Subtypes and One-Year Survival of First-Ever Stroke in Chinese Patients: The Nanjing Stroke Registry

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Abstract

Background: Morbidity and mortality of stroke have been investigated extensively in Western populations, while data concerning case fatality and cause of death after stroke are very limited in mainland China. This study aimed to analyze the 1-year survival and predictors of case fatality in Chinese patients with first-ever stroke. Methods: Subjects are patients registered in the Nanjing Stroke Registry Program. Information concerning cardiovascular risk factors and stroke characteristics were collected, and patients were followed after registration. Ischemic strokes were classified according to TOAST criteria as large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA), cardiac embolism stroke (CES), small-vessel stroke (SVS), or other determined and undetermined causes (UND). One-year case fatality was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method, and predictors of case fatality were evaluated by the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: A total of 752 patients with first-ever stroke were included, of which 142 (18.9%) were identified as intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), 120 (16.0%) as LAA, 123 (16.4%) as SVS, 160 (21.3%) as CES and 216 (28.7%) as UND. The overall survival rate was 86.4% at the end of the 1-year follow-up. Patients with SVS have the highest survival rate (92.7%), followed by UND (89.4%), CES (88.1%) and LAA (84.2%). Patients with ICH have the lowest survival rate (76.8%). Survival rates of patients with different subtypes of stroke presented a significant difference (χ<sup>2</sup> = 19.3, p < 0.001). For patients deceased during the first year after the index stroke, 33.3% of deaths were caused by the first stroke, 18.6% by recurrent stroke, 16.7% by cardiovascular comorbidities, 14.7% by nonvascular conditions and 16.7% died of undetermined causes. Advanced age, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes mellitus (DM), atrial fibrillation (AF), history of transient ischemic attack and cigarette smoking were associated with an increased risk of death 1 year after stroke. Conclusions: The case fatality rate and predictors for mortality of Chinese patients with first-ever stroke are similar to those reported for other populations. The significant influence of cardiovascular disease on the first-year survival rate emphasizes the importance of acute stroke management and control of hypertension, DM, AF and other predictors for decreasing case fatality and improving prognosis.

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Most cited references 18

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Predictors of in-hospital mortality and attributable risks of death after ischemic stroke: the German Stroke Registers Study Group.

R Janzen, Peter U. Heuschmann, Joachim Röther … (2004)

There is a lack of information about factors associated with in-hospital death and the impact of neurological complications on early outcome for patients with stroke treated in community settings. We investigated predictors for in-hospital mortality and attributable risks of death after ischemic stroke in a pooled analysis of large German stroke registers. Stroke patients admitted to hospitals cooperating within the German Stroke Registers Study Group (ADSR) between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2000, were analyzed. The ADSR is a network of regional stroke registers, combining data from 104 academic and community hospitals throughout Germany. The impact of patients' demographic and clinical characteristics, their comorbid conditions, and the treating hospital expertise in stroke care on in-hospital mortality was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. Attributable risks of death for medical and neurological complications were calculated. A total of 13 440 ischemic stroke patients were included. Overall in-hospital mortality was 4.9%. In women, higher age (P<.001), severity of stroke defined by number of neurological deficits (P<.001), and atrial fibrillation (hazard ratio [HR], 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0-1.6) were independent predictors for in-hospital death. In men, diabetes (HR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.0-1.8) and previous stroke (HR 1.4; 95% CI, 1.0-1.9) had a significant negative impact on early outcome in addition to the factors identified for women. The complication with the highest attributable risk proportion was increased intracranial pressure, accounting for 94% (95% CI, 93.9%-94.1%) of deaths among patients with this complication. Pneumonia was the complication with the highest attributable proportion of death in the entire stroke population, accounting for 31.2% (95% CI, 30.9%-31.5%) of all deaths. More than 50% of all in-hospital deaths were caused by serious medical or neurological complications (54.4%; 95% CI, 54.3%-54.5%). Substantial differences were found in the impact of comorbid conditions on early outcome for men and women. Programs aiming at an improvement in short-term outcome after stroke should focus especially on a reduction of pneumonia and an early treatment of increased intracranial pressure.

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The Harvard Cooperative Stroke Registry: a prospective registry.

J. Mohr, J. Kistler, M Pessin … (1978)

Data from 694 patients hospitalized with stroke were entered in a prospective, computer-based registry. Three hundred and sixty-four patients (53 percent) were diagnosed as having thrombosis, 215 (31 percent)as having cerebral embolism 70 (10 percent) as having intracerebral hematoma, and 45 (6 percent) as having subarachnoid hemorrhage from aneurysm or arteriovenous malformations. The 364 patients diagnosed as having thrombosis were divided into 233 (34 percent of all 694 patients) whose thrombosis was thought to involve a large artery and 131 (19 percent) with lacunar infarction. Many of the findings in this study were comparable to those in previous registries based on postmortem data. New observations include the high incidence of lacunes and cerebral emboli, the absence of an identifiable cardiac origin in 37 percent of all emboli, a nonsudden onset in 21 percent of emboli, and the occurrence of vomiting at onset in 51 percent and the absence of headache at onset in 67 percent of hematomas.

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Long-term disability after first-ever stroke and related prognostic factors in the Perth Community Stroke Study, 1989-1990.

R. William Broadhurst, Konrad Jamrozik, Ivan Anderson … (2002)

Few reliable estimates of the long-term functional outcome after stroke are available. This population-based study aimed to describe disability, dependency, and related independent prognostic factors at 5 years after a first-ever stroke in patients in Perth, Western Australia. All individuals with a suspected acute stroke who were resident in a geographically defined region (population, 138 708) of Perth, Western Australia, were registered prospectively and assessed according to standardized diagnostic criteria over a period of 18 months in 1989 to 1990. Patients were followed up prospectively at 4 and 12 months and 5 years after the index event. There were 370 cases of first-ever stroke, and 277 patients survived to 30 days. Of these early survivors, 152 (55%) were alive at 5 years, and among those who were neither institutionalized (n=146) nor disabled (n=129) at the time of their stroke, 21 (14%) were institutionalized in a nursing home, and 47 (36%) were disabled. The most important predictors of death or disability at 5 years were increasing age, baseline disability defined by a Barthel Index score of <20/20 (odds ratio [OR], 6.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.7 to 14), moderate hemiparesis (OR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.1 to 6.2), severe hemiparesis (OR, 4.5; 95% CI, 1.1 to 19), and recurrent stroke (OR, 9.4; 95% CI, 3.0 to 30). A low level of activity before the stroke was a significant predictor of institutionalization, and subsequent recurrent stroke was a consistent, independent predictor of institutionalization, disability, and death or institutionalization, increasing the odds of each of these 3 adverse outcomes by 5- to 15-fold. Among 30-day survivors of first-ever stroke, about half survive 5 years; of survivors, one third remain disabled, and 1 in 7 are in permanent institutional care. The major modifiable predictors of poor long-term outcome are a low level of activity before the stroke and subsequent recurrent stroke. Efforts to increase physical activity among the elderly and to prevent recurrent stroke in survivors of a first stroke are likely to reduce the long-term burden of cerebrovascular disease.

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Author and article information

Journal

Journal ID (publisher-id): CED

Journal ID (nlm-ta): Cerebrovasc Dis

Journal ID (doi): 10.1159/issn.1015-9770

Title: Cerebrovascular Diseases

Publisher: S. Karger AG

ISSN (Print): 1015-9770

ISSN (Electronic): 1421-9786

Publication date Subscription-year: 2006

Publication date (Print): July 2006

Publication date (Electronic): 14 July 2006

Volume: 22

Issue: 2-3

Pages: 130-136

Affiliations

Department of Neurology, Jinling Hospital, Nanjing University School of Medicine, Nanjing, People’s Republic of China

Article

Publisher ID: 93241 Other ID: Cerebrovasc Dis 2006;22:130–136

DOI: 10.1159/000093241

PubMed ID: 16691021

SO-VID: 2085ca35-ab2f-4145-b329-65ef62562bad

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Copyright: All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be translated into other languages, reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, microcopying, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. Drug Dosage: The authors and the publisher have exerted every effort to ensure that drug selection and dosage set forth in this text are in accord with current recommendations and practice at the time of publication. However, in view of ongoing research, changes in government regulations, and the constant flow of information relating to drug therapy and drug reactions, the reader is urged to check the package insert for each drug for any changes in indications and dosage and for added warnings and precautions. This is particularly important when the recommended agent is a new and/or infrequently employed drug. Disclaimer: The statements, opinions and data contained in this publication are solely those of the individual authors and contributors and not of the publishers and the editor(s). The appearance of advertisements or/and product references in the publication is not a warranty, endorsement, or approval of the products or services advertised or of their effectiveness, quality or safety. The publisher and the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to persons or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content or advertisements.

History

Date received : 22 November 2005

Date accepted : 02 June 2006

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Figures: 2, Tables: 2, References: 29, Pages: 7

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Subtypes and One-Year Survival of First-Ever Stroke in Chinese Patients: The Nanjing Stroke Registry

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Karger: Neurology and Neuroscience

Most cited references 18

Predictors of in-hospital mortality and attributable risks of death after ischemic stroke: the German Stroke Registers Study Group.

The Harvard Cooperative Stroke Registry: a prospective registry.

Long-term disability after first-ever stroke and related prognostic factors in the Perth Community Stroke Study, 1989-1990.

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