Drought in the Southeastern United States: Causes, Variability over the Last Millennium, and the Potential for Future Hydroclimate Change*

Seager, Richard; Nakamura, Jennifer; Tzanova, Alexandrina

doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2683.1

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Drought in the Southeastern United States: Causes, Variability over the Last Millennium, and the Potential for Future Hydroclimate Change*

Author(s): Richard Seager , Alexandrina Tzanova , Jennifer Nakamura

Publication date Created: October 2009

Publication date (Print): October 2009

Journal: Journal of Climate

Publisher: American Meteorological Society

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Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856-1991

Alexey Kaplan, Mark Cane, Yochanan Kushnir … (1998)

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Long-term aridity changes in the western United States.

E. R. Cook (2004)

The western United States is experiencing a severe multiyear drought that is unprecedented in some hydroclimatic records. Using gridded drought reconstructions that cover most of the western United States over the past 1200 years, we show that this drought pales in comparison to an earlier period of elevated aridity and epic drought in AD 900 to 1300, an interval broadly consistent with the Medieval Warm Period. If elevated aridity in the western United States is a natural response to climate warming, then any trend toward warmer temperatures in the future could lead to a serious long-term increase in aridity over western North America.