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      Neurodevelopmental disorders in children aged 2–9 years: Population-based burden estimates across five regions in India

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      1 , * , 2 , 3 , 1 , 1 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7 , 8 , 5 , 9 , 10 , 3 , 11 , 4 , 12 , 13 , 11 , 14 , 1 , 1 , 15 , 16 , 17 , 18 , 19 , 20 , 21 , 22 , 23 , 24 , 25 , 26 , 27 , 28 , 29 , 30 , 31 , 22 , 32 , 33 , 34 , 35 , 36 , 19 , 37 , 2 , 38 , 39 , 40 , 41 , 42 , 25 , 3 , 43 , 44 , 45 , 46 , 47 , 48 , 49 , 8 , 50 , 9 , 51 , 52 , 9 , 5 , 53
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          Abstract

          Background

          Neurodevelopmental disorders (NDDs) compromise the development and attainment of full social and economic potential at individual, family, community, and country levels. Paucity of data on NDDs slows down policy and programmatic action in most developing countries despite perceived high burden.

          Methods and findings

          We assessed 3,964 children (with almost equal number of boys and girls distributed in 2–<6 and 6–9 year age categories) identified from five geographically diverse populations in India using cluster sampling technique (probability proportionate to population size). These were from the North-Central, i.e., Palwal ( N = 998; all rural, 16.4% non-Hindu, 25.3% from scheduled caste/tribe [SC-ST] [these are considered underserved communities who are eligible for affirmative action]); North, i.e., Kangra ( N = 997; 91.6% rural, 3.7% non-Hindu, 25.3% SC-ST); East, i.e., Dhenkanal ( N = 981; 89.8% rural, 1.2% non-Hindu, 38.0% SC-ST); South, i.e., Hyderabad ( N = 495; all urban, 25.7% non-Hindu, 27.3% SC-ST) and West, i.e., North Goa ( N = 493; 68.0% rural, 11.4% non-Hindu, 18.5% SC-ST). All children were assessed for vision impairment (VI), epilepsy (Epi), neuromotor impairments including cerebral palsy (NMI-CP), hearing impairment (HI), speech and language disorders, autism spectrum disorders (ASDs), and intellectual disability (ID). Furthermore, 6–9-year-old children were also assessed for attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and learning disorders (LDs). We standardized sample characteristics as per Census of India 2011 to arrive at district level and all-sites-pooled estimates. Site-specific prevalence of any of seven NDDs in 2–<6 year olds ranged from 2.9% (95% CI 1.6–5.5) to 18.7% (95% CI 14.7–23.6), and for any of nine NDDs in the 6–9-year-old children, from 6.5% (95% CI 4.6–9.1) to 18.5% (95% CI 15.3–22.3). Two or more NDDs were present in 0.4% (95% CI 0.1–1.7) to 4.3% (95% CI 2.2–8.2) in the younger age category and 0.7% (95% CI 0.2–2.0) to 5.3% (95% CI 3.3–8.2) in the older age category. All-site-pooled estimates for NDDs were 9.2% (95% CI 7.5–11.2) and 13.6% (95% CI 11.3–16.2) in children of 2–<6 and 6–9 year age categories, respectively, without significant difference according to gender, rural/urban residence, or religion; almost one-fifth of these children had more than one NDD. The pooled estimates for prevalence increased by up to three percentage points when these were adjusted for national rates of stunting or low birth weight (LBW). HI, ID, speech and language disorders, Epi, and LDs were the common NDDs across sites. Upon risk modelling, noninstitutional delivery, history of perinatal asphyxia, neonatal illness, postnatal neurological/brain infections, stunting, LBW/prematurity, and older age category (6–9 year) were significantly associated with NDDs. The study sample was underrepresentative of stunting and LBW and had a 15.6% refusal. These factors could be contributing to underestimation of the true NDD burden in our population.

          Conclusions

          The study identifies NDDs in children aged 2–9 years as a significant public health burden for India. HI was higher than and ASD prevalence comparable to the published global literature. Most risk factors of NDDs were modifiable and amenable to public health interventions.

          Abstract

          Narendra K Arora and colleagues estimate the burden of neurodevelopmental disorders in children aged 2-9 years in 5 regions of India, and identify prevalent risk factors.

          Author summary

          Why was this study done?
          • Neurodevelopmental disorders (NDDs) compromise the development and attainment of full social and economic potential at individual, family, community, and country levels.

          • Lack of robust evidence regarding burden and risk factors impedes policy and programmatic action for these conditions.

          • Given the widespread prevalence of known risk factors, the anticipated burden of NDDs in children in India could be considerably high, but adequate information is not available.

          What did the researchers do and find?
          • In this population based study, the prevalence of NDDs among 2–9-year-olds was estimated across five geographically diverse sites in India: North-Central (Palwal), North (Kangra), East (Dhenkanal), West (North Goa), and South (Hyderabad).

          • We assessed 3,964 chidren (2–<6 years: 2,057; 6–9 years: 1,907) for seven common NDDs: vision impairment (VI), epilepsy (Epi), neuromotor impairments including cerebral palsy (NMI-CP), hearing impairment (HI), speech and language disorders, autism spectrum disorders (ASDs), and intellectual disability (ID). Two additional NDDs (attention deficit hyperactivity disorder [ADHD] and learning disorders [LDs]) were also assessed in 6–9-year-old children.

          • Prevalence of NDDs varied between sites. Site-specific prevalence of any of seven NDDs in 2–<6year olds ranged between 2.9% and 18.7% and for any of nine NDDs in the 6–9-year-old children from 6.5% to 18.5%. About one-fifth of these children had two or more NDDs.

          • HI and ID were the most common NDDs.

          • The risk factors for childhood NDDs were as follows: children with history of delivery at home, delayed crying or difficult breathing at birth (perinatal asphyxia), neonatal illness requiring hospitalization, neurological/brain infections, low birth weight (LBW) (<2.5 kg) and/or birth before 37 weeks of gestation (prematurity), and stunting. NDDs were also likely to be more frequent in older children (6–9 year age category).

          What do these findings mean?
          • Almost one in eight children of the age 2–9 years have at least one of the nine NDDs; this is a conservative estimate, and actual burden might be higher due to limitations of the study.

          • The data suggested that the NDD burden can be substantially reduced in India by addressing the risk factors which are amenable to public health interventions.

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          Most cited references36

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          An update on the prevalence of cerebral palsy: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

          The aim of this study was to provide a comprehensive update on (1) the overall prevalence of cerebral palsy (CP); (2) the prevalence of CP in relation to birthweight; and (3) the prevalence of CP in relation to gestational age. A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted and reported, based on the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses) statement. Population-based studies on the prevalence of CP in children born in 1985 or after were selected. Statistical analysis was carried out using computer package R, version 2.14. A total of 49 studies were selected for this review. The pooled overall prevalence of CP was 2.11 per 1000 live births (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.98-2.25). The prevalence of CP stratified by gestational age group showed the highest pooled prevalence to be in children weighing 1000 to 1499g at birth (59.18 per 1000 live births; 95% CI 53.06-66.01), although there was no significant difference on pairwise meta-regression with children weighing less than 1000g. The prevalence of CP expressed by gestational age was highest in children born before 28 weeks' gestation (111.80 per 1000 live births; 95% CI 69.53-179.78; p<0.0327). The overall prevalence of CP has remained constant in recent years despite increased survival of at-risk preterm infants. © The Authors. Developmental Medicine & Child Neurology © 2013 Mac Keith Press.
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            Maximum likelihood estimation of the attributable fraction from logistic models.

            Bruzzi et al. (1985, American Journal of Epidemiology 122, 904-914) provided a general logistic-model-based estimator of the attributable fraction for case-control data, and Benichou and Gail (1990, Biometrics 46, 991-1003) gave an implicit-delta-method variance formula for this estimator. The Bruzzi et al. estimator is not, however, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) based on the model, as it uses the model only to construct the relative risk estimates, and not the covariate-distribution estimate. We here provide maximum likelihood estimators for the attributable fraction in cohort and case-control studies, and their asymptotic variances. The case-control estimator generalizes the estimator of Drescher and Schill (1991, Biometrics 47, 1247-1256). We also present a limited simulation study which confirms earlier work that better small-sample performance is obtained when the confidence interval is centered on the log-transformed point estimator rather than the original point estimator.
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              Attributable and Unattributable Risks and Fractions and other Scenario Comparisons

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                Role: Academic Editor
                Journal
                PLoS Med
                PLoS Med
                plos
                plosmed
                PLoS Medicine
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, CA USA )
                1549-1277
                1549-1676
                24 July 2018
                July 2018
                : 15
                : 7
                : e1002615
                Affiliations
                [1 ] The INCLEN Trust International, New Delhi, India
                [2 ] Kerala University of Health Sciences, Medical College PO, Thrissur, Kerala, India
                [3 ] Department of Paediatrics, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
                [4 ] Department of Paediatrics, Maulana Azad Medical College, New Delhi, India
                [5 ] Sangath, Bardez, Goa, India
                [6 ] Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
                [7 ] Department of Biostatistics, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
                [8 ] Department of Community Medicine, Kalinga Institute of Medical Sciences, Bhubaneshwar, Odisha, India
                [9 ] Indian Institute of Public Health, Hyderabad, Telangana, India
                [10 ] Himachal Foundation, Dharamshala, Kangra, Himachal Pradesh, India
                [11 ] Department of Paediatrics, Lady Hardinge Medical College, New Delhi, India
                [12 ] Centre for Applied Research and Education on Neurodevelopmental Impairments and Disability related Health Initiatives (CARENIDHI), New Delhi, India
                [13 ] Department of Paediatrics, Sir Ganga Ram Hospital, New Delhi, India
                [14 ] Department of Social Medicine and Community Health, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, India
                [15 ] Department of Paediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine and Lucile Packard Children’s Hospital, California, United States of America
                [16 ] Department of Population Health Sciences and Paediatrics, and Waisman Center, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
                [17 ] University of Pennsylvania School of Nursing and School of Medicine, Philadelphia, United States of America
                [18 ] Department of Neurology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States of America
                [19 ] Department of Psychiatry, All India Institute of Medical Science, New Delhi, India
                [20 ] Integral Institute of Medical Sciences & Research, Integral University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
                [21 ] Department of Psychology, Delhi University, New Delhi, India
                [22 ] Department of Paediatrics, Seth GS Medical College & KEM Hospital, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
                [23 ] Department of Neurology, Paras Hospital, Gurugram, Haryana, India
                [24 ] Department of Ophthalmology, Lady Hardinge Medical College, New Delhi, India
                [25 ] Dr Rajendra Prasad Centre for Ophthalmic Sciences, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
                [26 ] Department of Paediatric Disciplines, Health City Hospital, Guwahati, Assam, India
                [27 ] Department of Neurology, Institute of Human Behaviour and Allied Sciences & Department of Neurophysiology, Sir Ganga Ram Hospital, New Delhi, India
                [28 ] School of Health Policy and Planning, Kerala University of Health Sciences, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India
                [29 ] Ali Yavar Jung National Institute of Speech and Hearing Disabilities, Department of Empowerment of Persons with Disabilities, Kasturba Niketan, New Delhi, India
                [30 ] Department of ENT & Head Neck Surgery, Medanta Medicity, Gurugram, Haryana, India
                [31 ] Department of Paediatrics, Indraprastha Apollo Hospital, New Delhi, India
                [32 ] Department of Paediatric Neurology, Rainbow Children’s Hospital, Hyderabad, Telengana, India
                [33 ] Department of Paediatrics, Mumbai Port Trust Hospital, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
                [34 ] Department of Paediatrics, King George Medical University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
                [35 ] Department of Neonatology, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research and Dr. Ram Manohar Lohia Hospital, Delhi, India
                [36 ] Department of Community Medicine, Government Medical College, Srinagar, Kashmir, India
                [37 ] National Trust, Department of Empowerment of Persons with Disabilities, Ministry of Social Justice & Empowerment, Government of India, Delhi, India
                [38 ] Vidya Sagar (formerly The Spastics Society of India), Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
                [39 ] Department of Paediatrics, Government Medical College, Nagpur, Maharashtra, India
                [40 ] Social Welfare Department, Government of Bihar, Patna, India
                [41 ] Department of Community Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Ansari Nagar, New Delhi, India
                [42 ] Department of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry and Facility for Children with Intellectual Disability, Christian Medical College, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
                [43 ] Rashtriya Bal Swasthya Karyakram, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Nirman Bhawan, New Delhi, India
                [44 ] Department of Otorhinolaryngology and Head and Neck Surgery (ENT), Lady Hardinge Medical College, New Delhi, India
                [45 ] Child Development Centre, Medical College Campus, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India
                [46 ] Samarth, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
                [47 ] Department of Otolaryngology & Head-Neck Surgery, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
                [48 ] Department of Pediatric Neurology, The Hospital for Sick Children (SickKids), The Peter Gilgan Centre for Research and Learning, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                [49 ] Department of Paediatrics, M.P. Shah Government Medical College & G.G. Hospital, Jamnagar, Gujarat, India
                [50 ] Department of ENT, Dr. Rajender Prasad Government Medical College, Kangra, Himachal Pradesh, India
                [51 ] RVM Institute of Medical Sciences and Research Center, Laxmakkapally, Telangana, India
                [52 ] Department of Paediatrics, Goa Medical College, Bambolim, Goa, India
                [53 ] Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Goa Medical College, Bambolim, Goa, India
                London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UNITED KINGDOM
                Author notes

                The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3008-8616
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3095-2526
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6810-3095
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1066-8584
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1894-7801
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3184-464X
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0609-9796
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8559-5837
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0770-6543
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7952-7638
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2727-8892
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5775-7034
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2616-0275
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2058-3605
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1170-325X
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7674-065X
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8660-8062
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7890-557X
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5757-6930
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1958-7396
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9441-0657
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8237-0229
                Article
                PMEDICINE-D-18-00123
                10.1371/journal.pmed.1002615
                6057634
                30040859
                f45ee667-fd69-408f-8aa0-3e0ffc89ff25
                © 2018 Arora et al

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 15 January 2018
                : 15 June 2018
                Page count
                Figures: 0, Tables: 5, Pages: 19
                Funding
                Funded by: National Institute of Health (NIH) through Fogarty International Center (FIH)
                Award ID: NIH 1R21-HD53057-01A1
                Award Recipient :
                Funded by: Autism Speaks (USA)
                Award Recipient :
                Funded by: The National Trust, Ministry of Social Justice and Empowerment, Government of India
                Award Recipient :
                This work was supported by The National Institutes of Health, USA [NIH 1R21–HD53057–01A1] through Fogarty International Center (FIH), Autism Speaks (USA), and The National Trust, Ministry of Social Justice and Empowerment, Government of India. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
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