The introduction of new technologies is associated with a major change of employment in society, from the traditional agricultural and manufacturing sectors, to the service sector. The availability of more and better services will, according to some analysts, generate wealth that will absorb the surplus labour made available from the traditional sectors. We believe this will be at best a short-term phenomenon. In the longer term, many service sector jobs will be taken over by computer-based systems. In addition, for most people employment also provides security, a pattern for their day, social relationships, a place to belong, and the opportunity to be involved in learning. These will be difficult to achieve in the newer jobs, and much more difficult for the jobless or those in short-term employment. It is critical that the meaning of ‘work’ in society be re-examined.
Under a regime in which ‘hard’, technological systems are programmed to treat society as a collection of individuals, we see the need to develop social, political and economic decision-making tools from the ‘soft’ systems viewpoint. These are not predictable from the sum of individual properties; they are properties of the system, and of the system alone. We also discuss analogies between societies and nonequilibrium thermodynamic systems, which we believe can be helpful when looking at questions involving invention of futures.
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Ronald Reagan. . 1983. . A pathway to progress. . Economic Impact . , Vol. 42((2)): 20
Alan Porter. . 1986. . Work in the new information age. . The Futurist . , Vol. 20((5)) September-October;: 9––14. .
Data obtained from the NZ Department of Statistics, Monthly Abstracts.
Marvin Cetron J.. 1983. . Getting ready for the jobs of the future. . The Futurist . , Vol. 17: 3 June;: 16
Skolimowski H.. 1984. . Information — Yes, but where has all our wisdom gone? . The Ecologist . , Vol. 14((5–6)): 16––18. . NZ Environment
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Ken Marsh, The Way the New Technology Works, Century Publishing Co London, 1982, p. 19.
Skolimowski, op. cit.
C.E. Herman Daly, ‘On thinking about future energy requirements’, CONAES Supporting Paper 5, National Research Council, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, 1979, pp. 230–241.
Skolimowski, op. cit.
Singa Sandelin, ‘Nationwide Planning as a Motivating Factor’, paper to European Conference on Motivation for Adult Education, Hamburg, February/March 1983.
Ilya Prigogine and Isabelle Stengers, Order Out of Chaos, Heinemann, London, 1984.
Peter Checkland, Systems Thinking, Systems Practice, Wiley, New York, 1981; T. Downing Bowler, General Systems Thinking: Its Scope and Applicability, North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1981.
Kahlil Gibran, The Prophet, Heinemann/Pan Books, London, 1980, p. 33 — language desexised.
Gary Zukav, The Dancing Wu Li Masters: An Overview of the New Physics, Flamingo 1982.
National Council for Adult Education, Action for Learning and Equity: Opportunity for Change, report for the NZ Minister of Education, prepared by the Lifelong Learning Task Force, Wellington NZ, November 1985.
A. G. Watts, Education, Unemployment and the Future of Work, Open University Press, Milton Keynes, 1983, p. 174.