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      Population processes sampled at random times

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          Abstract

          In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are investigated. In particular, we study the hitting times in all cases and examine their long-range behavior. The time-changed population models considered here display upward (Birth process) and downward jumps (death processes) of arbitrary size and, for this reason, can be adopted as adequate models in ecology, epidemics and finance situations, under stress conditions.

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          Fractional processes: from Poisson to branching one

          , , (2010)
          Fractional generalizations of the Poisson process and branching Furry process are considered. The link between characteristics of the processes, fractional differential equations and Levy stable densities are discussed and used for construction of the Monte Carlo algorithm for simulation of random waiting times in fractional processes. Numerical calculations are performed and limit distributions of the normalized variable Z=N/ are found for both processes.
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            Time-Changed Poisson Processes

            We consider time-changed Poisson processes, and derive the governing difference-differential equations (DDE) these processes. In particular, we consider the time-changed Poisson processes where the the time-change is inverse Gaussian, or its hitting time process, and discuss the governing DDE's. The stable subordinator, inverse stable subordinator and their iterated versions are also considered as time-changes. DDE's corresponding to probability mass functions of these time-changed processes are obtained. Finally, we obtain a new governing partial differential equation for the tempered stable subordinator of index \(0<\beta<1,\) when \(\beta \) is a rational number. We then use this result to obtain the governing DDE for the mass function of Poisson process time-changed by tempered stable subordinator. Our results extend and complement the results in Baeumer et al. \cite{B-M-N} and Beghin et al. \cite{BO-1} in several directions.
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              Time-Changed Birth Processes and Multiname Credit Derivatives

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                2015-06-24
                Article
                10.1007/s10955-016-1475-2
                1506.07325
                2f216d11-1d65-4c8f-8328-e02ff141dec2

                http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

                History
                Custom metadata
                60G55, 60J80
                19 pages, 3 figures
                math.PR

                Probability
                Probability

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