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      Designing Information Provision Experiments

      1 , 2 , 3
      Journal of Economic Literature
      American Economic Association
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          Abstract

          Information provision experiments allow researchers to test economic theories and answer policy-relevant questions by varying the information set available to respondents. We survey the emerging literature using information provision experiments in economics and discuss applications in macroeconomics, finance, political economy, public economics, labor economics, and health economics. We also discuss design considerations and provide best-practice recommendations on how to (i) measure beliefs; (ii) design the information intervention; (iii) measure belief updating; (iv) deal with potential confounds, such as experimenter demand effects; and (v) recruit respondents using online panels. We finally discuss typical effect sizes and provide sample size recommendations.(JEL C90, D83, D91)

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          Most cited references221

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          Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.

          This article described three heuristics that are employed in making judgements under uncertainty: (i) representativeness, which is usually employed when people are asked to judge the probability that an object or event A belongs to class or process B; (ii) availability of instances or scenarios, which is often employed when people are asked to assess the frequency of a class or the plausibility of a particular development; and (iii) adjustment from an anchor, which is usually employed in numerical prediction when a relevant value is available. These heuristics are highly economical and usually effective, but they lead to systematic and predictable errors. A better understanding of these heuristics and of the biases to which they lead could improve judgements and decisions in situations of uncertainty.
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            Response strategies for coping with the cognitive demands of attitude measures in surveys

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              VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Journal of Economic Literature
                Journal of Economic Literature
                American Economic Association
                0022-0515
                March 01 2023
                March 01 2023
                : 61
                : 1
                : 3-40
                Affiliations
                [1 ] Department of Economics, NHH Norwegian School of Economics.
                [2 ] University of Cologne and ECONtribute.
                [3 ] Department of Economics and Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI), University of Copenhagen, CESifo, and the Danish Finance Institute.
                Article
                10.1257/jel.20211658
                575a5341-e308-4716-a045-c91d53f116c1
                © 2023
                History

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