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      Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Iran: Actions and problems

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      Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology
      Cambridge University Press

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          Abstract

          To the Editor—Coronaviruses (CoV) are a large family of viruses that cause illness ranging from the common cold to more severe diseases such as Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS-CoV) and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS-CoV). Investigations have shown that SARS-CoV was transmitted from civet cats to humans and MERS-CoV from dromedary camels to humans. Coronaviruses are present in humans and many different species of animals, including camels, cattle, cats, and bats. Rarely, animal coronaviruses can infect people and then spread between people such as MERS-CoV, SARS-CoV, and the new virus named SARS-CoV-2. 1,2 The SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus was first detected in China, and the disease it causes has been named “coronavirus disease 2019,” which is abbreviated “COVID-19.” Common signs of this infection include respiratory symptoms, fever, cough, shortness of breath, and breathing difficulties. In more severe cases, infection can cause pneumonia, severe acute respiratory syndrome, kidney failure, and even death. 1,2 Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was first reported from Wuhan, China, on December 31, 2019, and is now a concerning issue in the world especially in Iran, South Korea, and Italy. 2,3 In Iran, on February 19, 2020, two patients in Qom city were confirmed as SARS-CoV-2 positive. Afterward, the disease spread very rapidly in adjacent provinces near Qom, such as Tehran, Markazi, Isfahan, and Semnan provinces, and shortly thereafter in all 31 provinces of the country. By March 8, 2020, according to Dr. Jahanpour, spokesman for the Ministry of Health and Medical Education, the total number of infected people who tested positive for SARS-Cov-2 had reached 6,566 and COVID-19 deaths had reached 194. 4 Although these data continue to change, they show that the mortality rate has been ∼2.9% in COVID-19–positive cases. 5 At the time of article submission, Iran ranked third in the number of people suffering from the disease after China and South Korea and second in the number of deaths and recovered cases. 6,7 According to officials of the Iranian Ministry of Health and Medical Education (MHME), in the coming days the number of positive cases and deaths will increase. Thus, the issue of the COVID-19 outbreak and its control has become a top priority for the MHME. Iran formed the National Committee to Combat Corona and has decided to control this infection using all resources of the country, especially the knowledge, equipment, and skilled personnel. The MHME has initiated the following actions to combat the disease 3,5,8,9 : (1) Increased awareness and informed people about COVID-19 and recommended protective measures proposed by the World Health Organization (WHO) through media such as television, radio, etc, including the following recommendations: Wash your hands frequently and thoroughly with an alcohol-based hand rub or soap and water. Maintain at least 1 m (3 feet) distance from anyone who is coughing or sneezing. Avoid touching eyes, nose, or mouth with contaminated hands. Practice respiratory hygiene by covering mouth and nose with bent elbow, facial masks, or tissue when you cough or sneeze. Seek medical care early at the onset of fever, cough, and/or difficulty breathing. (2) Restricted traffic in busy areas such as places of pilgrimage, tourism, and markets. (3) Closed kindergartens, schools, and universities. (4) Reduced office working hours. (5) Cancelled the congregational prayer and Jumu’ah prayer (Friday prayer). (6) Cancelled all multiplayer sport matches like football and volleyball. (7) Disinfected busy places such as bus stops, subways, and bus rapid transits (BRTs). (8) Limited access and identification of people suspected of having COVID-19 at the entrance and exit of a number of cities. (9) Created groups and teams to diagnose the disease through district health centers located in different areas of the affected cities. Despite these decisions and actions, many problems remain for Iran in confronting and defeating in the COVID-19 outbreak, including the following 3,9 : (1) Lack of adequate infrastructure and per capita hospital beds and equipment in some cities. (2) Inadequate protective equipment such as facial masks, disinfectants, and antiseptics such as alcohol. (3) Difficulty importing some essential medicines. (4) Difficulty of strategies such as quarantining cities due to the wide distribution of the virus throughout the country. (5) Increased risk of virus transmission caused by increased travel due to the New Year holiday (Nowruz, March 19, 2020) and related vacations. Iran is now fighting COVID-19 with all its might, but the wide spread of the disease in all the provinces of the country has made it extremely difficult to control, and Iran has required assistance from international organizations such as the World Health Organization. The increase in travel related to the Nowruz holiday, which started even 15 days earlier due to the closure of schools and universities, increases the likelihood of transmission and circulation of the virus and increased prevalence of COVID-19. To effectively fight this serious disease, the government should take more stringent measures to significantly limit travel instead of simply advising citizens to stay at home.

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          An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time

          In December, 2019, a local outbreak of pneumonia of initially unknown cause was detected in Wuhan (Hubei, China), and was quickly determined to be caused by a novel coronavirus, 1 namely severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The outbreak has since spread to every province of mainland China as well as 27 other countries and regions, with more than 70 000 confirmed cases as of Feb 17, 2020. 2 In response to this ongoing public health emergency, we developed an online interactive dashboard, hosted by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA, to visualise and track reported cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in real time. The dashboard, first shared publicly on Jan 22, illustrates the location and number of confirmed COVID-19 cases, deaths, and recoveries for all affected countries. It was developed to provide researchers, public health authorities, and the general public with a user-friendly tool to track the outbreak as it unfolds. All data collected and displayed are made freely available, initially through Google Sheets and now through a GitHub repository, along with the feature layers of the dashboard, which are now included in the Esri Living Atlas. The dashboard reports cases at the province level in China; at the city level in the USA, Australia, and Canada; and at the country level otherwise. During Jan 22–31, all data collection and processing were done manually, and updates were typically done twice a day, morning and night (US Eastern Time). As the outbreak evolved, the manual reporting process became unsustainable; therefore, on Feb 1, we adopted a semi-automated living data stream strategy. Our primary data source is DXY, an online platform run by members of the Chinese medical community, which aggregates local media and government reports to provide cumulative totals of COVID-19 cases in near real time at the province level in China and at the country level otherwise. Every 15 min, the cumulative case counts are updated from DXY for all provinces in China and for other affected countries and regions. For countries and regions outside mainland China (including Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan), we found DXY cumulative case counts to frequently lag behind other sources; we therefore manually update these case numbers throughout the day when new cases are identified. To identify new cases, we monitor various Twitter feeds, online news services, and direct communication sent through the dashboard. Before manually updating the dashboard, we confirm the case numbers with regional and local health departments, including the respective centres for disease control and prevention (CDC) of China, Taiwan, and Europe, the Hong Kong Department of Health, the Macau Government, and WHO, as well as city-level and state-level health authorities. For city-level case reports in the USA, Australia, and Canada, which we began reporting on Feb 1, we rely on the US CDC, the government of Canada, the Australian Government Department of Health, and various state or territory health authorities. All manual updates (for countries and regions outside mainland China) are coordinated by a team at Johns Hopkins University. The case data reported on the dashboard aligns with the daily Chinese CDC 3 and WHO situation reports 2 for within and outside of mainland China, respectively (figure ). Furthermore, the dashboard is particularly effective at capturing the timing of the first reported case of COVID-19 in new countries or regions (appendix). With the exception of Australia, Hong Kong, and Italy, the CSSE at Johns Hopkins University has reported newly infected countries ahead of WHO, with Hong Kong and Italy reported within hours of the corresponding WHO situation report. Figure Comparison of COVID-19 case reporting from different sources Daily cumulative case numbers (starting Jan 22, 2020) reported by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE), WHO situation reports, and the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese CDC) for within (A) and outside (B) mainland China. Given the popularity and impact of the dashboard to date, we plan to continue hosting and managing the tool throughout the entirety of the COVID-19 outbreak and to build out its capabilities to establish a standing tool to monitor and report on future outbreaks. We believe our efforts are crucial to help inform modelling efforts and control measures during the earliest stages of the outbreak.
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            Author and article information

            Journal
            Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol
            Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol
            ICE
            Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology
            Cambridge University Press (New York, USA )
            0899-823X
            1559-6834
            20 March 2020
            : 1-2
            Affiliations
            [1 ]Student Research Committee, Faculty of Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences , Tehran, Iran
            [2 ]Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences , Tehran, Iran
            Author notes
            Author for correspondence: Milad Abdi, E-mail: miladabdi1369@ 123456gmail.com
            Article
            S0899823X20000860
            10.1017/ice.2020.86
            7137533
            32192541
            f09c4b3b-cc6a-48d3-817f-97d13f5aeab4
            © The Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America 2020

            This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

            History
            : 08 March 2020
            : 14 March 2020
            Page count
            References: 9, Pages: 2
            Categories
            Letter to the Editor

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