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      Political Parties, Foreign Policy and Ideology: Argentina and Chile in Comparative Perspective

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          Abstract

          The aim of this article is to discuss the distribution of preferences of members of the Chilean and Argentinian Congress on foreign policy issues through the analysis of roll call votes. This goal is guided by the debate in Latin American literature concerning the decision-making process in foreign policy. The predominant argument focuses on the Executive as the principal decision-maker, disregarding the Legislative as relevant in this field. Thus, legislators would tend to abdicate from their preferences in determining foreign policy. Confronting this argument, we have many studies emphasising the importance of domestic actors in the foreign policy decision-making process. This article proposes to analyse two case studies in comparative perspective: the lower houses of the national parliaments of Argentina and Chile. The result is that the party ideology is a relevant explanatory factor of deputies’ votes. Although the argument is more evident for the Chilean case, it is possible to argue that there is a similar pattern to the structuring of deputies’ votes in the two countries, both on the domestic and on the international arena. The methodology used makes it possible to infer legislators’ preferences by means of roll call votes and of the construction of maps of deputies’ ideal points in foreign policy terms, as well as the correlation between Chilean and Argentinian parties’ ideological classifications. Votes on foreign policy questions during the 2002-2006/2007 legislatures are considered.

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          Most cited references52

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          R.A. Fisher and the making of maximum likelihood 1912-1922

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            The Dynamics of Foreign Policy Agenda Setting

            Theoretical and empirical work on public policy agenda setting has ignored foreign policy. We develop a theory of foreign policy agenda setting and test the implications using time-series vector autoregression and Box-Tiao (1975) impact assessment methods. We theorize an economy of attention to foreign policy issues driven by issue inertia, events external to U.S. domestic institutions, as well as systemic attention to particular issues. We also theorize that the economy of attention is affected by a law of scarcity and the rise and fall of events in competing issue areas. Using measures of presidential and media attention to the Soviet Union, Arab-Israeli conflict, and Bosnian conflict, we show that presidential and media attentions respond to issue inertia and exogenous events in both primary and competing issue areas. Media attention also affects presidential attention, but the president does not affect issue attention by the media.
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              Multidimensional Analysis of Roll Call Data via Bayesian Simulation: Identification, Estimation, Inference, and Model Checking

              Vote-specific parameters are often by-products of roll call analysis, the primary goal being the measurement of legislators' ideal points. But these vote-specific parameters are more important in higher-dimensional settings: prior restrictions on vote parameters help identify the model, and researchers often have prior beliefs about the nature of the dimensions underlying the proposal space. Bayesian methods provide a straightforward and rigorous way for incorporating these prior beliefs into roll call analysis. I demonstrate this by exploiting the close connections among roll call analysis, item-response models, and “full-information” factor analysis. Vote-specific discrimination parameters are equivalent to factor loadings, and as in factor analysis, they (1) enable researchers to discern the substantive content of the recovered dimensions, (2) can be used for assessing dimensionality and model checking, and (3) are an obvious vehicle for introducing and testing researchers' prior beliefs about the dimensions. Bayesian simulation facilitates these uses of discrimination parameters, by simplifying estimation and inference for the massive number of parameters generated by roll call analysis.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                s_bpsr
                Brazilian Political Science Review (Online)
                Braz. political sci. rev. (Online)
                Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política (Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil )
                1981-3821
                2009
                : 3
                : 2
                : 127-154
                Affiliations
                [3] São Paulo orgnameUniversidade de São Paulo Brazil
                [1] São Paulo orgnameUniversidade de São Paulo Brazil
                [2] São Paulo orgnameUniversidade de São Paulo Brazil
                Article
                S1981-38212009000200127 S1981-3821(09)00300200127
                10.1590/1981-3861200900020005
                12da2827-bb5b-4166-9d44-2cf7617f9352

                This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

                History
                : December 2009
                : October 2009
                Page count
                Figures: 0, Tables: 0, Equations: 0, References: 55, Pages: 28
                Product

                SciELO Brazil

                Categories
                Article

                Argentina,Chile,Foreign policy,Legislative,Political parties

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