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      Cascading elastic perturbation in Japan due to the 2012 M w 8.6 Indian Ocean earthquake

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          Abstract

          Seismic waves from the 2012 M w 8.6 Indian Ocean earthquake trigger changes in elastic properties and the stress field in Japan.

          Abstract

          Since the discovery of extensive earthquake triggering occurring in response to the 1992 M w (moment magnitude) 7.3 Landers earthquake, it is now well established that seismic waves from earthquakes can trigger other earthquakes, tremor, slow slip, and pore pressure changes. Our contention is that earthquake triggering is one manifestation of a more widespread elastic disturbance that reveals information about Earth’s stress state. Earth’s stress state is central to our understanding of both natural and anthropogenic-induced crustal processes. We show that seismic waves from distant earthquakes may perturb stresses and frictional properties on faults and elastic moduli of the crust in cascading fashion. Transient dynamic stresses place crustal material into a metastable state during which the material recovers through a process termed slow dynamics. This observation of widespread, dynamically induced elastic perturbation, including systematic migration of offshore seismicity, strain transients, and velocity transients, presents a new characterization of Earth’s elastic system that will advance our understanding of plate tectonics, seismicity, and seismic hazards.

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          Seismicity remotely triggered by the magnitude 7.3 landers, california, earthquake.

          The magnitude 7.3 Landers earthquake of 28 June 1992 triggered a remarkably sudden and widespread increase in earthquake activity across much of the western United States. The triggered earthquakes, which occurred at distances up to 1250 kilometers (17 source dimensions) from the Landers mainshock, were confined to areas of persistent seismicity and strike-slip to normal faulting. Many of the triggered areas also are sites of geothermal and recent volcanic activity. Static stress changes calculated for elastic models of the earthquake appear to be too small to have caused the triggering. The most promising explanations involve nonlinear interactions between large dynamic strains accompanying seismic waves from the mainshock and crustal fluids (perhaps including crustal magma).
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            Nonlinear dynamics, granular media and dynamic earthquake triggering.

            The 1992 magnitude 7.3 Landers earthquake triggered an exceptional number of additional earthquakes within California and as far north as Yellowstone and Montana. Since this observation, other large earthquakes have been shown to induce dynamic triggering at remote distances--for example, after the 1999 magnitude 7.1 Hector Mine and the 2002 magnitude 7.9 Denali earthquakes--and in the near-field as aftershocks. The physical origin of dynamic triggering, however, remains one of the least understood aspects of earthquake nucleation. The dynamic strain amplitudes from a large earthquake are exceedingly small once the waves have propagated more than several fault radii. For example, a strain wave amplitude of 10(-6) and wavelength 1 m corresponds to a displacement amplitude of about 10(-7) m. Here we show that the dynamic, elastic-nonlinear behaviour of fault gouge perturbed by a seismic wave may trigger earthquakes, even with such small strains. We base our hypothesis on recent laboratory dynamic experiments conducted in granular media, a fault gouge surrogate. From these we infer that, if the fault is weak, seismic waves cause the fault core modulus to decrease abruptly and weaken further. If the fault is already near failure, this process could therefore induce fault slip.
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              Preseismic velocity changes observed from active source monitoring at the Parkfield SAFOD drill site.

              Measuring stress changes within seismically active fault zones has been a long-sought goal of seismology. One approach is to exploit the stress dependence of seismic wave velocity, and we have investigated this in an active source cross-well experiment at the San Andreas Fault Observatory at Depth (SAFOD) drill site. Here we show that stress changes are indeed measurable using this technique. Over a two-month period, we observed an excellent anti-correlation between changes in the time required for a shear wave to travel through the rock along a fixed pathway (a few microseconds) and variations in barometric pressure. We also observed two large excursions in the travel-time data that are coincident with two earthquakes that are among those predicted to produce the largest coseismic stress changes at SAFOD. The two excursions started approximately 10 and 2 hours before the events, respectively, suggesting that they may be related to pre-rupture stress induced changes in crack properties, as observed in early laboratory studies.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Sci Adv
                Sci Adv
                SciAdv
                advances
                Science Advances
                American Association for the Advancement of Science
                2375-2548
                October 2015
                16 October 2015
                : 1
                : 9
                : e1500468
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USA.
                [2 ]Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.
                [3 ]Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo 113-0032, Tokyo, Japan.
                Author notes
                [* ]Corresponding author. E-mail: andrew.delorey@ 123456lanl.gov
                Article
                1500468
                10.1126/sciadv.1500468
                4646803
                ea104e2b-39c2-4041-8500-bf5c0a2ed36c
                Copyright © 2015, The Authors

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial license, which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, so long as the resultant use is not for commercial advantage and provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 13 April 2015
                : 07 September 2015
                Funding
                Funded by: Los Alamos National Laboratory Institutional Support;
                Award ID: ID0EQMAI3273
                Award Recipient :
                Funded by: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JP);
                Award ID: ID0EWSAI3274
                Award ID: P12329
                Award Recipient :
                Funded by: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JP);
                Award ID: ID0E2ZAI3275
                Award ID: KAKENHI 23244091
                Award Recipient :
                Categories
                Research Article
                Research Articles
                SciAdv r-articles
                Seismology
                Custom metadata
                Michael Sabado

                triggered earthquakes,stress state,japan,plate tectonics,seismic velocity,subduction zone,earthquake clustering,slow dynamics

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