In a previous study, we evaluated the safety of biological drugs in the treatment
of moderate to severe psoriasis [1] and we found a quite favourable profile for these
agents (adalimumab, ustekinumab and etanercept). More recently, a systematic review
[2] has found an increase in the incidence of serious infections in patients with
rheumatoid arthritis treated with biological agents. To re-evaluate this issue, we
carried out an updated analysis (Analysis 1) in which we included the data of the
most recently approved agent for this indication (i.e. secukinumab). Furthermore,
we performed a Bayesian meta-regression analysis (Analysis 2; temporal trend analysis)
to investigate whether the incidence of infections has undergone any changes from
2000 to 2015.
Our updated literature search, based on PubMed, covered the previous 15 years and
included only randomized controlled trials (see also Fig. S1 in the Supplementary
Material and the PRISMA schematic of our search). In comparison with the search carried
out for our previous study, the main difference was that secukinumab was also included
among the agents evaluated for safety. In Analysis 1, we employed the same Bayesian
network meta-analysis [3–5] as in our previous report, but the outcome measure was
the odds ratio (rather than the risk difference) because in this way our results were
comparable to those published by Singh et al. [2]. In Analysis 2, we employed a meta-regression
model based on the same Bayesian approach [6], in which the covariate (calendar year)
was handled as a continuous variable. All the Bayesian models adopted for our analyses
[3–6] have been developed by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence
Support Unit (UK) and are available as a fixed-effects model and a random-effects
model. In both analyses, we employed the random-effects model (which is more conservative)
because we anticipated the presence of heterogeneity. All statistical calculations
were performed using the software package WinBUGS 1.4.3 (Cambridge, UK).
Our literature search extracted a total of 121 eligible citations. We excluded 95
citations on the basis of the abstract or the title. We then examined the full text
of the remaining 26 articles and we finally selected a total of 13 randomized controlled
trials that met our inclusion criteria. Of these 13 studies, two evaluated adalimumab,
five ustekinumab (45 and 90 mg), four low- and high-dose etanercept and two secukinumab
(150 and 300 mg). All of these trials adopted a double-blind design and analysed the
safety of these treatments in terms of any infectious adverse event. Table 1 illustrates
the raw data of infection incidence, extracted from these 13 trials.
Table 1
Incidence of any infectious adverse event in 13 randomized trialsa
Study no.
First author or trial acronym (year of publication)
Any infectious adverse event
Total no. of patients
Treatment
Follow-up
1
Menter et al. (2008)
89
398
Placebo
At week 16
1
Menter et al. (2008)
235
814
Adalimumab
2
Asahina et al. (2010)
23
46
Placebo
At week 24
2
Asashina et al. (2010)
18
43
Adalimumab
3
Papp et al. (2008)
82
410
Placebo
At week 12
3
Papp et al. (2008)
88
409
Ustekinumab 45 mg
3
Papp et al. (2008)
92
411
Ustekinumab 90 mg
4
Igarashi et al. (2012)
6
32
Placebo
At week 12
4
Igarashi et al. (2012)
13
64
Ustekinumab 45 mg
4
Igarashi et al. (2012)
15
62
Ustekinumab 90 mg
5
Leonardi et al. (2008)
68
255
Placebo
At week 12
5
Leonardi et al. (2008)
80
255
Ustekinumab 45 mg
5
Leonardi et al. (2008)
66
255
Ustekinumab 90 mg
6
Tsai et al. (2011)
14
60
Placebo
At week 12
6
Tsai et al. (2011)
20
61
Ustekinumab 45 mg
7
Zhu et al. (2013)
31
161
Placebo
At week 12
7
Zhu et al. (2013)
41
160
Ustekinumab 45 mg
8
Tyring et al. (2006)
71
306
Placebo
At week 12
8
Tyring et al. (2006)
87
312
HDE
9
Papp et al. (2005)
25
193
Placebo
At week 12
9
Papp et al. (2005)
26
196
LDE
9
Papp et al. (2005)
75
194
HDE
10
Leonardi et al. (2003)
19
166
Placebo
At week 12
10
Leonardi et al. (2003)
16
160
LDE
10
Leonardi et al. (2003)
9
164
HDE
11
Van de Kerkhof et al. (2008)
12
46
Placebo
At week 24
11
Van de Kerkhof et al. (2003)
17
96
HDE
12
FIXTURE (2014)
163
327
Placebo
At week 12
12
FIXTURE (2014)
101
327
Secukinumab 150 mg
12
FIXTURE (2014)
87
326
Secukinumab 300 mg
13
ERASURE (2014)
40
248
Placebo
At week 12
13
ERASURE (2014)
66
245
Secukinumab 150 mg
13
ERASURE (2014)
72
245
Secukinumab 300 mg
HDE high-dose etanercept, LDE low-dose etanercept
aTable S1 in the Supplementary Material provides the full bibliographic details of
the 13 trials included in our analysis
Figure 1 shows the results of Analysis 1 focused on the incidence of any infectious
adverse event. The analysis generated seven direct comparisons between an active agent
(adalimumab, ustekinumab 45 mg, ustekinumab 90 mg, high-dose etanercept, low-dose
etanercept, secukinumab 150 mg or secukinumab 300 mg) and placebo and 17 indirect
comparisons between the active agents in all possible combinations. Because all the
indirect comparisons were little informative, Fig. 1 has been restricted to the direct
comparisons, which however were very far from demonstrating any difference. Analysis
2 (temporal trend analysis) found a regression coefficient close to 0 (value: +0.0336;
95 % credible interval −0.219 to 0.283); this result identifies a flat (i.e. approximately
horizontal) meta-regression line that fails to suggest any effect of time on the risk
of infection related to biologic drugs. Because the risk of infection is not likely
to depend on the patients’ disease condition (rheumatoid arthritis or psoriasis),
further studies are needed to shed light on this controversial issue.
Fig. 1
Endpoint of any infectious adverse event. Forest plot of the values of odds ratios
(with 95 % credible intervals) calculated for seven direct comparisons of active agents
vs. controls according to the Bayesian random-effects model. ADA adalimumab, U45 ustekinumab
45 mg, U90 ustekinumab 90 mg, HDE high-dose etanercept, LDE low-dose etanercept, SEC150
secukinumab 150 mg, SEC300 secukinumab 300 mg
In conclusion, our results provided a synthesis of the information currently available
from randomized trials concerning the risk of infections attributable to biological
agents in patients with moderate to severe psoriasis. All biological agents currently
approved in Europe were tested. Interestingly enough, while in their study on rheumatoid
arthritis Singh et al. [2] found a significantly increased risk of infections in the
direct comparisons between biological agents and controls, our results from patients
with psoriasis did not suggest any such conclusion.
Electronic supplementary material
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Supplementary material 1 (DOC 61 kb)