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      Comparative effectiveness of first-line palbociclib plus letrozole versus letrozole alone for HR+/HER2− metastatic breast cancer in US real-world clinical practice

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          Abstract

          Background

          Findings from randomized clinical trials may have limited generalizability to patients treated in routine clinical practice. This study examined the effectiveness of first-line palbociclib plus letrozole versus letrozole alone on survival outcomes in patients with hormone receptor–positive (HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor–negative (HER2−) metastatic breast cancer (MBC) treated in routine clinical practice in the USA.

          Patients and methods

          This was a retrospective observational analysis of electronic health records within the Flatiron Health Analytic Database. A total of 1430 patients with ≥ 3 months of follow-up received palbociclib plus letrozole or letrozole alone in the first-line setting between February 3, 2015, and February 28, 2019. Stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting (sIPTW) was used to balance baseline demographic and clinical characteristics. Real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed.

          Results

          After sIPTW adjustment, median follow-up was 24.2 months (interquartile range [IQR], 14.2–34.9) in the palbociclib group and 23.3 months (IQR, 12.7–34.3) in those taking letrozole alone. Palbociclib combination treatment was associated with significantly longer median rwPFS compared to letrozole alone (20.0 vs 11.9 months; hazard ratio [HR], 0.58; 95% CI, 0.49–0.69; P < 0.0001). Median OS was not reached in the palbociclib group and was 43.1 months with letrozole alone (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.53–0.82; P = 0.0002). The 2-year OS rate was 78.3% in the palbociclib group and 68.0% with letrozole alone. A propensity score matching analysis showed similar results.

          Conclusions

          In this “real-world” population of patients with HR+/HER2− MBC, palbociclib in combination with endocrine therapy was associated with improved survival outcomes compared with patients treated with letrozole alone in the first-line setting.

          Trial registration

          Clinicaltrials.gov; NCT04176354

          Supplementary Information

          The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13058-021-01409-8.

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          Most cited references23

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          The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects

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            Moving towards best practice when using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) using the propensity score to estimate causal treatment effects in observational studies

            The propensity score is defined as a subject's probability of treatment selection, conditional on observed baseline covariates. Weighting subjects by the inverse probability of treatment received creates a synthetic sample in which treatment assignment is independent of measured baseline covariates. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) using the propensity score allows one to obtain unbiased estimates of average treatment effects. However, these estimates are only valid if there are no residual systematic differences in observed baseline characteristics between treated and control subjects in the sample weighted by the estimated inverse probability of treatment. We report on a systematic literature review, in which we found that the use of IPTW has increased rapidly in recent years, but that in the most recent year, a majority of studies did not formally examine whether weighting balanced measured covariates between treatment groups. We then proceed to describe a suite of quantitative and qualitative methods that allow one to assess whether measured baseline covariates are balanced between treatment groups in the weighted sample. The quantitative methods use the weighted standardized difference to compare means, prevalences, higher‐order moments, and interactions. The qualitative methods employ graphical methods to compare the distribution of continuous baseline covariates between treated and control subjects in the weighted sample. Finally, we illustrate the application of these methods in an empirical case study. We propose a formal set of balance diagnostics that contribute towards an evolving concept of ‘best practice’ when using IPTW to estimate causal treatment effects using observational data. © 2015 The Authors. Statistics in Medicine Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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              Palbociclib and Letrozole in Advanced Breast Cancer.

              Background A phase 2 study showed that progression-free survival was longer with palbociclib plus letrozole than with letrozole alone in the initial treatment of postmenopausal women with estrogen-receptor (ER)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative advanced breast cancer. We performed a phase 3 study that was designed to confirm and expand the efficacy and safety data for palbociclib plus letrozole for this indication. Methods In this double-blind study, we randomly assigned, in a 2:1 ratio, 666 postmenopausal women with ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer, who had not had prior treatment for advanced disease, to receive palbociclib plus letrozole or placebo plus letrozole. The primary end point was progression-free survival, as assessed by the investigators; secondary end points were overall survival, objective response, clinical benefit response, patient-reported outcomes, pharmacokinetic effects, and safety. Results The median progression-free survival was 24.8 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 22.1 to not estimable) in the palbociclib-letrozole group, as compared with 14.5 months (95% CI, 12.9 to 17.1) in the placebo-letrozole group (hazard ratio for disease progression or death, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.72; P<0.001). The most common grade 3 or 4 adverse events were neutropenia (occurring in 66.4% of the patients in the palbociclib-letrozole group vs. 1.4% in the placebo-letrozole group), leukopenia (24.8% vs. 0%), anemia (5.4% vs. 1.8%), and fatigue (1.8% vs. 0.5%). Febrile neutropenia was reported in 1.8% of patients in the palbociclib-letrozole group and in none of the patients in the placebo-letrozole group. Permanent discontinuation of any study treatment as a result of adverse events occurred in 43 patients (9.7%) in the palbociclib-letrozole group and in 13 patients (5.9%) in the placebo-letrozole group. Conclusions Among patients with previously untreated ER-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer, palbociclib combined with letrozole resulted in significantly longer progression-free survival than that with letrozole alone, although the rates of myelotoxic effects were higher with palbociclib-letrozole. (Funded by Pfizer; PALOMA-2 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01740427 .).
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Angela.DeMichele@uphs.upenn.edu
                Massimo.Cristofanilli@nm.org
                brufskyam@upmc.edu
                Jasonxc.Liu@pfizer.com
                jmardekian@gmail.com
                Lynn.McRoy@pfizer.com
                RLayman@mdanderson.org
                Birol.Emir@pfizer.com
                matorre@emory.edu
                hope.rugo@ucsf.edu
                RFinn@mednet.ucla.edu
                Journal
                Breast Cancer Res
                Breast Cancer Res
                Breast Cancer Research : BCR
                BioMed Central (London )
                1465-5411
                1465-542X
                24 March 2021
                24 March 2021
                2021
                : 23
                : 37
                Affiliations
                [1 ]GRID grid.25879.31, ISNI 0000 0004 1936 8972, Abramson Cancer Center, , University of Pennsylvania, ; 3400 Civic Center Blvd, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
                [2 ]GRID grid.16753.36, ISNI 0000 0001 2299 3507, Robert H. Lurie Cancer Center of Northwestern University, Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, ; 710 N Fairbanks Ct, Suite 8-250A, Chicago, IL 60611 USA
                [3 ]GRID grid.412689.0, ISNI 0000 0001 0650 7433, UPMC Hillman Cancer Center, , University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, ; 300 Halket Street, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
                [4 ]GRID grid.410513.2, ISNI 0000 0000 8800 7493, Pfizer Inc, ; 235 42nd St, New York, NY 10017 USA
                [5 ]GRID grid.240145.6, ISNI 0000 0001 2291 4776, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, ; 1515 Holcombe Boulevard, Unit 1354, Houston, TX 77030 USA
                [6 ]GRID grid.189967.8, ISNI 0000 0001 0941 6502, Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University School of Medicine, ; 1365 Clifton Rd. NE, Building A, 1st Floor, Rm. 1307A, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
                [7 ]GRID grid.266102.1, ISNI 0000 0001 2297 6811, University of California San Francisco Helen Diller Family Comprehensive Cancer Center, ; 1825 4th Street, 3rd Floor, Box 1710, San Francisco, CA 94158 USA
                [8 ]GRID grid.19006.3e, ISNI 0000 0000 9632 6718, David Geffen School of Medicine at University of California Los Angeles, ; 2825 Santa Monica Blvd, Suite 200, Santa Monica, CA 90404 USA
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1297-4251
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4194-7175
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8080-7960
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4851-5161
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8663-0331
                https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2494-2126
                Article
                1409
                10.1186/s13058-021-01409-8
                7989035
                33761995
                38ab2062-7784-4e1c-a90d-ce21376c6a8d
                © The Author(s) 2021

                Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver ( http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

                History
                : 21 November 2020
                : 21 February 2021
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2021

                Oncology & Radiotherapy
                hr+/her2−,metastatic breast cancer,palbociclib,letrozole,real-world data,comparative effectiveness

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