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      Introduction : Forecasting in peace research

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          Nuts and Bolts for the Social Sciences

          Jon Elster (1989)
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            A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability

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              The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Journal of Peace Research
                Journal of Peace Research
                SAGE Publications
                0022-3433
                1460-3578
                March 16 2017
                February 22 2017
                : 54
                : 2
                : 113-124
                Article
                10.1177/0022343317691330
                f1fea961-db04-444b-8eda-b269f98e7595
                © 2017

                http://journals.sagepub.com/page/policies/text-and-data-mining-license

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