide class of systems if a critical threshold is approaching.

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      19727193
      10.1038/nature08227

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