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      Drought-induced Suppression of Female Fecundity in a Capital Breeder

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          Abstract

          Human-induced global climate change is exerting increasingly strong selective pressures on a myriad of fitness traits that affect organisms. These traits, in turn, are influenced by a variety of environmental parameters such as temperature and precipitation, particularly in ectothermic taxa such as amphibians and reptiles. Over the past several decades, severe and prolonged episodes of drought are becoming commonplace throughout North America. Documentation of responses to this environmental crisis, however, is often incomplete, particularly in cryptic species. Here, we investigated reproduction in a population of pitviper snakes (copperhead, Agkistrodon contortrix), a live-bearing capital breeder. This population experienced a severe drought from 2012 through 2016. We tested whether declines in number of progeny were linked to this drought. Decline in total number offspring was significant, but offspring length and mass were unaffected. Reproductive output was positively impacted by precipitation and negatively impacted by high temperatures. We hypothesized that severe declines of prey species (e.g., cicada, amphibians, and small mammals) reduced energy acquisition during drought, negatively impacting reproductive output of the snakes. Support for this view was found using the periodical cicada ( Magicicada spp.) as a proxy for prey availability. Various climate simulations, including our own qualitative analysis, predict that drought events will continue unabated throughout the geographic distribution of copperheads which suggests that long-term monitoring of populations are needed to better understand geographic variation in drought resilience and cascading impacts of drought phenomena on ecosystem function.

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          Synergies among extinction drivers under global change.

          If habitat destruction or overexploitation of populations is severe, species loss can occur directly and abruptly. Yet the final descent to extinction is often driven by synergistic processes (amplifying feedbacks) that can be disconnected from the original cause of decline. We review recent observational, experimental and meta-analytic work which together show that owing to interacting and self-reinforcing processes, estimates of extinction risk for most species are more severe than previously recognised. As such, conservation actions which only target single-threat drivers risk being inadequate because of the cascading effects caused by unmanaged synergies. Future work should focus on how climate change will interact with and accelerate ongoing threats to biodiversity, such as habitat degradation, overexploitation and invasive species.
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            Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity.

            Many studies in recent years have investigated the effects of climate change on the future of biodiversity. In this review, we first examine the different possible effects of climate change that can operate at individual, population, species, community, ecosystem and biome scales, notably showing that species can respond to climate change challenges by shifting their climatic niche along three non-exclusive axes: time (e.g. phenology), space (e.g. range) and self (e.g. physiology). Then, we present the principal specificities and caveats of the most common approaches used to estimate future biodiversity at global and sub-continental scales and we synthesise their results. Finally, we highlight several challenges for future research both in theoretical and applied realms. Overall, our review shows that current estimates are very variable, depending on the method, taxonomic group, biodiversity loss metrics, spatial scales and time periods considered. Yet, the majority of models indicate alarming consequences for biodiversity, with the worst-case scenarios leading to extinction rates that would qualify as the sixth mass extinction in the history of the earth. © 2012 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS.
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              Colloquium paper: are we in the midst of the sixth mass extinction? A view from the world of amphibians.

              Many scientists argue that we are either entering or in the midst of the sixth great mass extinction. Intense human pressure, both direct and indirect, is having profound effects on natural environments. The amphibians--frogs, salamanders, and caecilians--may be the only major group currently at risk globally. A detailed worldwide assessment and subsequent updates show that one-third or more of the 6,300 species are threatened with extinction. This trend is likely to accelerate because most amphibians occur in the tropics and have small geographic ranges that make them susceptible to extinction. The increasing pressure from habitat destruction and climate change is likely to have major impacts on narrowly adapted and distributed species. We show that salamanders on tropical mountains are particularly at risk. A new and significant threat to amphibians is a virulent, emerging infectious disease, chytridiomycosis, which appears to be globally distributed, and its effects may be exacerbated by global warming. This disease, which is caused by a fungal pathogen and implicated in serious declines and extinctions of >200 species of amphibians, poses the greatest threat to biodiversity of any known disease. Our data for frogs in the Sierra Nevada of California show that the fungus is having a devastating impact on native species, already weakened by the effects of pollution and introduced predators. A general message from amphibians is that we may have little time to stave off a potential mass extinction.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                smithcf@wofford.edu
                davis63@illinois.edu
                Journal
                Sci Rep
                Sci Rep
                Scientific Reports
                Nature Publishing Group UK (London )
                2045-2322
                29 October 2019
                29 October 2019
                2019
                : 9
                : 15499
                Affiliations
                [1 ]ISNI 0000 0004 0465 5303, GRID grid.422747.0, Department of Biology, , Wofford College, ; Spartanburg, South Carolina 29303 USA
                [2 ]The Copperhead Institute, Spartanburg, South Carolina 29323 USA
                [3 ]Chiricahua Desert Museum, Rodeo, New Mexico 88056 USA
                [4 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 7400, GRID grid.256304.6, Department of Biology and Neuroscience Institute, , Georgia State University, ; Atlanta, Georgia 30303 USA
                [5 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 9991, GRID grid.35403.31, Illinois Natural History Survey, Prairie Research Institute, , University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, ; Champaign, Illinois 61820 USA
                [6 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 9991, GRID grid.35403.31, Department of Entomology, , University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, ; Urbana, Illinois 61801 USA
                [7 ]ISNI 0000 0000 9776 1631, GRID grid.411264.4, Department of Biology, , Chatham University, ; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15232 USA
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3788-7955
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9034-9430
                Article
                51810
                10.1038/s41598-019-51810-9
                6820553
                31664072
                22cd4407-f653-4433-9e43-ce874f1bcd0e
                © The Author(s) 2019

                Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

                History
                : 26 June 2019
                : 7 October 2019
                Funding
                Funded by: FundRef https://doi.org/10.13039/100000001, National Science Foundation (NSF);
                Funded by: The American Wildlife Research Foundation, The University of Connecticut Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Wetzel Fund, the Connecticut Department of Environmental Protection Non-game Fund, Sigma Xi, Georgia State University (Biology Department), Zoo Atlanta, Chiricahua Desert Museum
                Categories
                Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2019

                Uncategorized
                climate-change ecology,conservation biology,population dynamics
                Uncategorized
                climate-change ecology, conservation biology, population dynamics

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