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      ETAPOD – A Virtual System for the Estimation of Black Pod Disease : ETAPOD – A Virtual System for the Estimation of Black Pod Disease

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      Cocoa, ETAPOD, Disease forecasting, Black pod disease, Model accuracy, Forecast precision, Global cocoa market
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            Abstract

            Eight (8) models (MRM1-MRM8) were developed, programmed and tested, while five (5) models (MRM1-MRM5) were finally selected for optimization and performance check.he selected model MRM5 (débuted “ETAPOD”) outperformed all the other models. ETAPOD had 100% precision rating for BPD prediction in Ekiti (2009, 2010, 2011 and 2015) with model efficiency of 95–100%. The performance of the model was rated 80% in 2010 and 2015 (Ondo) with model efficiency of 85–90%, 70% in 2011 (Osun) with model efficiency of 81–84%, 60% in 2010 (Ondo and Osun) and 2015 (Osun) with model efficiency of 75–80%, 40% in 2009 (Osun) with model efficiency of 65–69% and 0% 1n 2011 (Ondo) with model efficiency between 0 and 49%.

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            ScienceOpen Posters
            ScienceOpen
            9 November 2022
            Affiliations
            [1 ] Department of Botany, Faculty of Science, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Oyo State, Nigeria
            Author notes
            Author information
            https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9370-8029
            Article
            10.14293/S2199-1006.1.SOR-.PPUCD5H.v1
            0885a30a-2b5b-4792-9616-03a9741ab20f

            This work has been published open access under Creative Commons Attribution License CC BY 4.0 , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Conditions, terms of use and publishing policy can be found at www.scienceopen.com .

            History
            : 9 November 2022

            The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
            Agriculture,Life sciences
            Disease forecasting,Model accuracy,ETAPOD,Forecast precision,Black pod disease,Global cocoa market,Cocoa

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