Timing and Predictors of Loss of Infectivity Among Healthcare Workers With Mild Primary and Recurrent COVID-19: A Prospective Observational Cohort Study

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Abstract

Background

There is a need to understand the duration of infectivity of primary and recurrent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and identify predictors of loss of infectivity.

Methods

Prospective observational cohort study with serial viral culture, rapid antigen detection test (RADT) and reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) on nasopharyngeal specimens of healthcare workers with COVID-19. The primary outcome was viral culture positivity as indicative of infectivity. Predictors of loss of infectivity were determined using multivariate regression model. The performance of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) criteria (fever resolution, symptom improvement, and negative RADT) to predict loss of infectivity was also investigated.

Results

In total, 121 participants (91 female [79.3%]; average age, 40 years) were enrolled. Most (n = 107, 88.4%) had received ≥3 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine doses, and 20 (16.5%) had COVID-19 previously. Viral culture positivity decreased from 71.9% (87/121) on day 5 of infection to 18.2% (22/121) on day 10. Participants with recurrent COVID-19 had a lower likelihood of infectivity than those with primary COVID-19 at each follow-up (day 5 odds ratio [OR], 0.14; P < .001]; day 7 OR, 0.04; P = .003]) and were all non-infective by day 10 ( P = .02). Independent predictors of infectivity included prior COVID-19 (adjusted OR [aOR] on day 5, 0.005; P = .003), an RT-PCR cycle threshold [Ct] value <23 (aOR on day 5, 22.75; P < .001) but not symptom improvement or RADT result.

The CDC criteria would identify 36% (24/67) of all non-infectious individuals on day 7. However, 17% (5/29) of those meeting all the criteria had a positive viral culture.

Conclusions

Infectivity of recurrent COVID-19 is shorter than primary infections. Loss of infectivity algorithms could be optimized.

Abstract

Among 121 individuals with COVID-19, viral culture positivity decreased from 72% on day 5 of infection to 18% on day 10. Predictors of loss of infectivity included a history of previous infection and a RT-PCR cycle threshold value >27.

Graphical Abstract

This graphical abstract is also available at Tidbit: https://tidbitapp.io/tidbits/timing-and-predictors-of-loss-of-infectivity-among-healthcare-workers-with-mild-primary-and-recurrent-covid-19-a-prospective-observational-cohort-study-9a1bfc5d-3c21-4659-a057-701bb1b5b542

Related collections

Most cited references 34

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Virological assessment of hospitalized patients with COVID-2019

Roman Wölfel, Victor M Corman, Wolfgang Guggemos … (2020)

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an acute infection of the respiratory tract that emerged in late 20191,2. Initial outbreaks in China involved 13.8% of cases with severe courses, and 6.1% of cases with critical courses3. This severe presentation may result from the virus using a virus receptor that is expressed predominantly in the lung2,4; the same receptor tropism is thought to have determined the pathogenicity-but also aided in the control-of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 20035. However, there are reports of cases of COVID-19 in which the patient shows mild upper respiratory tract symptoms, which suggests the potential for pre- or oligosymptomatic transmission6-8. There is an urgent need for information on virus replication, immunity and infectivity in specific sites of the body. Here we report a detailed virological analysis of nine cases of COVID-19 that provides proof of active virus replication in tissues of the upper respiratory tract. Pharyngeal virus shedding was very high during the first week of symptoms, with a peak at 7.11 × 108 RNA copies per throat swab on day 4. Infectious virus was readily isolated from samples derived from the throat or lung, but not from stool samples-in spite of high concentrations of virus RNA. Blood and urine samples never yielded virus. Active replication in the throat was confirmed by the presence of viral replicative RNA intermediates in the throat samples. We consistently detected sequence-distinct virus populations in throat and lung samples from one patient, proving independent replication. The shedding of viral RNA from sputum outlasted the end of symptoms. Seroconversion occurred after 7 days in 50% of patients (and by day 14 in all patients), but was not followed by a rapid decline in viral load. COVID-19 can present as a mild illness of the upper respiratory tract. The confirmation of active virus replication in the upper respiratory tract has implications for the containment of COVID-19.

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The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies.

Erik von Elm, Douglas G. Altman, Matthias Egger … (2008)

Much of biomedical research is observational. The reporting of such research is often inadequate, which hampers the assessment of its strengths and weaknesses and of a study's generalizability. The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) Initiative developed recommendations on what should be included in an accurate and complete report of an observational study. We defined the scope of the recommendations to cover three main study designs: cohort, case-control, and cross-sectional studies. We convened a 2-day workshop in September 2004, with methodologists, researchers, and journal editors to draft a checklist of items. This list was subsequently revised during several meetings of the coordinating group and in e-mail discussions with the larger group of STROBE contributors, taking into account empirical evidence and methodological considerations. The workshop and the subsequent iterative process of consultation and revision resulted in a checklist of 22 items (the STROBE Statement) that relate to the title, abstract, introduction, methods, results, and discussion sections of articles. Eighteen items are common to all three study designs and four are specific for cohort, case-control, or cross-sectional studies. A detailed Explanation and Elaboration document is published separately and is freely available on the web sites of PLoS Medicine, Annals of Internal Medicine, and Epidemiology. We hope that the STROBE Statement will contribute to improving the quality of reporting of observational studies.

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Presymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infections and Transmission in a Skilled Nursing Facility

Melissa M. Arons, Kelly Hatfield, Sujan Reddy … (2020)

Abstract Background Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection can spread rapidly within skilled nursing facilities. After identification of a case of Covid-19 in a skilled nursing facility, we assessed transmission and evaluated the adequacy of symptom-based screening to identify infections in residents. Methods We conducted two serial point-prevalence surveys, 1 week apart, in which assenting residents of the facility underwent nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal testing for SARS-CoV-2, including real-time reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR), viral culture, and sequencing. Symptoms that had been present during the preceding 14 days were recorded. Asymptomatic residents who tested positive were reassessed 7 days later. Residents with SARS-CoV-2 infection were categorized as symptomatic with typical symptoms (fever, cough, or shortness of breath), symptomatic with only atypical symptoms, presymptomatic, or asymptomatic. Results Twenty-three days after the first positive test result in a resident at this skilled nursing facility, 57 of 89 residents (64%) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Among 76 residents who participated in point-prevalence surveys, 48 (63%) tested positive. Of these 48 residents, 27 (56%) were asymptomatic at the time of testing; 24 subsequently developed symptoms (median time to onset, 4 days). Samples from these 24 presymptomatic residents had a median rRT-PCR cycle threshold value of 23.1, and viable virus was recovered from 17 residents. As of April 3, of the 57 residents with SARS-CoV-2 infection, 11 had been hospitalized (3 in the intensive care unit) and 15 had died (mortality, 26%). Of the 34 residents whose specimens were sequenced, 27 (79%) had sequences that fit into two clusters with a difference of one nucleotide. Conclusions Rapid and widespread transmission of SARS-CoV-2 was demonstrated in this skilled nursing facility. More than half of residents with positive test results were asymptomatic at the time of testing and most likely contributed to transmission. Infection-control strategies focused solely on symptomatic residents were not sufficient to prevent transmission after SARS-CoV-2 introduction into this facility.

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Author and article information

Contributors

Stefania Dzieciolowska

Hugues Charest

Tonya Roy

Judith Fafard

Sara Carazo

Ines Levade

Jean Longtin

Leighanne Parkes

Sylvie Nancy Beaulac

Jasmin Villeneuve

Patrice Savard

Jacques Corbeil

Gaston De Serres

Yves Longtin:

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4532-379X

Journal

Journal ID (nlm-ta): Clin Infect Dis

Journal ID (iso-abbrev): Clin Infect Dis

Journal ID (publisher-id): cid

Title: Clinical Infectious Diseases: An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America

Publisher: Oxford University Press (US )

ISSN (Print): 1058-4838

ISSN (Electronic): 1537-6591

Publication date Collection: 15 March 2024

Publication date (Electronic): 07 September 2023

Publication date PMC-release: 07 September 2023

Volume: 78

Issue: 3

Pages: 613-624