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      The impact of an “acute dialysis start” on the mortality attributed to the use of central venous catheters: a retrospective cohort study

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          Abstract

          Background

          Central venous catheters (CVCs) are associated with early mortality in dialysis patients. However, some patients progress to end stage renal disease after an acute illness, prior to reaching an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at which one would expect to establish alternative access (fistula/peritoneal dialysis catheter). The purpose of this study was to determine if exclusion of this “acute start” patient group alters the association between CVCs and mortality.

          Methods

          We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 406 incident dialysis patients from 1 Jan 2006 to 31 Dec 2009. Patients were classified as acute starts if 1) the eGFR was >25 ml/min/1.73 m 2, ≤3 months prior to dialysis initiation and declined after an acute event (n = 45), or 2) in those without prior eGFR measurements, there was no supporting evidence of chronic kidney disease on history or imaging (n = 12). Remaining patients were classified as chronic start (n = 349).

          Results

          98 % and 52 % of acute and chronic starts initiated dialysis with a CVC. There were 148 deaths. The adjusted mortality hazard ratio (HR) for acute vs. chronic start patients was 1.84, (95 % CI [1.19-2.85]). The adjusted mortality HR for patients dialyzing with a CVC compared to alternative access was 1.19 (95 % CI [0.80-1.77]). After excluding acute start patients, the adjusted HR fell to 1.03 (95 % CI [0.67-1.57]).

          Conclusions

          A significant proportion of early dialysis mortality occurs after an acute start. Exclusion of this population attenuates the mortality risk associated with CVCs.

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          Most cited references39

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          Acute kidney injury associates with increased long-term mortality.

          Acute kidney injury (AKI) associates with higher in-hospital mortality, but whether it also associates with increased long-term mortality is unknown, particularly after accounting for residual kidney function after hospital discharge. We retrospectively analyzed data from US veteran patients who survived at least 90 d after discharge from a hospitalization. We identified AKI events not requiring dialysis from laboratory data and classified them according to the ratio of the highest creatinine during the hospitalization to the lowest creatinine measured between 90 d before hospitalization and the date of discharge. We estimated mortality risks using multivariable Cox regression models adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, medication use, primary diagnosis of admission, length of stay, mechanical ventilation, and postdischarge estimated GFR (residual kidney function). Among the 864,933 hospitalized patients in the study cohort, we identified 82,711 hospitalizations of patients with AKI. In the study population of patients who survived at least 90 d after discharge, 17.4% died during follow-up (AKI 29.8%, without AKI 16.1%). The adjusted mortality risk associated with AKI was 1.41 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.39 to 1.43) and increased with increasing AKI stage: 1.36 (95% CI 1.34 to 1.38), 1.46 (95% CI 1.42 to 1.50), and 1.59 (95% CI 1.54 to 1.65; P < 0.001 for trend). In conclusion, AKI that does not require dialysis associates with increased long-term mortality risk, independent of residual kidney function, for patients who survive 90 d after discharge. Long-term mortality risk is highest among the most severe cases of AKI.
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            Predictors of early mortality among incident US hemodialysis patients in the Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS).

            Mortality risk among hemodialysis (HD) patients may be highest soon after initiation of HD. A period of elevated mortality risk was identified among US incident HD patients, and which patient characteristics predict death during this period and throughout the first year was examined using data from the Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS; 1996 through 2004). A retrospective cohort study design was used to identify mortality risk factors. All patient information was collected at enrollment. Life-table analyses and discrete logistic regression were used to identify a period of elevated mortality risk. Cox regression was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) measuring associations between patient characteristics and mortality and to examine whether these associations changed during the first year of HD. Among 4802 incident patients, risk for death was elevated during the first 120 d compared with 121 to 365 d (27.5 versus 21.9 deaths per 100 person-years; P = 0.002). Cause-specific mortality rates were higher in the first 120 d than in the subsequent 121 to 365 d for nearly all causes, with the greatest difference being for cardiovascular-related deaths. In addition, 20% of all deaths in the first 120 d occurred subsequent to withdrawal from dialysis. Most covariates were found to have consistent effects during the first year of HD: Older age, catheter vascular access, albumin <3.5, phosphorus <3.5, cancer, and congestive heart failure all were associated with elevated mortality. Pre-ESRD nephrology care was associated with a significantly lower risk for death before 120 d (HR 0.65; 95% confidence interval 0.51 to 0.83) but not in the subsequent 121- to 365-d period (HR 1.03; 95% confidence interval 0.83 to 1.27). This care was related to approximately 50% lower rates of both cardiac deaths and withdrawal from dialysis during the first 120 d. Mortality risk was highest in the first 120 d after HD initiation. Inadequate predialysis nephrology care was strongly associated with mortality during this period, highlighting the potential benefits of contact with a nephrologist at least 1 mo before HD initiation.
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              Adapting the Charlson Comorbidity Index for use in patients with ESRD.

              Accurate prediction of survival for patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and multiple comorbid conditions is difficult. In nondialysis patients, the Charlson Comorbidity Index has been used to adjust for comorbidity. The purpose of this study is to assess the validity of the Charlson index in incident dialysis patients and modify the index for use specifically in this patient population. Subjects included all incident hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis patients starting dialysis therapy between July 1, 1999, and November 30, 2000. These 237 patients formed a cohort from which new integer weights for Charlson comorbidities were derived using Cox proportional hazards modeling. Performance of the original Charlson index and the new ESRD comorbidity index were compared using Kaplan-Meier survival curves, change in likelihood ratio, and the c statistic. After multivariate analysis and conversion of hazard ratios to index weights, only 6 of the original 18 Charlson variables were assigned the same weight and 6 variables were assigned a weight higher than in the original Charlson index. Using Kaplan-Meier survival curves, we found that both the original Charlson index and the new ESRD comorbidity index were associated with and able to describe a wide range of survival. However, the new study-specific index had better validated performance, indicated by a greater change in the likelihood ratio test and higher c statistic. This study indicates that the original Charlson index is a valid tool to assess comorbidity and predict survival in patients with ESRD. However, our modified ESRD comorbidity index had slightly better performance characteristics in this population.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                BMC Nephrol
                BMC Nephrol
                BMC Nephrology
                BioMed Central
                1471-2369
                2012
                30 July 2012
                : 13
                : 72
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, University of Toronto, University Health Network/Toronto General Hospital, 21 Carlton Street, Unit 1405, Toronto, ON, Canada
                [2 ]Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
                Article
                1471-2369-13-72
                10.1186/1471-2369-13-72
                3470959
                22846341
                b7357d8d-6754-4078-9ae2-a73684c8a969
                Copyright ©2012 Tennankore et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.

                This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 26 April 2012
                : 11 July 2012
                Categories
                Research Article

                Nephrology
                mortality,peritoneal,incident,fistula,dialysis,vascular,acute,access,catheter,chronic
                Nephrology
                mortality, peritoneal, incident, fistula, dialysis, vascular, acute, access, catheter, chronic

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