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      Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death in Doberman Pinschers with Dilated Cardiomyopathy

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          Abstract

          Background

          Doberman Pinschers with dilated cardiomyopathy ( DCM) are at high risk of sudden cardiac death ( SCD). Risk factors for SCD are poorly defined.

          Aim

          To assess cardiac biomarkers, Holter‐ ECG, echocardiographic variables and canine characteristics in a group of Doberman Pinschers with DCM dying of SCD and in a DCM control group to identify factors predicting SCD.

          Methods/Animals

          A longitudinal prospective study was performed in 95 Doberman Pinschers with DCM. Forty‐one dogs died within 3 months after the last cardiac examination ( SCD‐group) and were compared to 54 Doberman Pinschers with DCM surviving 1 year after inclusion. Holter‐ ECG, echocardiography, measurement of N‐terminal prohormone of brain‐natriuretic peptide ( NT‐pro BNP), and cardiac Troponin I ( cTnI) concentrations were recorded for all dogs.

          Results

          Volume overload of the left ventricle (left ventricular end‐diastolic volume ( LVEDV/ BSA) > 91.3  mL/m²) was the single best variable to predict SCD. The probability of SCD increases 8.5‐fold ( CI 0.95 = 0.8–35.3) for every 50  mL/m²‐unit increment in LVEDV/ BSA. Ejection fraction (EF), left ventricular end‐systolic volume ( LVESV/ BSA) and NT‐pro BNP were highly correlated with LVEDV/ BSA ( r = −0.63, 0.96, 0.86, respectively). Generated conditional inference trees (CTREEs) revealed that the presence of ventricular tachycardia ( VT), increased concentration of cTnI, and the fastest rate (FR) of ventricular premature complexes ( VPC) ≥260 beats per minute (bpm) are additional important variables to predict SCD.

          Conclusion

          Conditional inference trees provided in this study might be useful for risk assessment of SCD in Doberman Pinschers with DCM.

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          Most cited references26

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          An introduction to recursive partitioning: rationale, application, and characteristics of classification and regression trees, bagging, and random forests.

          Recursive partitioning methods have become popular and widely used tools for nonparametric regression and classification in many scientific fields. Especially random forests, which can deal with large numbers of predictor variables even in the presence of complex interactions, have been applied successfully in genetics, clinical medicine, and bioinformatics within the past few years. High-dimensional problems are common not only in genetics, but also in some areas of psychological research, where only a few subjects can be measured because of time or cost constraints, yet a large amount of data is generated for each subject. Random forests have been shown to achieve a high prediction accuracy in such applications and to provide descriptive variable importance measures reflecting the impact of each variable in both main effects and interactions. The aim of this work is to introduce the principles of the standard recursive partitioning methods as well as recent methodological improvements, to illustrate their usage for low and high-dimensional data exploration, but also to point out limitations of the methods and potential pitfalls in their practical application. Application of the methods is illustrated with freely available implementations in the R system for statistical computing. (c) 2009 APA, all rights reserved.
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            Sudden death in patients with myocardial infarction and left ventricular dysfunction, heart failure, or both.

            The risk of sudden death from cardiac causes is increased among survivors of acute myocardial infarction with reduced left ventricular systolic function. We assessed the risk and time course of sudden death in high-risk patients after myocardial infarction. We studied 14,609 patients with left ventricular dysfunction, heart failure, or both after myocardial infarction to assess the incidence and timing of sudden unexpected death or cardiac arrest with resuscitation in relation to the left ventricular ejection fraction. Of 14,609 patients, 1067 (7 percent) had an event a median of 180 days after myocardial infarction: 903 died suddenly, and 164 were resuscitated after cardiac arrest. The risk was highest in the first 30 days after myocardial infarction--1.4 percent per month (95 percent confidence interval, 1.2 to 1.6 percent)--and decreased to 0.14 percent per month (95 percent confidence interval, 0.11 to 0.18 percent) after 2 years. Patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction of 30 percent or less were at highest risk in this early period (rate, 2.3 percent per month; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.8 to 2.8 percent). Nineteen percent of all sudden deaths or episodes of cardiac arrest with resuscitation occurred within the first 30 days after myocardial infarction, and 83 percent of all patients who died suddenly did so in the first 30 days after hospital discharge. Each decrease of 5 percentage points in the left ventricular ejection fraction was associated with a 21 percent adjusted increase in the risk of sudden death or cardiac arrest with resuscitation in the first 30 days. The risk of sudden death is highest in the first 30 days after myocardial infarction among patients with left ventricular dysfunction, heart failure, or both. Thus, earlier implementation of strategies for preventing sudden death may be warranted in selected patients. Copyright 2005 Massachusetts Medical Society.
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              Recommendations for standards in transthoracic two-dimensional echocardiography in the dog and cat. Echocardiography Committee of the Specialty of Cardiology, American College of Veterinary Internal Medicine.

              Recommendations are presented for standardized imaging planes and display conventions for two-dimensional echocardiography in the dog and cat. Three transducer locations ("windows") provide access to consistent imaging planes: the right parasternal location, the left caudal (apical) parasternal location, and the left cranial parasternal location. Recommendations for image display orientations are very similar to those for comparable human cardiac images, with the heart base or cranial aspect of the heart displayed to the examiner's right on the video display. From the right parasternal location, standard views include a long-axis four-chamber view and a long-axis left ventricular outflow view, and short-axis views at the levels of the left ventricular apex, papillary muscles, chordae tendineae, mitral valve, aortic valve, and pulmonary arteries. From the left caudal (apical) location, standard views include long-axis two-chamber and four-chamber views. From the left cranial parasternal location, standard views include a long-axis view of the left ventricular outflow tract and ascending aorta (with variations to image the right atrium and tricuspid valve, and the pulmonary valve and pulmonary artery), and a short-axis view of the aortic root encircled by the right heart. These images are presented by means of idealized line drawings. Adoption of these standards should facilitate consistent performance, recording, teaching, and communicating results of studies obtained by two-dimensional echocardiography.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                J Vet Intern Med
                J. Vet. Intern. Med
                10.1111/(ISSN)1939-1676
                JVIM
                Journal of Veterinary Internal Medicine
                John Wiley and Sons Inc. (Hoboken )
                0891-6640
                1939-1676
                14 May 2016
                May-Jun 2016
                : 30
                : 3 ( doiID: 10.1111/jvim.2016.30.issue-3 )
                : 722-732
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ] Clinic of Small Animal MedicineLMU University MunichGermany
                [ 2 ] Statistical Consulting UnitLMU University MunichGermany
                Author notes
                [*] [* ]Corresponding author: Gerhard Wess, DVM, DACVIM (Cardiology), DECVIM‐CA (Cardiology and Internal Medicine), Clinic of Small Animal Medicine, LMU University, Veterinaerstr. 13, 80539 Munich, Germany; e‐mail: gwess@ 123456lmu.de .
                Article
                JVIM13941
                10.1111/jvim.13941
                4913570
                27177626
                03b9a4d1-09f8-486b-8169-c78844a28544
                Copyright © 2016 The Authors. Journal of Veterinary Internal Medicine published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of the American College of Veterinary Internal Medicine .

                This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution‐NonCommercial License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.

                History
                : 24 July 2015
                : 24 January 2016
                : 08 March 2016
                Page count
                Pages: 11
                Categories
                Standard Article
                SMALL ANIMAL
                Standard Articles
                Cardiology
                Custom metadata
                2.0
                jvim13941
                May/June 2016
                Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_NLMPMC version:4.9.1 mode:remove_FC converted:17.06.2016

                Veterinary medicine
                24‐hour ecg,biomarker,ctni,dcm,doberman cardiomyopathy,echocardiography,electrocardiography,nt‐probnp,survival

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