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      Heart rate variability as an independent predictor for 8-year mortality among chronic hemodialysis patients

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          Abstract

          The repeated measurements of heart rate variability (HRV) is more relevant than a single HRV measurement in predicting patient prognosis but is less addressed previously. This prospective study aimed to investigate the association between repeated measurements of HRV and long-term mortality in chronic hemodialysis patients. The 164 patients (65.0 ± 13.1 years; woman, 57.3%) were enrolled from June 1, 2010, to August 31, 2010, and received four HRV measurements (before and during the index hemodialysis session) after the enrollment. The baseline characteristic and clinical variables, including mortality, were documented. The joint modeling method and Cox regression were used for statistical analyses. After an 8-year follow-up, 79 patients expired, and 85 patients survived. We found that higher normalized high-frequency (nHF) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.033) as well as lower very-low-frequency (HR 0.990), Variance (HR 0.991), normalized low-frequency (HR 0.999, P = 0.006), and low-frequency/high-frequency ratio (HR 0.796) were independent predictors for cardiovascular mortality. Whereas the independent predictors for infection-associated mortality included higher nHF (HR 1.033) as well as higher age (HR 19.29) and lower serum albumin (HR 0.01, P = 0.001). (all P < 0.001 unless otherwise stated) In conclusion, HRV measurement predicts long-term mortality among hemodialysis patients.

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          Baroreflex sensitivity and heart-rate variability in prediction of total cardiac mortality after myocardial infarction. ATRAMI (Autonomic Tone and Reflexes After Myocardial Infarction) Investigators.

          Experimental evidence suggests that autonomic markers such as heart-rate variability and baroreflex sensitivity (BRS) may contribute to postinfarction risk stratification. There are clinical data to support this concept for heart-rate variability. The main objective of the ATRAMI study was to provide prospective data on the additional and independent prognostic value for cardiac mortality of heart-rate variability and BRS in patients after myocardial infarction in whom left-ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and ventricular arrhythmias were known. This multicentre international prospective study enrolled 1284 patients with a recent ( 105 ms, BRS >6.1 ms per mm Hg). The association of low SDNN or BRS with LVEF below 35% carried a relative risk of 6.7 (3.1-14.6) or 8.7 (4.3-17.6), respectively, compared with patients with LVEF above 35% and less compromised SDNN (> or = 70 ms) and BRS (> or = 3 ms per mm Hg). ATRAMI provides clinical evidence that after myocardial infarction the analysis of vagal reflexes has significant prognostic value independently of LVEF and of ventricular arrhythmias and that it significantly adds to the prognostic value of heart-rate variability.
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            Sympathetic overactivity in patients with chronic renal failure.

            Hypertension is a frequent complication of chronic renal failure, but its causes are not fully understood. There is indirect evidence that increased activity of the sympathetic nervous system might contribute to hypertension in patients with end-stage renal disease, but sympathetic-nerve discharge has not been measured directly in patients or animals with chronic renal failure. We recorded the rate of postganglionic sympathetic-nerve discharge to the blood vessels in skeletal muscle by means of microelectrodes inserted into the peroneal nerve in 18 patients with native kidneys who were undergoing long-term treatment with hemodialysis (of whom 14 had hypertension), 5 patients receiving hemodialysis who had undergone bilateral nephrectomy (of whom 1 had hypertension), and 11 normal subjects. RESULTS. The mean (+/- SE) rate of sympathetic-nerve discharge was 2.5 times higher in the patients receiving hemodialysis who had not undergone nephrectomy than in the normal subjects (58 +/- 3 vs. 23 +/- 3 bursts per minute, P < 0.01). In contrast, the rate of sympathetic-nerve discharge was similar in the patients receiving hemodialysis who had undergone bilateral nephrectomy (21 +/- 6 bursts per minute) and the normal subjects. The rate of sympathetic-nerve discharge in the patients receiving hemodialysis who had not undergone nephrectomy was also significantly higher (P < 0.01) than that in the patients with bilateral nephrectomy, and it was accompanied in the former group by higher values for vascular resistance in the calf (45 +/- 4 vs. 22 +/- 4 units, P < 0.05) and mean arterial pressure (106 +/- 4 vs. 76 +/- 14 mm Hg, P < 0.05). The rate of sympathetic-nerve discharge was not correlated with either plasma norepinephrine concentrations or plasma renin activity. Chronic renal failure may be accompanied by reversible sympathetic activation, which appears to be mediated by an afferent signal arising in the failing kidneys.
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              Basic concepts and methods for joint models of longitudinal and survival data.

              Joint models for longitudinal and survival data are particularly relevant to many cancer clinical trials and observational studies in which longitudinal biomarkers (eg, circulating tumor cells, immune response to a vaccine, and quality-of-life measurements) may be highly associated with time to event, such as relapse-free survival or overall survival. In this article, we give an introductory overview on joint modeling and present a general discussion of a broad range of issues that arise in the design and analysis of clinical trials using joint models. To demonstrate our points throughout, we present an analysis from the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group trial E1193, as well as examine some operating characteristics of joint models through simulation studies.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                chungyy2001@yahoo.com.tw
                Journal
                Sci Rep
                Sci Rep
                Scientific Reports
                Nature Publishing Group UK (London )
                2045-2322
                21 January 2020
                21 January 2020
                2020
                : 10
                : 881
                Affiliations
                [1 ]GRID grid.459908.9, Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, , Camillian Saint Mary’s Hospital Luodong, ; No. 160, Zhongheng S. Rd., Luodong, Yilan, 26546 Taiwan ROC
                [2 ]GRID grid.459908.9, Department of Nursing, , Camillian Saint Mary’s Hospital Luodong, ; No. 160, Zhongheng S. Rd., Luodong, Yilan, 26546 Taiwan ROC
                [3 ]Saint Mary’s Junior College of Medicine, Nursing and Management. No. 100, Ln. 265, Sec. 2, Sanxing Rd., Sanxing Township, Yilan County, 266 Taiwan ROC
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2220-7574
                Article
                57792
                10.1038/s41598-020-57792-3
                6972735
                31964940
                181e6f71-5e24-4533-8012-ca83ba6d35ea
                © The Author(s) 2020

                Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

                History
                : 6 September 2019
                : 7 January 2020
                Funding
                Funded by: FundRef https://doi.org/10.13039/501100011064, Saint Mary&apos;s Hospital Luodong (Camillians Saint Mary&apos;s Hospital Luodong);
                Award ID: SMHRF-2010004
                Award Recipient :
                Categories
                Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2020

                Uncategorized
                haemodialysis,risk factors,interventional cardiology,outcomes research
                Uncategorized
                haemodialysis, risk factors, interventional cardiology, outcomes research

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