To evaluate the ability of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) in predicting the post-hepatectomy outcome for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Between 2001 and 2004, 69 cirrhotic patients with HCC underwent hepatectomy and the results were retrospectively analysed. MELD score was associated with post-operative mortality and morbidity, hospital stay and 3-year survival. Seventeen major and 52 minor resections were performed. Thirty-day mortality rate was 7.2%. MELD < or = 9 was associated with no peri-operative mortality vs. 19% when MELD > 9 (P < 0.02). Overall morbidity rate was 36.23%; 48% when MELD > 9 vs. 25% when MELD < or = 9 (P < 0.02). Median hospital stay was 12 days [8.8 days, when MELD < or = 9 and 15.6 days when MELD > 9 (P = 0.037)]. Three-year survival reached 49% (66% when MELD < or = 9; 32% when MELD > 9 (P < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, MELD > 9 (P < 0.01), clinical tumour symptoms (P < 0.05) and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score (P < 0.05) were independent predictors of peri-operative mortality; MELD > 9 (P < 0.01), tumour size >5 cm (P < 0.01), high tumour grade (P = 0.01) and absence of tumour capsule (P < 0.01) were independent predictors of decreased long-term survival. MELD score seems to predict outcome of cirrhotic patients with HCC, after hepatectomy.
