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      Developing a model for decision-making around antibiotic prescribing for patients with COVID-19 pneumonia in acute NHS hospitals during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic: qualitative results from the Procalcitonin Evaluation of Antibiotic use in COVID-19 Hospitalised patients (PEACH Study)

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      1 , , 2 , 3 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7 , 8 , 9 , 10 , 11 , 12 , 13 , 14 , 15 , 2 , 16 , 17 , 2 , 18
      (Collab), (Collab), (Collab), (Collab), (Collab), (Collab), (Collab), (Collab), (Collab), (Collab), (Collab), (Collab)
      BMJ Open
      BMJ Publishing Group
      infectious diseases, infection control, COVID-19

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          Abstract

          Objective

          To explore and model factors affecting antibiotic prescribing decision-making early in the pandemic.

          Design

          Semistructured qualitative interview study.

          Setting

          National Health Service (NHS) trusts/health boards in England and Wales.

          Participants

          Clinicians from NHS trusts/health boards in England and Wales.

          Method

          Individual semistructured interviews were conducted with clinicians in six NHS trusts/health boards in England and Wales as part of the Procalcitonin Evaluation of Antibiotic use in COVID-19 Hospitalised patients study, a wider study that included statistical analysis of procalcitonin (PCT) use in hospitals during the first wave of the pandemic. Thematic analysis was used to identify key factors influencing antibiotic prescribing decisions for patients with COVID-19 pneumonia during the first wave of the pandemic (March to May 2020), including how much influence PCT test results had on these decisions.

          Results

          During the first wave of the pandemic, recommendations to prescribe antibiotics for patients with COVID-19 pneumonia were based on concerns about secondary bacterial infections. However, as clinicians gained more experience with COVID-19, they reported increasing confidence in their ability to distinguish between symptoms and signs caused by SARS-CoV-2 viral infection alone, and secondary bacterial infections. Antibiotic prescribing decisions were influenced by factors such as clinician experience, confidence, senior support, situational factors and organisational influences. A decision-making model was developed.

          Conclusion

          This study provides insight into the decision-making process around antibiotic prescribing for patients with COVID-19 pneumonia during the first wave of the pandemic. The importance of clinician experience and of senior review of decisions as factors in optimising antibiotic stewardship is highlighted. In addition, situational and organisational factors were identified that could be optimised. The model presented in the study can be used as a tool to aid understanding of the complexity of the decision-making process around antibiotic prescribing and planning antimicrobial stewardship support in the context of a pandemic.

          Trial registration number

          ISRCTN66682918.

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          Most cited references28

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          Using thematic analysis in psychology

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            Antibiotic prescribing in patients with COVID-19: rapid review and meta-analysis

            Objective The proportion of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 that are prescribed antibiotics is uncertain, and may contribute to patient harm and global antibiotic resistance. Our objective was to estimate the prevalence and associated factors of antibiotic use in patients with confirmed COVID-19. Methods We searched MEDLINE, OVID Epub and EMBASE for published literature on human subjects in English up to June 9, 2020. Inclusion criteria were any healthcare settings and age groups; randomized controlled trials; cohort studies; case series with >10 patients; experimental or observational design that evaluated antibiotic prescribing. The main outcome of interest was proportion of COVID-19 patients prescribed an antibiotic, stratified by geographical region, severity of illness, and age. We pooled proportion data using random effects meta-analysis. Results We screened 7469 studies, from which 154 were included in the final analysis. Antibiotic data were available from 30,623 patients. The prevalence of antibiotic prescribing was 74.6% (95% CI 68.3 to 80.0%). On univariable meta-regression, antibiotic prescribing was lower in children (prescribing prevalence odds ratio (OR) 0.10, 95%CI 0.03 to 0.33) compared to adults. Antibiotic prescribing was higher with increasing patient age (OR 1.45 per 10 year increase, 95%CI 1.18 to 1.77) and higher with increasing proportion of patients requiring mechanical ventilation (OR 1.33 per 10% increase, 95%CI 1.15 to 1.54). Estimated bacterial co-infection was 8.6% (95% CI 4.7-15.2%) from 31 studies. Conclusions Three-quarters of patients with COVID-19 receive antibiotics, prescribing is significantly higher than the estimated prevalence of bacterial co-infection. Unnecessary antibiotic use is likely high in patients with COVID-19. Registration PROSPERO (ID CRD42020192286).
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              Co-infections, secondary infections, and antimicrobial use in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 during the first pandemic wave from the ISARIC WHO CCP-UK study: a multicentre, prospective cohort study

              Background Microbiological characterisation of co-infections and secondary infections in patients with COVID-19 is lacking, and antimicrobial use is high. We aimed to describe microbiologically confirmed co-infections and secondary infections, and antimicrobial use, in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19. Methods The International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium (ISARIC) WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK (CCP-UK) study is an ongoing, prospective cohort study recruiting inpatients from 260 hospitals in England, Scotland, and Wales, conducted by the ISARIC Coronavirus Clinical Characterisation Consortium. Patients with a confirmed or clinician-defined high likelihood of SARS-CoV-2 infection were eligible for inclusion in the ISARIC WHO CCP-UK study. For this specific study, we excluded patients with a recorded negative SARS-CoV-2 test result and those without a recorded outcome at 28 days after admission. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, therapeutic, and outcome data were collected using a prespecified case report form. Organisms considered clinically insignificant were excluded. Findings We analysed data from 48 902 patients admitted to hospital between Feb 6 and June 8, 2020. The median patient age was 74 years (IQR 59–84) and 20 786 (42·6%) of 48 765 patients were female. Microbiological investigations were recorded for 8649 (17·7%) of 48 902 patients, with clinically significant COVID-19-related respiratory or bloodstream culture results recorded for 1107 patients. 762 (70·6%) of 1080 infections were secondary, occurring more than 2 days after hospital admission. Staphylococcus aureus and Haemophilus influenzae were the most common pathogens causing respiratory co-infections (diagnosed ≤2 days after admission), with Enterobacteriaceae and S aureus most common in secondary respiratory infections. Bloodstream infections were most frequently caused by Escherichia coli and S aureus . Among patients with available data, 13 390 (37·0%) of 36 145 had received antimicrobials in the community for this illness episode before hospital admission and 39 258 (85·2%) of 46 061 patients with inpatient antimicrobial data received one or more antimicrobials at some point during their admission (highest for patients in critical care). We identified frequent use of broad-spectrum agents and use of carbapenems rather than carbapenem-sparing alternatives. Interpretation In patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19, microbiologically confirmed bacterial infections are rare, and more likely to be secondary infections. Gram-negative organisms and S aureus are the predominant pathogens. The frequency and nature of antimicrobial use are concerning, but tractable targets for stewardship interventions exist. Funding National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), UK Medical Research Council, Wellcome Trust, UK Department for International Development, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, EU Platform for European Preparedness Against (Re-)emerging Epidemics, NIHR Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections at University of Liverpool, and NIHR HPRU in Respiratory Infections at Imperial College London.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                BMJ Open
                BMJ Open
                bmjopen
                bmjopen
                BMJ Open
                BMJ Publishing Group (BMA House, Tavistock Square, London, WC1H 9JR )
                2044-6055
                2023
                19 December 2023
                : 13
                : 12
                : e077117
                Affiliations
                [1 ] departmentSchool of Social Sciences , Ringgold_2112Cardiff University , Cardiff, UK
                [2 ] Ringgold_475118Cardiff University Centre for Trials Research , Cardiff, UK
                [3 ] departmentCollege of Biomedical and Life Sciences , Ringgold_475118Cardiff University Centre for Trials Research , Cardiff, UK
                [4 ] Brighton and Sussex Medical School, University of Sussex and University Hospitals Sussex NHS Foundation Trust , Brighton, UK
                [5 ] departmentSchool of Healthcare , Ringgold_4468University of Leeds , Leeds, UK
                [6 ] departmentPharmacy , Leeds Teaching Hospitals , Leeds, UK
                [7 ] Ringgold_8028Royal Cornwall Hospitals NHS Trust , Truro, UK
                [8 ] departmentIntensive Care Unit , University of Manchester , Salford, UK
                [9 ] departmentCritical Care Directorate , Ringgold_2743Aneurin Bevan University Health Board , Newport, UK
                [10 ] departmentDepartment of Anaesthesia, Intensive Care and Pain Medicine, Division of Population Medicine , Cardiff Univeristy , Cardiff, UK
                [11 ] departmentTranslational and Clinical Research Institute , Ringgold_5994Newcastle University , Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
                [12 ] departmentMicrobiology , North Bristol NHS Trust , Bristol, UK
                [13 ] departmentSchool of Pharmacy , Ringgold_4487De Montfort University , Leicester, UK
                [14 ] Public Patient Representative , Leeds, UK
                [15 ] departmentFaculty of Social Sciences , Ringgold_7622University of Stirling , Stirling, UK
                [16 ] departmentDepartment of Microbiology , The General Infirmary at Leeds , Leeds, UK
                [17 ] departmentHealthcare Associated Infection Group , Leeds Institute of Medical Research, University of Leeds , Leeds, UK
                [18 ] departmentInstitute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences , Ringgold_4591University of Liverpool , Liverpool, UK
                Author notes
                [Correspondence to ] Dr Josie Henley; HenleyJ@ 123456cardiff.ac.uk

                JH and LB-H are joint first authors.

                ET-J and EC are joint senior authors.

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2709-900X
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8263-7130
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2844-6878
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8274-9696
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6811-1124
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5096-0240
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6113-9810
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3309-0164
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3632-8844
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5346-7411
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9792-7280
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9195-0030
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0193-8677
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7716-2786
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8357-7726
                Article
                bmjopen-2023-077117
                10.1136/bmjopen-2023-077117
                10748988
                38114276
                b2f6903f-bab2-4d52-b78d-c6d8d4602172
                © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.

                This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See:  http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.

                History
                : 26 June 2023
                : 27 November 2023
                Funding
                Funded by: National Institute for Health Research (NIHR);
                Award ID: NIHR132254
                Categories
                Emergency Medicine
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                Original research
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                Medicine
                infectious diseases,infection control,covid-19
                Medicine
                infectious diseases, infection control, covid-19

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