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      Impact of initial dialysis modality on mortality: a propensity-matched study

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          Abstract

          Background

          Whether the choice of dialysis modality in patients with end stage renal disease may impact mortality is undecided. No randomized controlled trial has properly addressed this issue. Propensity-matched observational studies could give important insight into the independent effect of peritoneal (PD) opposed to haemodialysis (HD) on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

          Methods

          To correct for case-mix differences between patients treated with PD and HD, propensity-matched analyses were utilized in all patients who initiated dialysis as first renal replacement therapy in Norway in the period 2005–2012. PD patients were matched in a 1:1 fashion with HD patients, creating 692 pairs of patients with comparable baseline variables. As-treated and intention-to treat analyses were undertaken to assess cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Interaction analyses were used to assess differences in the relationship between initial dialysis modality and mortality, between strata of age, gender and prevalent diabetes mellitus.

          Results

          In the as-treated analyses, initial dialysis modality did not impact 2-year (PD vs. HD: HR 0.87, 95 % CI 0.67–1.12) or 5-year all-cause mortality (HR 0.95, 95 % CI 0.77–1.17). In patients younger than 65 years, PD was superior compared to HD with regard to both 2-year (HR 0.39, 95 % CI 0.19–0.81), and 5-year all-cause mortality (HR 0.49, 95 % CI 0.27–0.89). Cardiovascular mortality was also lower in the younger patients treated with PD (5-year HR 0.38, 95 % CI 0.15–0.96). PD was not associated with impaired prognosis in any of the prespecified subgroups compared to HD. The results were similar in the as-treated and intention-to-treat analyses.

          Conclusion

          Survival in PD was not inferior to HD in any subgroup of patients even after five years of follow-up. In patients below 65 years, PD yielded superior survival rates compared to HD. Increased use of PD as initial dialysis modality in ESRD patients could be encouraged.

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          Most cited references19

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          Clinical epidemiology of cardiovascular disease in chronic renal disease.

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            Propensity-matched mortality comparison of incident hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis patients.

            Contemporary comparisons of mortality in matched hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis patients are lacking. We aimed to compare survival of incident hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis patients by intention-to-treat analysis in a matched-pair cohort and in subsets defined by age, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes. We matched 6337 patient pairs from a retrospective cohort of 98,875 adults who initiated dialysis in 2003 in the United States. In the primary intention-to-treat analysis of survival from day 0, cumulative survival was higher for peritoneal dialysis patients than for hemodialysis patients (hazard ratio 0.92; 95% CI 0.86 to 1.00, P = 0.04). Cumulative survival probabilities for peritoneal dialysis versus hemodialysis were 85.8% versus 80.7% (P < 0.01), 71.1% versus 68.0% (P < 0.01), 58.1% versus 56.7% (P = 0.25), and 48.4% versus 47.3% (P = 0.50) at 12, 24, 36, and 48 months, respectively. Peritoneal dialysis was associated with improved survival compared with hemodialysis among subgroups with age <65 years, no cardiovascular disease, and no diabetes. In a sensitivity analysis of survival from 90 days after initiation, we did not detect a difference in survival between modalities overall (hazard ratio 1.05; 95% CI 0.96 to 1.16), but hemodialysis was associated with improved survival among subgroups with cardiovascular disease and diabetes. In conclusion, despite hazard ratio heterogeneity across patient subgroups and nonconstant hazard ratios during the follow-up period, the overall intention-to-treat mortality risk after dialysis initiation was 8% lower for peritoneal dialysis than for matched hemodialysis patients. These data suggest that increased use of peritoneal dialysis may benefit incident ESRD patients.
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              Relationship between dialysis modality and mortality.

              Mortality differences between peritoneal dialysis (PD) and hemodialysis (HD) are widely debated. In this study, mortality was compared between patients treated with PD and HD (including home HD) using data from 27,015 patients in the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry, 25,287 of whom were still receiving PD or HD 90 d after entry into the registry. Overall mortality rates were significantly lower during the 90- to 365-d period among those being treated with PD at day 90 (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.81 to 0.99]; P < 0.001). This effect, however, varied in direction and size with the presence of comorbidities: Younger patients without comorbidities had a mortality advantage with PD treatment, but other groups did not. After 12 mo, the use of PD at day 90 was associated with significantly increased mortality (adjusted HR 1.33; 95% CI 1.24 to 1.42; P < 0.001). In a supplementary as-treated analysis, PD treatment was associated with lower mortality during the first 90 d (adjusted HR 0.67; 95% CI 0.56 to 0.81; P < 0.001). These data suggest that the effect of dialysis modality on survival for an individual depends on time, age, and presence of comorbidities. Treatment with PD may be advantageous initially but may be associated with higher mortality after 12 mo.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                +47 41 28 08 09 , bard.waldum@medisin.uio.no
                tleivest@ous-hf.no
                areisate@ous-hf.no
                ingrid.os@medisin.uio.no
                Journal
                BMC Nephrol
                BMC Nephrol
                BMC Nephrology
                BioMed Central (London )
                1471-2369
                30 October 2015
                30 October 2015
                2015
                : 16
                : 179
                Affiliations
                [ ]Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
                [ ]Department of Nephrology, Oslo University Hospital, PB 4956 Nydalen, N-0424, Oslo, Norway
                [ ]Norwegian Renal Registry, Department of Transplantation Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
                [ ]Section of Nephrology, Department of Transplantation Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
                Article
                175
                10.1186/s12882-015-0175-5
                4628291
                26519164
                0da168e3-7e96-477d-8761-0215168eaa46
                © Waldum-Grevbo et al. 2015

                Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver ( http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

                History
                : 19 June 2015
                : 22 October 2015
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2015

                Nephrology
                dialysis modality,esrd,haemodialysis,peritoneal dialysis,prognosis,survival analysis
                Nephrology
                dialysis modality, esrd, haemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, prognosis, survival analysis

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