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      Variation in SARS‐CoV‐2 Prevalence in US Skilled Nursing Facilities

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          Abstract

          Objective

          To identify county and facility factors associated with SARS‐CoV‐2 outbreaks in skilled nursing facilities (SNFs).

          Desigsn

          Cross‐sectional study linking county SARS‐CoV‐2 prevalence data, administrative data, state reports of SNF outbreaks, and data from Genesis HealthCare, a large multistate provider of post‐acute and long‐term care. State data are reported as of April 21, 2020; Genesis data are reported as of May 4, 2020.

          Setting and Participants

          The Genesis sample consisted of 341 SNFs in 25 states, including a subset of 64 SNFs that underwent universal testing of all residents. The non‐Genesis sample included all other SNFs (n = 3,016) in the 12 states where Genesis operates that released the names of SNFs with outbreaks.

          Measurements

          For Genesis and non‐Genesis SNFs: any outbreak (one or more residents testing positive for SARS‐CoV‐2). For Genesis SNFs only: number of confirmed cases, SNF case fatality rate, prevalence after universal testing.

          Results

          118 (34.6%) Genesis SNFs and 640 (21.2%) non‐Genesis SNFs had outbreaks. A difference in county prevalence of 1,000 cases per 100,000 (1%) was associated with a 33.6 percentage point (95% CI: 9.6, 57.7, P = .008) difference in the probability of an outbreak for Genesis and non‐Genesis SNFs combined, and a difference of 12.5 cases per facility (95% CI: 4.4, 20.8, P = .003) for Genesis SNFs. A 10 bed difference in facility size was associated with a 0.9 percentage point (95% CI: 0.6, 1.2; P < .001) difference in the probability of outbreak. We found no consistent relationship between Nursing Home Compare Five Star‐ratings or past infection control deficiency citations and probability or severity of outbreak.

          Conclusions

          Larger SNFs and SNFs in areas of high SARS‐CoV‐2 prevalence are at high risk for outbreaks and must have access to universal testing to detect cases, implement mitigation strategies, and prevent further potentially avoidable cases and related complications.

          This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

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          Author and article information

          Contributors
          elizabeth_white@brown.edus
          Journal
          J Am Geriatr Soc
          J Am Geriatr Soc
          10.1111/(ISSN)1532-5415
          JGS
          Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
          John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (Hoboken, USA )
          0002-8614
          1532-5415
          16 July 2020
          : 10.1111/jgs.16752
          Affiliations
          [ 1 ] Department of Health Services, Policy, and Practices Brown University School of Public Health
          [ 2 ] Genesis HealthCare
          [ 3 ] Genesis Physician Services
          [ 4 ] Brown University Alpert Medical School, Division of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicines
          [ 5 ] Florida Atlantic University Schmidt College of Medicine
          [ 6 ] Providence Veterans Administration Medical Center Research Service
          Author notes
          [*] [* ]Address correspondence to Elizabeth M. White, Brown University School of Public Health, Center for Gerontology and Healthcare Research, Box G‐S121(6), 121 S. Main Street, Providence, RI 02912, Tel: 646‐379‐0710, E‐mail: elizabeth_white@ 123456brown.edus , Twitter: @betsy_white25
          [†]

          Dr. White and Mr. Kosar contributed equally to this article.

          Author information
          https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4175-8662
          Article
          JGS16752 JAGS-1239-CI-Jun-20.R1
          10.1111/jgs.16752
          7404330
          32674223
          478bf29b-07b5-4d60-a545-4013c7cf062b
          This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

          This article is being made freely available through PubMed Central as part of the COVID-19 public health emergency response. It can be used for unrestricted research re-use and analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source, for the duration of the public health emergency.

          History
          : 04 June 2020
          : 04 July 2020
          : 08 July 2020
          Page count
          Figures: 4, Tables: 1, Pages: 1, Words: 500
          Categories
          Clinical Investigation
          Clinical Investigations
          Custom metadata
          2.0
          accepted-manuscript
          Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_JATSPMC version:5.8.6 mode:remove_FC converted:05.08.2020

          Geriatric medicine
          Geriatric medicine

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