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      God Gave Physics the Easy Problems: : Adapting Social Science to an Unpredictable World

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      European Journal of International Relations
      SAGE Publications

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          Back to the Future: Instability in Europe after the Cold War

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            How the Cases You Choose Affect the Answers You Get: Selection Bias in Comparative Politics

            This article demonstrates how the selection of cases for study on the basis of outcomes on the dependent variable biases conclusions. It first lays out the logic of explanation and shows how it is violated when only cases that have achieved the outcome of interest are studied. It then examines three well-known and highly regarded studies in the field of comparative politics, comparing the conclusions reached in the original work with a test of the arguments on cases selected without regard for their position on the dependent variable. In each instance, conclusions based on the uncorrelated sample differ from the original conclusions.
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              Containing Fear: The Origins and Management of Ethnic Conflict

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                European Journal of International Relations
                European Journal of International Relations
                SAGE Publications
                1354-0661
                1460-3713
                July 24 2016
                July 24 2016
                : 6
                : 1
                : 43-76
                Article
                10.1177/1354066100006001003
                f600bedb-5374-4797-91a5-f75fd99989ce
                © 2016
                History

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