Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020

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Abstract

As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.

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Author and article information

Journal

Journal ID (nlm-ta): Euro Surveill

Journal ID (iso-abbrev): Euro Surveill

Journal ID (publisher-id): eurosurveillance

Title: Eurosurveillance

Publisher: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)

ISSN (Print): 1025-496X

ISSN (Electronic): 1560-7917

Publication date (Print): 30 January 2020

Volume: 25

Issue: 4

Electronic Location Identifier: 2000057

Affiliations

[1 ]INSERM, Sorbonne Université, Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, IPLESP, Paris, France

[2 ]Center for Biomedical Modeling, The Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States

Author notes

Correspondence: Vittoria Colizza ( vittoria.colizza@ 123456inserm.fr )

Article

Publisher ID: 2000057 Publisher ID: 2000057

DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057

PMC ID: 7001240

PubMed ID: 32019667

SO-VID: efdc4fd7-c4b5-4225-b94b-66e23821bf93

License:

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.