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      Social Determinants of COVID-19 Vaccination Rates: A Time-Constrained Multiple Mediation Analysis

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      1 , , 2 , 3 , 4
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      Cureus
      Cureus
      a chain of lasso, data-driven approach, multiple mediation analysis, social/environmental determinants, covid-19 vaccination rates

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          Abstract

          Objective

          To estimate the multiple direct/indirect effects of social, environmental, and economic factors on COVID-19 vaccination rates (series complete) in the 3109 continental counties in the United States (U.S.).

          Study design 

          The dependent variable was the COVID-19 vaccination rates in the U.S. (April 15, 2022). Independent variables were collected from reliable secondary data sources, including the Census and CDC. Independent variables measured at two different time frames were utilized to predict vaccination rates. The number of vaccination sites in a given county was calculated using the geographic information system (GIS) packages as of April 9, 2022. The Internet Archive (Way Back Machine) was used to look up data for historical dates.

          Methods 

          A chain of temporally-constrained least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regressions was used to identify direct and indirect effects on vaccination rates. The first regression identified direct predictors of vaccination rates. Next, the direct predictors were set as response variables in subsequent regressions and regressed on variables that occurred before them. These regressions identified additional indirect predictors of vaccination. Finally, both direct and indirect variables were included in a network model.

          Results 

          Fifteen variables directly predicted vaccination rates and explained 43% of the variation in vaccination rates in April 2022. In addition, 11 variables indirectly affected vaccination rates, and their influence on vaccination was mediated by direct factors. For example, children in poverty rate mediated the effect of (a) median household income, (b) children in single-parent homes, and (c) income inequality. For another example, median household income mediated the effect of (a) the percentage of residents under the age of 18, (b) the percentage of residents who are Asian, (c) home ownership, and (d) traffic volume in the prior year. Our findings describe not only the direct but also the indirect effect of variables.

          Conclusions 

          A diverse set of demographics, social determinants, public health status, and provider characteristics predicted vaccination rates. Vaccination rates change systematically and are affected by the demographic composition and social determinants of illness within the county. One of the merits of our study is that it shows how the direct predictors of vaccination rates could be mediators of the effects of other variables.

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          Most cited references32

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          Why does COVID-19 disproportionately affect older people?

          The severity and outcome of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) largely depends on a patient’s age. Adults over 65 years of age represent 80% of hospitalizations and have a 23-fold greater risk of death than those under 65. In the clinic, COVID-19 patients most commonly present with fever, cough and dyspnea, and from there the disease can progress to acute respiratory distress syndrome, lung consolidation, cytokine release syndrome, endotheliitis, coagulopathy, multiple organ failure and death. Comorbidities such as cardiovascular disease, diabetes and obesity increase the chances of fatal disease, but they alone do not explain why age is an independent risk factor. Here, we present the molecular differences between young, middle-aged and older people that may explain why COVID-19 is a mild illness in some but life-threatening in others. We also discuss several biological age clocks that could be used in conjunction with genetic tests to identify both the mechanisms of the disease and individuals most at risk. Finally, based on these mechanisms, we discuss treatments that could increase the survival of older people, not simply by inhibiting the virus, but by restoring patients’ ability to clear the infection and effectively regulate immune responses.
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            Individual and social determinants of COVID-19 vaccine uptake

            Background COVID-19 has had a devastating impact and efforts are being made to speed up vaccinations. The growing problem of vaccine hesitancy may affect the uptake of COVID-19 vaccine. We examined the individual, communication and social determinants associated with vaccines uptake. Methods Data come from a nationwide online probability-based panel of 1012 representative adults in the United States and the survey was conducted before the vaccines were available. People under the federal poverty level and racial and ethnic minorities were oversampled. Our outcome variables of interest were likelihood of vaccinating self and likelihood of vaccinating people under one’s care (such as children) measuring behavioral intentions. Independent variables included perceptions of risk, exposure to different media for COVID-19 news, political party identification, confidence in scientists and social determinants of health. Logistic regression analysis was used to ascertain the effects of independent variables on the two outcome variables. Results The results indicated that 68 and 65% agreed to get the vaccine for themselves and people under their care, respectively. Risk perceptions (severity of and susceptibility to COVID-19) were significantly associated with vaccine uptake. People who relied on “conservative” news outlets, Republicans, and who had low confidence in scientists are least likely to vaccinate self or children. Non-Hispanic Blacks and those with least schooling were also less likely to receive vaccine for themselves or people in their care. Conclusions Our study identified race/ethnicity, risk perceptions, exposure to different media for COVID-19 news, party identification and confidence in scientists as factors that would be affecting COVID-19 vaccine uptake. The good news is that these are addressable through strategic public health communications, but a lot of work remains to be done with some urgency.
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              COVID-19 Vaccination Hesitancy in Hispanics and African-Americans: A Review and Recommendations for Practice

              COVID-19 vaccines were approved for use in the general American public by late 2020 and early 2021. Media reports started highlighting COVID-19 vaccination hesitancy in racial and ethnic minorities. However, little is known about the extent of COVID-19 vaccination hesitancy in racial and ethnic minorities and whether there are unique sociodemographic and cognitive correlates associated with vaccine hesitancy. Thus, the purpose of this study was to review all nationwide studies on COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy among African-Americans and Hispanics (the largest minority groups in the U.S.). A comprehensive review of the published literature was conducted to search for national studies and a final pool of 13 studies (n=107,841 participants) was included in this review. The overall pooled prevalence rate of COVID-19 vaccination hesitancy for adult Americans across all studies was 26.3% (95%Ci=17.3-36.4). In contrast, the overall pooled prevalence rate of COVID-19 vaccination hesitancy for African-Americans was 41.6% (95%Ci=34.4-48.9) and for Hispanics, it was 30.2% (95%Ci=23.2-37.7). The major predictors of vaccine hesitancy in African-Americans and Hispanics were: sociodemographic characteristics (e.g., age, gender, income, education, and household size); medical mistrust and history of racial discrimination; exposure to myths and misinformation, perceived risk of getting infected with COVID-19; beliefs about vaccines and past vaccine compliance, and concerns about the safety, efficacy, and side effects from the COVID-19 vaccines. Given the high COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy rates in racial/ethnic minorities and the unique factors associated with vaccine hesitancy in African-Americans and Hispanics, several clinic-based and community-oriented practice recommendations have been included in this article.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Cureus
                Cureus
                2168-8184
                Cureus
                Cureus (Palo Alto (CA) )
                2168-8184
                17 February 2023
                February 2023
                : 15
                : 2
                : e35110
                Affiliations
                [1 ] Recreation, Parks and Leisure Services Administration, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, USA
                [2 ] Health Adminstration and Policy, George Mason University, Fairfax, USA
                [3 ] Health Informatics, George Mason University, Fairfax, USA
                [4 ] Health Administration and Policy, George Mason University, Fairfax, USA
                Author notes
                Article
                10.7759/cureus.35110
                10023069
                36938296
                d9408273-eb25-4de6-b648-5a8aa2fd2aa3
                Copyright © 2023, Lee et al.

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 17 February 2023
                Funding
                The university (George Mason University, Fairfax, USA) received funds to release Farrokh Alemi and Alicia Hong from other duties in order to carry out the research that led to this paper.
                Categories
                Public Health
                Environmental Health
                Epidemiology/Public Health

                a chain of lasso,data-driven approach,multiple mediation analysis,social/environmental determinants,covid-19 vaccination rates

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