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      Incidence, Risk and Protective Factors for Unintentional, Nonfatal, Fall-Related Injuries at Home: A Community-Based Household Survey from Ujjain, India

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          Abstract

          Background

          Childhood injury is an increasing public health burden and considered a major cause of childhood morbidity and mortality worldwide. In this study, we identified the distribution and risk factors for fall-related child injuries at home in Ujjain, India.

          Methods

          A community-based, cross-sectional study was conducted in 2017 in Ujjain, India, which included 6308 children up to 18 years of age living in 2518 households. Data were collected using a pretested, semi-structured, proforma from the parents of the included children.

          Results

          The overall incidence of home injury was 7.78% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.12–8.84) in the last 1 year, ie, 2015–16. The incidence was significantly higher at 5–10 years of age (odds ratio [OR]: 2.91, 95% CI: 1.75–4.85; P < 0.001), followed by 1–5 years (OR: 2.66, 95% CI: 1.59–4.45; P < 0.001). The incidence of injuries was higher in boys than in girls (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.43–2.10; P < 0.001). Other risk factors associated with unintentional fall injuries at home were residence (rural vs urban; aOR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.03–1.51; P = 0.018), number of family members (≤4 vs 5–10 and ≤4 vs >10; aOR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.56–0.86; P < 0.001 and aOR: 0.67, CI: 0.48–0.94; P < 0.023, respectively), cooking area (combined vs separate; aOR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.68–1.00; P = 0.057), and whether mother is alive vs not alive (aOR: 2.09, 95% CI: 1.10–3.94; P = 0.023).

          Conclusion

          The incidence of fall injuries among children at home in Ujjain, India, was similar to other resource constraint settings. The incidence was higher in rural areas, in the age group of 5–10 years, and in families in which the mother was not alive. By contrast, large and combined families had a lower incidence of falls.

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          Most cited references29

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          Use and misuse of the receiver operating characteristic curve in risk prediction.

          The c statistic, or area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, achieved popularity in diagnostic testing, in which the test characteristics of sensitivity and specificity are relevant to discriminating diseased versus nondiseased patients. The c statistic, however, may not be optimal in assessing models that predict future risk or stratify individuals into risk categories. In this setting, calibration is as important to the accurate assessment of risk. For example, a biomarker with an odds ratio of 3 may have little effect on the c statistic, yet an increased level could shift estimated 10-year cardiovascular risk for an individual patient from 8% to 24%, which would lead to different treatment recommendations under current Adult Treatment Panel III guidelines. Accepted risk factors such as lipids, hypertension, and smoking have only marginal impact on the c statistic individually yet lead to more accurate reclassification of large proportions of patients into higher-risk or lower-risk categories. Perfectly calibrated models for complex disease can, in fact, only achieve values for the c statistic well below the theoretical maximum of 1. Use of the c statistic for model selection could thus naively eliminate established risk factors from cardiovascular risk prediction scores. As novel risk factors are discovered, sole reliance on the c statistic to evaluate their utility as risk predictors thus seems ill-advised.
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            Reducing the global burden of childhood unintentional injuries.

            Among 1-19-year olds, unintentional injuries accounted for 12% of 5.1 million global deaths from injuries in 2010. Despite this high burden, childhood injuries have not received much attention in global health. This paper describes the major causes of deaths from childhood unintentional injuries and provides a review of interventions for reducing this burden. About 627,741 deaths were due to unintentional injuries in 2010 among 1-19-year olds. The proportionate mortality increased with age-from 12.6% among 1-4-year olds to 28.8% among 15-19-year olds. Deaths from Western sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia accounted for more than 50% of all deaths. Rates in these regions are 68.0 and 36.4 per 100 000 population, respectively, compared to 6.4 in Western Europe. Road traffic injuries (RTI) are the commonest cause of death, followed by deaths from drowning, burns and falls. Male children are more predisposed to unintentional injuries except for burns which occur more frequently among females in low and middle income countries (LMICs). Effective solutions exist--including barriers for preventing drowning; safer stoves for burns; child restraint systems for RTI--but the effectiveness of these measures need to be rigorously tested in LMICs. The general lack of a coordinated global response to the burden of childhood unintentional injuries is of concern. The global community must create stronger coalitions and national or local plans for action. Death rates for this paper may have been underestimated, and there is need for longitudinal studies to accurately measure the impact of injuries in LMICs.
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              Caregiver supervision and child-injury risk: I. Issues in defining and measuring supervision; II. Findings and directions for future research.

              To discuss the role of caregiver supervision in child-injury risk, with attention given to definitional and methodological issues and outlining important questions to be addressed in future research. Analysis, synthesis, and critique of existing literature. Comparisons across studies are difficult because of insufficient specificity regarding what constitutes supervision. Hence, a multi-dimensional definition of supervision is developed based on the literature. Numerous issues arise when attempting to measure supervision and these are extensively discussed, along with reporting on the recent development of two questionnaire measures of supervision (Beliefs About Supervision Questionnaire and Parent Supervision Attributes Profile Questionnaire) that have shown good validity and hold promise for addressing the problem of measuring caregiver supervision in reliable and valid ways. A review of the findings on relations between supervision and child-injury risk reveals that many substantive questions remain unanswered. A number of recommendations for future research are given and a conceptual model is presented that focuses attention on the need for research that examines how factors interact to influence child-injury risk. This model has relevance not only for research but also for prevention and serves to emphasize the complementary nature of environment-oriented and person-oriented approaches to child-injury prevention. Direct evidence linking supervision to child-injury risk is scarce and many important questions remain unanswered. Based on the conceptual model presented, in future research it is important to examine how supervision interacts with other key factors to influence children's risk of injury.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Pediatric Health Med Ther
                Pediatric Health Med Ther
                PHMT
                pedhlth
                Pediatric Health, Medicine and Therapeutics
                Dove
                1179-9927
                20 February 2020
                2020
                : 11
                : 65-72
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Pediatrics, R. D. Gardi Medical College , Ujjain 456006, India
                [2 ]Department of Women and Children’s Health, International Maternal and Child Health Unit, Uppsala University , Uppsala SE-751 85, Sweden
                [3 ]Department of Global Public Health, Health Systems and Policy-Karolinska Institutet , Stockholm, SE-171 76, Sweden
                [4 ]International Centre for Health Research, Ujjain Charitable Trust Hospital and Research Centre , Ujjain 456006, MP, India
                [5 ]Department of Pediatric Surgery, R. D. Gardi Medical College , Ujjain, 456006, India
                [6 ]Department of Public Health & Environment, R. D. Gardi Medical College , Ujjain 456006, India
                [7 ]ICMR- National Institute for Research in Environmental Health (NIREH) , Bhopal, India
                Author notes
                Correspondence: Ashish Pathak Tel +91 930-223-9899 Email ashish.pathak@ki.se
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7576-895X
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3883-7626
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2404-9231
                Article
                242173
                10.2147/PHMT.S242173
                7039069
                97b1f59a-cace-4ebb-9222-b75fb7e15108
                © 2020 Pathak et al.

                This work is published and licensed by Dove Medical Press Limited. The full terms of this license are available at https://www.dovepress.com/terms.php and incorporate the Creative Commons Attribution – Non Commercial (unported, v3.0) License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/). By accessing the work you hereby accept the Terms. Non-commercial uses of the work are permitted without any further permission from Dove Medical Press Limited, provided the work is properly attributed. For permission for commercial use of this work, please see paragraphs 4.2 and 5 of our Terms ( https://www.dovepress.com/terms.php).

                History
                : 12 December 2019
                : 11 February 2020
                Page count
                Figures: 1, Tables: 5, References: 37, Pages: 8
                Funding
                This study is part of a project funded by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), New Delhi, India (Grant number 2013-1253).
                Categories
                Original Research

                childhood,epidemiology,nonfatal injuries,home injuries,india

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