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      Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models

      Nature Climate Change

      Springer Nature

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          Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century

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            Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America.

            How anthropogenic climate change will affect hydroclimate in the arid regions of southwestern North America has implications for the allocation of water resources and the course of regional development. Here we show that there is a broad consensus among climate models that this region will dry in the 21st century and that the transition to a more arid climate should already be under way. If these models are correct, the levels of aridity of the recent multiyear drought or the Dust Bowl and the 1950s droughts will become the new climatology of the American Southwest within a time frame of years to decades.
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              Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: A new data set from 1850

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Nature Climate Change
                Nature Clim Change
                Springer Nature
                1758-678X
                1758-6798
                January 2013
                August 5 2012
                : 3
                : 1
                : 52-58
                10.1038/nclimate1633
                © 2012

                http://www.springer.com/tdm

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