717. Cumulative Incidence of Asthma/Wheezing Among Neonates/Infants/Toddlers Clinically Diagnosed with Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in the United States: A Retrospective Database Analysis

Abstract

Background

The role of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in the development of asthma/wheezing (AW) has been evaluated in several studies, mostly among pre-term infants or among infants after developing severe RSV-related disease. We describe the cumulative incidence (CI) of AW among hospitalized/ambulatory neonates/infants/toddlers after RSV/bronchiolitis infection diagnosis, in a large clinical database.

Methods

Using deidentified Optum Integrated commercial claims and electronic medical records, we identified patients (0–<3 years old) with a first clinical diagnosis of RSV/bronchiolitis infection from 01 January 2008–31 March 2016. Patients with a diagnosis of asthma/wheezing ≤30 days after first RSV/bronchiolitis diagnosis were excluded. Three cohorts were created with 1/3/5 years of follow-up time required, respectively. Patients were grouped by specific high-risk factors (HRF+/−), including pre-term births and predefined pre-existing disease. Descriptive statistics are reported, with comparisons made by logistic regression analyses.

Results

9,811/4,524/1,788 patients with RSV/bronchiolitis infection and HRF− were included in the 1/3/5-years follow-up cohorts. 14.9%/28.2%/36.3% had AW events by the end of follow-up in the three cohorts. 6.5%/6.9%/5.8% were hospitalized for RSV/bronchiolitis. 3,030/1,378/552 patients with RSV/bronchiolitis infection and HRF+ were included in the 1/3/5-years follow-up cohorts. 18.1%/32.9%/37.9% had AW events by the end of follow-up in the three cohorts. 11.4%/11.1%/11.6% were hospitalized for RSV/bronchiolitis. The CI rates of AW in the 1/3/5-year HRF+/− cohorts, stratified by hospitalized for RSV/bronchiolitis Y/N, are shown in Figure 1.

Logistic regression confirmed that hospitalization for RSV/bronchiolitis was associated with an increased ( P < 0.05) likelihood of AW, for HRF+ and HRF− patients at each follow-up year.

Conclusion

Thirty-eight percent of RSV/bronchiolitis infants/neonates/toddlers HRF+, and 36% among infants/neonates/toddlers HRF−, developed AW in the 5 years after first RSV/bronchiolitis diagnosis. RSV/bronchiolitis hospitalization was associated with a significantly increased risk of AW development in 1/3/5 years of follow-up; confirming previous observational study results.

Disclosures

V. Wyffels, Janssen: Employee, Salary. M. Smulders, SmaertAnalyst: Consultant, Consulting fee. S. Gavart, Janssen: Employee, Salary. D. Mazumder, SmartAnalyst: Consultant, Consulting fee. R. Tyagi, SmartAnalyst: Consultant, Consulting fee. N. Gupta, SmartAnalyst: Consultant, Consulting fee. R. Fleischhackl, Janssen: Employee, Salary.