19
views
0
recommends
+1 Recommend
1 collections
    0
    shares
      • Record: found
      • Abstract: found
      • Article: found
      Is Open Access

      Responding to COVID-19 in Brunei Darussalam: Lessons for small countries

      review-article

      Read this article at

      Bookmark
          There is no author summary for this article yet. Authors can add summaries to their articles on ScienceOpen to make them more accessible to a non-specialist audience.

          Abstract

          On January 30, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern”, and the disease now affects almost all countries and areas. While much of the discussion around pandemic preparedness and response has centered around larger countries or those with advanced economies, small countries face different and specific challenges in responding to this event [1]. For many small countries, where the financial envelope is necessarily smaller, pandemic preparedness may rank lower down the list of other more immediate health priorities [2]. Brunei Darussalam, a country with a population of 459 400, recorded its first imported case on March 9, and as of April 20 has detected 138 cases. Assessed against several parameters including a slowing trajectory since the 100th confirmed case, limited local transmission, and the absence of cases with no known epidemiological links, Brunei compares favorably with Singapore, Taiwan, and others considered to have implemented a successful response operation. Despite early success, Brunei must prepare for the possibility of sustained community transmission given the escalating global situation [3]. While the country has advantages including its relative wealth, a very high human development index, and universal health coverage, this scenario presents a specific set of challenges for small countries like Brunei ( Table 1 ). We review Brunei’s response across three thematic areas and propose lessons for other small countries. Table 1 Challenges and opportunities of small countries in preparing for community transmission of COVID-19 Characteristics Challenges Opportunities Multiple land borders and high connectivity to other countries Vulnerable to multiple importation events Implementation of proportionate measures at point of entry Export of disease to other countries Travel and trade restrictions Collaboration with neighbouring countries for rapid exchange of information and joint risk assessment Lack of state capacity or prior experience in managing large outbreaks or natural disasters Infrequent activation of existing coordination mechanisms may result in over-reliance on strong interpersonal relationships for multi-agency working Ensure rationalisation of managerial responsibilities in crisis Institutional memory and resilience are more fragile Clarity on accountability for different plans and procedures, supplemented by documentation of processes to reinforce resilience Limited local health workforce and health service facilities Healthcare services may quickly become overwhelmed with demands for critical care beds and other equipment Health workforce can be redeployed in early phases of the epidemic to regain control Other non-COVID-19 health services may be neglected Contact tracing and quarantine measures can slow down epidemic progression Reliance on imports for PPE and essential medical supplies Supply chain disruptions and travel restrictions may limit availability of essential medical supplies to effectively manage the pandemic PPE and essential drug stockpiling during ‘peacetime’ can be augmented by regional collaboration and strong bilateral and multilateral relationships to ensure supply lines remain constant Information tends to spread quickly in smaller communities with multiple information sources False information may spread quickly and cause public panic, which can be difficult to control on unconventional platforms or social media Ensuring transparency and openness of information from health authorities that are responsive to public concerns Heterogeneous population and significant foreign worker population Different cultural expectations surrounding social distancing measures Engagement with community and religious leaders for targeted approaches Some groups such as foreign workers may be harder to reach Foreign missions can provide assistance in ensuring foreign worker access to health care PPE – personal protective equipment INCIDENT MANAGEMENT, PLANNING, AND MULTI-SECTORAL COORDINATION Brunei’s government is highly centralized and there is a dedicated budget allocation of BND15 million (US$10.5 million) for outbreaks and public health emergencies. Officially, oversight for the COVID-19 response is with the National Disaster Council, a multi-agency group, although the council has convened only occasionally. The Ministry of Health Emergency Operations Centre manages day-to-day issues with ad hoc support from other agencies. However, the lack of an updated resource map and resource-pooling arrangements hampered initial efforts. Moreover, there is a lack of clarity on responsibilities for securing operational logistic arrangements. Many small countries lack experience in crisis management, and response capacities are often untested in real-life events [4]. Although Brunei has a range of legislation that support crisis management, it lacks experience in handling large-scale outbreaks due to infrequent activation of existing coordination mechanisms. Yet strong interpersonal relationships can mitigate the lack of more formal structures, as evident in Brunei’s ad hoc multi-agency arrangements at the technical and operational level. Leveraging these informal networks, at least in the initial phases, can allow for more formal mechanisms to emerge naturally over the course of the outbreak. This should be supplemented by efforts to establish clear lines of accountability and documentation of processes to preserve institutional memory. SURVEILLANCE AND LABORATORY TESTING Enhanced surveillance mechanisms in place since January meant that in the course of the investigation of its first case, Brunei was able to recognize and alert the global health community of an international super-spreading event – the Tablighi Jamaat cluster – the first country to do so. An estimated 15 000 participants from around the world had attended a religious event in Malaysia in late February, including 81 from Brunei. 19 infected locals returned home and transmitted the disease to family members, coworkers, and many others in a local religious gathering, marking the start of Brunei’s first COVID-19 cluster [5]. Brunei’s success in controlling this first wave owes much to its surveillance mechanism supported by rigorous contact tracing. The surveillance system leverages on digital patient records in the national health information management system database that links all health care facilities with near 100% penetration of the population. There are dedicated teams for contact tracing comprising trained public health officers and field workers. Contact tracing is done manually which can be time and resource intensive [2]. In order to ensure sustainability of contact tracing activities, the contact tracing teams are supplemented by police officers who assist in case investigation and activity mapping. Photo: From the collection of Mas Fahri Azahari, used with permission. Brunei is an early adopter of RT-PCR testing in the absence of symptoms. COVID-19 testing is mandatory under the Infectious Disease Act for all individuals with (i) travel or close-contact history (regardless of symptoms); (ii) pneumonia; or (ii) present a second time at a health care facility for an influenza-like illness within a 14-day period. In addition, random sampling is also conducted in community health centers, and among the large foreign worker population. To support this considerable testing strategy, a sports complex has been converted into a 24-hour testing facility and a new Molecular Diagnostic Unit for Respiratory Viruses (built in three weeks) has begun operations, increasing SARS-CoV-2 testing capacity from 240 to 1000 specimens per day [6]. As of April 20, Brunei’s test-per-capita ratio is 2479 in 100 000, among the world’s highest. Brunei’s small population size and centralized government enabled rapid implementation of an enhanced surveillance mechanism and a mass testing program. We propose this model for other small countries, especially those with limited critical care infrastructure and surge capacity. Containment efforts can be crucial in delaying the onset of widespread community transmission, buying vital time to prepare mitigation measures and build capacity for supporting later stages of the pandemic. RISK COMMUNICATION A significant public communications strategy was established, and the government has been more transparent and responsive than usual. A unique (for Brunei) feature of the response are daily press conferences broadcast live on national television and social media channels. These are led by the Health Minister who is frequently joined by other ministers to address queries from the press and public. A dedicated 24-hour hotline for public inquiries and a self-screening mobile application integrated with artificial intelligence and data analytic capabilities have also been established [7]. In general, this transparency has won public trust. Civic society has also played a key role, which is uncommon in the country’s top-down governance structure. A significant grassroots movement sparked a surge of volunteerism and community advocacy to reinforce the official government stance on social distancing and personal hygiene [8]. We recommend that small countries capitalize on their relative ease of information dissemination and invest in risk communication activities that engage the whole society. In Brunei, leadership within the health sector was visible, supported by other sectors, and seen to be responsive to public concerns. Engagement with both traditional and non-traditional media such as social media influencers and local personalities have paid off with momentum generated by local grassroot efforts serving as a counterweight to small pockets of misinformation on social media. At later stages of the pandemic, governments may need communities to sacrifice social well-being and job security during periods of enhanced social distancing. Initial efforts at gaining public trust and support will be crucial in securing compliance to these measures and sustaining the response [9]. Looking ahead, as SARS-CoV-2 is expected to remain circulating, planning an exit strategy that minimises socioeconomic damage and accounts for potential disease resurgence should be initiated [10]. Adopting a phased approach to de-escalation, including gradual relaxation of social distancing measures and leveraging technology for swift contact tracing, could be a viable strategy to sustain the response to the COVID-19 pandemic [11].

          Related collections

          Most cited references5

          • Record: found
          • Abstract: found
          • Article: found
          Is Open Access

          Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests epidemic control with digital contact tracing

          The newly emergent human virus SARS-CoV-2 is resulting in high fatality rates and incapacitated health systems. Preventing further transmission is a priority. We analyzed key parameters of epidemic spread to estimate the contribution of different transmission routes and determine requirements for case isolation and contact-tracing needed to stop the epidemic. We conclude that viral spread is too fast to be contained by manual contact tracing, but could be controlled if this process was faster, more efficient and happened at scale. A contact-tracing App which builds a memory of proximity contacts and immediately notifies contacts of positive cases can achieve epidemic control if used by enough people. By targeting recommendations to only those at risk, epidemics could be contained without need for mass quarantines (‘lock-downs’) that are harmful to society. We discuss the ethical requirements for an intervention of this kind.
            Bookmark
            • Record: found
            • Abstract: found
            • Article: not found

            Isolation, quarantine, social distancing and community containment: pivotal role for old-style public health measures in the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak

            Public health measures were decisive in controlling the SARS epidemic in 2003. Isolation is the separation of ill persons from non-infected persons. Quarantine is movement restriction, often with fever surveillance, of contacts when it is not evident whether they have been infected but are not yet symptomatic or have not been infected. Community containment includes measures that range from increasing social distancing to community-wide quarantine. Whether these measures will be sufficient to control 2019-nCoV depends on addressing some unanswered questions.
              Bookmark
              • Record: found
              • Abstract: found
              • Article: not found

              Major Issues and Challenges of Influenza Pandemic Preparedness in Developing Countries

              Avian influenza, caused by influenza A virus (H5N1), continues to cause outbreaks among poultry and wild birds worldwide. It has spread from Asia to other regions, including Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The number of cases of human subtype H5N1 infection also continues to rise. These historically unprecedented outbreaks have raised serious global concerns about the imminent arrival of an influenza pandemic. The World Health Organization (WHO) urges countries to develop and implement national pandemic preparedness plans to mitigate the health and social effects of a pandemic ( 1 ). However, the level of preparedness varies among countries. In general, developing countries have limited financial and technical resources to strengthen pandemic preparedness. They also face some unique and difficult issues, which make preparing for a pandemic more challenging. These have not been addressed adequately during planning. Effective and feasible strategies are needed to mitigate the impact of the next influenza pandemic in developing countries. Major Issues Potential Impact of Next Influenza Pandemic in Developing Countries When an influenza pandemic emerges, all countries worldwide will inevitably be affected. However, the impact may vary both between and within countries. The estimated deaths for various countries during the Spanish flu pandemic from 1918 to 1920 shows that mortality rates in Europe and North America were significantly lower than those in Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Latin America ( 2 , 3 ). A recent study that estimated the global impact of the Spanish flu pandemic indicated that a considerable difference in mortality rates was observed between high- and low-income countries ( 4 ). Why the pandemic caused such high mortality rates in developing countries is not entirely clear. Several factors may have been involved, including lack of access to adequate medical care, weak public health infrastructures, social factors such as housing conditions and population density, and host factors such as nutritional status and co-existing medical conditions. Another potential factor likely to influence mortality in a future pandemic is the high HIV/AIDS prevalence in some developing countries. Excess deaths attributed to pneumonia or influenza are significantly higher in HIV-positive persons during influenza seasons ( 5 ). HIV co-infection with a pandemic virus can be associated with more severe infections, which may further raise death rates in countries with high HIV/AIDS prevalence. For these reasons, deaths associated with a future pandemic may be greater in developing countries than in industrialized countries. One study concluded that 96% of the estimated 62 million deaths in a future pandemic would occur in developing countries ( 4 ). The impact of such high mortality rates obviously needs to be taken into account when creating pandemic preparedness plans for developing countries. However, no appropriate model that can estimate the impact of an influenza pandemic in developing countries exists. Models are based on data from industrialized countries ( 6 ), which may underestimate the actual impact of a pandemic in developing countries. Availability of Vaccines and Antiviral Agents in Developing Countries Several possible interventions can be implemented to control or mitigate the effects of an influenza pandemic, which include pharmaceutical interventions such as vaccines and antiviral agents, and nonpharmaceutical interventions such as quarantine, isolation, social distancing, and personal hygiene ( 7 ). Pharmaceutical interventions are needed for mitigating the impact of an influenza pandemic ( 8 ). Vaccines for subtype H5N1 viruses are currently being developed, and clinical trials are under way ( 9 , 10 ). However, worldwide vaccine production capacity is limited and is primarily in industrialized countries, where most seasonal influenza vaccine is produced ( 11 ). A recent WHO report estimated that the worldwide vaccine production capacity for current influenza vaccines is 350 million doses per year ( 12 ). That level of production is clearly insufficient to supply vaccines to all countries. Only a limited number of vaccine doses would be available, particularly in the early stages of the pandemic, and most of them would likely be supplied to industrialized countries. Many countries, especially developing countries, will be forced to confront the next pandemic with few or no available vaccines. Antiviral agents are also considered effective for an influenza pandemic. They are particularly useful in the early stages of a pandemic when there is a shortage of vaccines ( 13 ). Two groups of antiviral agents for influenza are currently available, including M2 ion-channel inhibitors (amantadine and rimantadine) and neuraminidase inhibitors (oseltamivir and zanamivir). Neuraminidase inhibitors are preferred because some influenza viruses show high frequencies of resistance to M2 ion-channel inhibitors ( 14 ). Stockpiling of neuraminidase inhibitors is under way in many industrialized countries as part of national influenza pandemic preparedness ( 15 ). However, the stockpiles of antiviral agents available in developing countries are small and limited. WHO has global and regional stockpiles of antiviral agents, which are limited and are specifically used for early response and containment. The stockpile of antiviral agents is insufficient for a global pandemic. The most critical limiting factor for stockpiling of neuraminidase inhibitors in developing countries is their high cost. One treatment course of oseltamivir (i.e., 10 tablets) costs US $15, even at a discount rate ( 16 ), which is far too expensive for developing countries. Some industrialized countries have set a target to stockpile oseltamivir to treat 25% of the general population. To purchase adequate oseltamivir for 25% of the total population, only 0.11% of the total annual health expenditure is required in high-income countries. In low-income countries, however, the expense would be 12.9% of the annual expenditure (Table 1). Therefore, it is not feasible for low-income countries to allocate scarce resources to stockpile sufficient quantities of oseltamivir for an unpredictable influenza pandemic. Table 1 Cost of purchasing oseltamivir to cover 25% of population with regard to total health expenditure in countries with different economic status* Category of country Average GNP, per capita† Average annual health expenditure, per capita† Cost of 1 treatment course of oseltamivir, 
% annual health expenditure High income 30,168 3,376 0.11 Upper middle income 4,310 280 1.34 Lower middle income 1,364 77 4.87 Low income 753 29 12.93 *Data obtained from World Health Organization website (www.who.int/nha). GNP, gross national product.
†In US$. Limitations of Pharmaceutical Interventions The recent efforts to increase global availability of vaccines and antiviral agents can contribute to increasing the global availability of these pharmaceutical interventions. However, increased availability alone will not solve all the problems in many countries. Several other issues need to be addressed to implement pharmaceutical interventions. These pharmaceutical commodities, including syringes and needles for vaccines, should be delivered to healthcare facilities throughout the country. That is a difficult logistic challenge for many developing countries. Human resources are also required to implement these interventions. Yet, there are some uncertainties about the effectiveness of these pharmaceutical interventions. Even neuraminidase inhibitors may not be fully effective for a pandemic virus, whose pathogenesis in human hosts differs from that of seasonal influenza viruses. Another potential problem with the antiviral drugs is the risk that resistant strains will emerge. Vaccines may not be effective because of antigenic differences between a vaccine strain and a pandemic virus, or for other reasons. Full-scale implementation of pharmaceutical interventions that requires enormous financial and human resources may not be the best use of limited resources in developing countries. The governments, international organizations such as WHO, and donors should consider various factors when providing support for pharmaceutical interventions in developing countries. Maintaining a balance between pharmaceutical and nonpharmaceutical interventions is necessary to achieve the best use of limited resources. Lack of Medical and Public Health Infrastructure to Cope with an Influenza Pandemic During an influenza pandemic, morbidity and mortality may be extremely high. Healthcare facilities would be quickly overwhelmed with increased numbers of patients. In the United States alone, an estimated 18–42 million outpatient visits and 314,000–734,000 hospitalizations could occur ( 6 ). The surge capacity in healthcare systems will likely be insufficient to cope with this rise in patient numbers, even in industrialized countries ( 17 , 18 ). Healthcare resources such as the number of physicians, nurses, and available hospital beds are limited in developing countries. In some countries, resources are insufficient to cope with patients even during normal circumstances. Hospitals and clinics in developing countries will be easily overwhelmed by the increasing number of patients during an influenza pandemic. Using the method described by Wilson et al. ( 19 ), we estimated the number of required hospital admissions for countries of varying economic status. The percentages of available hospital beds occupied by influenza patients at incidence rates of 15% and 35% were calculated by using FluSurge software, version 2.0 ( 20 ). Demographic data were obtained from the US Census Bureau website (www.census.gov/ipc/www/idb) and information related to the number of available beds was obtained from a WHO database (WHOSIS, www.who.int/whosis/en). Results are shown in Table 2. The percentage of hospital beds required for patients with pandemic influenza is much higher in low-income countries than in high-income countries. With an incidence rate of 35%, up to 79.1% of hospital beds are required for patients with pandemic influenza in low-income countries. In countries like Bangladesh and Nepal, >100% of beds would be required for patients with pandemic influenza, even at the incidence rate of 15% (data not shown). This model is based on data from the United States, and the difference in disease severity among the countries was not considered. This model may underestimate the hospital bed requirements in developing countries, where a pandemic virus may cause more severe infections. Some hospitalized patients will require mechanical ventilation ( 17 ), but few mechanical ventilators, if any, are available in many hospitals in developing countries. Table 2 Hospital bed requirements during an influenza pandemic in countries with different economic status* Category of country Mean no. hospital beds/1,000 population (range) Mean no. hospital beds required, as % of available hospital beds (range) 15% Incidence rate 35% Incidence rate High income (N = 38 per capita) 50.7 (21–196) 8.9 (2.2–15.5) 20.8 (5.2–35.7) Upper middle income (N = 28 per capita) 45.1 (9–99) 10.6 (3.9–30.1) 24.8 (9.0–70.3) Lower middle income (N = 46 per capita) 30.0 (5–112) 15.5 (2.4–50.0) 36.2 (5.7–116) Low income (N = 19 per capita) 26.2 (1.5–132) 33.9 (2.5–164) 79.1 (5.9–383) *Only those countries with data on hospital beds and that were included in the World Bank country classification were included in the analyses. African countries are not incorporated in the analyses because they have no hospital bed data. During an influenza pandemic, additional essential medical supplies such as gloves, masks, syringes, antipyretics, and antimicrobial agents will also be required. These supplies are insufficient in healthcare facilities in developing countries, even in nonemergency situations. Lack of these supplies may hamper provision of adequate medical care for patients with pandemic influenza. Basic personal protective equipment such as disposable gloves and surgical masks are needed for protecting healthcare workers. Antimicrobial agents are expected to be effective for secondary bacterial pneumonia, which can be a major cause of death for patients with pandemic influenza ( 21 ). Therefore, proper treatment with antimicrobial agents can be crucial for preventing deaths. However, in some developing countries, sufficient stocks of essential drugs, including antimicrobial agents, are often unavailable. In countries with limited healthcare resources, providing routine medical care for other conditions may become difficult during a pandemic. For example, the treatment for tuberculosis or the antiretroviral treatment for AIDS patients may not be provided because of disruption in healthcare systems. Maintaining other public health programs, such as vaccination, may also be difficult when most of public health resources are spent for the response to a pandemic. Future Directions Improving Planning Process To minimize the impact of an influenza pandemic, good preparedness plans need to be developed. With the increasing risk for a pandemic caused by the spread of influenza A virus (H5N1), most countries have started such planning. These national plans were recently reviewed from different perspectives ( 15 , 22 – 24 ). The level of planning in many developing countries is still inadequate to deal with such a major public health crisis. Some plans are based on the available plans of industrialized countries, or follow similar approaches to those of industrialized countries. As described above, the approaches used by industrialized countries may not be feasible or appropriate for developing countries. In addition, each country has specific issues, and therefore it should develop a plan based on its own requirements. This task can be difficult for most developing countries because they have little or no expertise with influenza and pandemic preparedness. For the few infectious disease experts working on infectious diseases in each country, numerous competing priorities exist, such as HIV/AIDS, malaria, tuberculosis, and vaccine-preventable diseases. Feasible, user-friendly tools are needed to assist these countries. WHO has developed several such tools, including a checklist for national preparedness ( 25 ). However, these tools describe the general approaches to pandemic preparedness and are not specifically designed for countries with limited resources. For developing countries more practical tools are needed, among them models to estimate the impact of a pandemic in developing countries, a list of feasible interventions to mitigate the impact of pandemic without available pharmaceutical interventions, and planning guidelines for hospitals with limited resources. Increasing Availability of Antiviral Agents and Vaccines If the next pandemic occurs in a few years, vaccines and antiviral agents, particularly neuraminidase inhibitors, may not be available as a main intervention in developing countries. Availability needs to be increased to fill the gaps between developed and industrialized countries. WHO recommends an increase in worldwide vaccine production to meet the demand during a pandemic ( 12 ). Several countries have initiated projects to improve influenza vaccine production with technical and financial support from WHO and donors. However, improved vaccine production capacity is not sustainable if only used for pandemic influenza vaccines. The use of seasonal influenza vaccines would also need to increase in these countries. However, the cost of the vaccines (US $3–$7 per dose) is a barrier in increasing their use ( 12 ). There is also little available evidence on the effectiveness and cost benefits of seasonal influenza vaccines in tropical developing countries. Further efforts should be made to reduce the cost and to collect additional scientific data to increase the use of seasonal influenza vaccines. Some approaches have been proposed and tested to reduce the amount of antigens per vaccine dose for pandemic vaccine so that more vaccines, including adjuvant and whole virion vaccines, can be supplied ( 10 ). The world is expected to have an increased capacity to produce vaccines for pandemic influenza viruses by 2010 ( 12 ). In some countries, the vaccines for the subtype with a pandemic potential are being produced and stockpiled as a prepandemic vaccine, which can be a useful tool to mitigate the impact of a pandemic ( 26 ). However, both pandemic and prepandemic vaccines would not be available in developing countries unless an international mechanism exists to share such vaccines with them at a low cost. Some actions have also been taken to reduce the cost of neuraminidase inhibitors such as oseltamivir. It is being produced in sublicensing companies in developing countries to increase its supply at a lower cost. However, oseltamivir may still not be affordable for many developing countries. In industrialized countries, M2 ion-channel inhibitors are not considered a first choice of treatment because of the high rate of resistance to these inhibitors. However, amantadine is much cheaper than neuraminidase inhibitors and is more widely available. Most subtype H5N1 isolates that belong to clade 1 are resistant to amantadine, but many clade 2 viruses are still susceptible to amantadine ( 27 ). M2 ion-channel inhibitors can be a valid option for a pandemic, especially in developing countries ( 28 ). The value of M2 ion-channel inhibitors as a treatment option for an influenza pandemic should be evaluated further. Providing Better Medical Care The health consequences of a pandemic, including deaths, can be substantially reduced by providing better medical care. Several issues need to be addressed to provide adequate medical care during a pandemic. First, essential medical supplies such as masks, gloves, and antimicrobial agents should be available in hospitals and clinics. The stockpiles of these basic supplies can be more cost-effective in developing countries than the stockpiles of more expensive antiviral agents. Guidelines on the types and quantity of essential items that are required in hospitals and clinics should be developed. Second, healthcare personnel should be trained for infection control measures. Even surgical masks are not commonly used in many developing countries, and hand hygiene practices are not always followed. Basic training on infection control should be provided to improve pandemic preparedness in healthcare settings. Third, healthcare and public health systems need to be maintained to minimize the impact of a pandemic. These systems should be maintained to deal not only with a pandemic but also with other health problems such as malaria, tuberculosis, and HIV. Developing Feasible Mitigation Strategies More feasible and effective strategies should be developed as soon as possible to mitigate the negative impact of an influenza pandemic in developing countries. Since the availability of pharmaceutical interventions in developing countries is less likely, nonpharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing and personal hygiene may be the only available interventions. Public health measures such as school closure and household quarantine have been evaluated by using mathematical models for their effectiveness in mitigating the impact of a pandemic ( 29 , 30 ) and may have potential beneficial effects. However, the models suggest that substantial benefits of these measures require implementation with antiviral prophylaxis or vaccines ( 29 , 30 ). The evidence for effectiveness of public health measures is limited and is based primarily on experience in industrialized countries ( 31 , 32 ). For example, handwashing and hand hygiene have been highly publicized as a core management strategy for avian and pandemic influenza in developing countries ( 33 ). Although handwashing is effective in reducing the incidence of common diseases such as acute respiratory infections ( 34 ), data on its effectiveness specifically for community-acquired influenza infections are limited ( 31 ). Recommendations on nonpharmaceutical interventions have been based on available evidence ( 35 ). Accumulation of further scientific evidence for these measures, which can be implemented at a low cost, is urgently required. Strengthening Core Capacities Many health programs in developing countries depend on financial support from donors. Influenza had little donor interest before the current avian influenza outbreaks. More donor funds are available for avian and pandemic influenza. These funds are often earmarked for specific activities. However, a more general approach is required to improve pandemic preparedness in developing countries. Improving pandemic preparedness without establishing a proper national program for seasonal influenza is unrealistic. For example, increasing the availability of pandemic vaccines without increasing the use of vaccines for seasonal influenza is difficult. It is also difficult to implement infection control measures in hospitals and personal hygiene during a pandemic if they are not routinely implemented for seasonal influenza and other infections. Lack of adequate infrastructure and technical expertise is a fundamental issue for developing countries, not only for influenza pandemic preparedness but also for any other infectious disease threats. Revised International Health Regulations (2005) were adopted at the World Health Assembly in 2005, under which each country is required to have core capacities for disease surveillance and response ( 36 ). Strengthening the core capacity in each country should be an essential step to improve preparedness for any public health emergency, including an influenza pandemic. Although some actions should be taken immediately to address urgent issues regarding a pandemic threat posed by influenza A (H5N1), a long-term vision is required to establish such core capacity in every country. Strengthening International Collaboration An influenza pandemic will spread to every corner of the world; hence, every country must be prepared for such a global event. All human cases of infection with influenza A virus (H5N1) have so far occurred in less industrialized countries, and thus the pandemic virus is likely to emerge from these countries. Epidemiologic models have indicated the possibility of rapid containment of the virus with a pandemic potential ( 37 , 38 ). WHO has stockpiles of oseltamivir specifically for the early containment of a potential pandemic. However, the window of opportunity is narrow, and early containment operations should be initiated as soon as the initial sign of a potential pandemic is detected. Timely sharing of the virus strains and relevant information is essential for such containment to be successful. Sharing of the virus stains is also critical to develop pandemic vaccines. However, some countries do not share the virus strains with WHO reference laboratories. These countries argue that the virus strains from their countries would be used to develop pandemic vaccines that would only be available for rich countries ( 39 ). Developing countries have no incentives to share the virus strains if they do not benefit from the vaccines developed from these strains. The gaps in resources, including vaccine production capacity between the developing and industrialized countries, hinder the global effort to respond to a pandemic. Unequal distribution of resources, including antiviral stockpiles, could also be a major international issue when an influenza pandemic occurs. Countries with limited or no antiviral stockpiles and other resources may not be able to cope with the pandemic. A pandemic poses a serious threat to global health security if large gaps in capacity and available resources continue to persist. Large numbers of people may attempt to cross international borders to obtain better medical care, including antiviral treatment, or to escape a chaotic situation. Preparing for a pandemic by simply strengthening preparedness within a single country is not possible. A pandemic is a global issue, and pandemic preparedness should be considered from a global perspective.
                Bookmark

                Author and article information

                Journal
                J Glob Health
                J Glob Health
                JGH
                Journal of Global Health
                International Society of Global Health
                2047-2978
                2047-2986
                June 2020
                11 June 2020
                : 10
                : 1
                : 010363
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Disease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Brunei Darussalam
                [2 ]Centre for Strategic and Policy Studies, Brunei Darussalam
                [3 ]Universiti Brunei Darussalam, Brunei Darussalam
                [4 ]PAPRSB Institute of Health Sciences, Universiti Brunei Darussalam, Brunei Darussalam
                Author notes
                Correspondence to:
Dr Justin Wong, MBBS, MPhil, FFPH
Disease Control Division
Ministry of Health
Commonwealth Drive
Bandar Seri Begawan
Brunei BB3910
 justin.wong@ 123456moh.gov.bn
                Article
                jogh-10-010363
                10.7189/jogh.10.010363
                7295448
                4effb65d-4317-4ecd-8834-08a3f0ce499f
                Copyright © 2020 by the Journal of Global Health. All rights reserved.

                This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

                History
                Page count
                Figures: 1, Tables: 1, Equations: 0, References: 11, Pages: 4
                Categories
                Viewpoints

                Public health
                Public health

                Comments

                Comment on this article