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      Mitigating COVID-19 Transmission in Schools With Digital Contact Tracing

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          Abstract

          Precision mitigation of COVID-19 is in pressing need for postpandemic time with the absence of pharmaceutical interventions. In this study, the effectiveness and cost of digital contact tracing (DCT) technology-based on-campus mitigation strategy are studied through epidemic simulations using high-resolution empirical contact networks of teachers and students. Compared with traditional class, grade, and school closure strategies, the DCT-based strategy offers a practical yet much more efficient way of mitigating COVID-19 spreading in the crowded campus. Specifically, the strategy based on DCT can achieve the same level of disease control as rigid school suspensions but with significantly fewer students quarantined. We further explore the necessary conditions to ensure the effectiveness of DCT-based strategy and auxiliary strategies to enhance mitigation effectiveness and make the following recommendation: social distancing should be implemented along with DCT, the adoption rate of DCT devices should be assured, and swift virus tests should be carried out to discover asymptomatic infections and stop their subsequent transmissions. We also argue that primary schools have higher disease transmission risks than high schools and, thereby, should be alerted when considering reopenings.

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          Most cited references41

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          Clinical Characteristics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China

          Abstract Background Since December 2019, when coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) emerged in Wuhan city and rapidly spread throughout China, data have been needed on the clinical characteristics of the affected patients. Methods We extracted data regarding 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19 from 552 hospitals in 30 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in mainland China through January 29, 2020. The primary composite end point was admission to an intensive care unit (ICU), the use of mechanical ventilation, or death. Results The median age of the patients was 47 years; 41.9% of the patients were female. The primary composite end point occurred in 67 patients (6.1%), including 5.0% who were admitted to the ICU, 2.3% who underwent invasive mechanical ventilation, and 1.4% who died. Only 1.9% of the patients had a history of direct contact with wildlife. Among nonresidents of Wuhan, 72.3% had contact with residents of Wuhan, including 31.3% who had visited the city. The most common symptoms were fever (43.8% on admission and 88.7% during hospitalization) and cough (67.8%). Diarrhea was uncommon (3.8%). The median incubation period was 4 days (interquartile range, 2 to 7). On admission, ground-glass opacity was the most common radiologic finding on chest computed tomography (CT) (56.4%). No radiographic or CT abnormality was found in 157 of 877 patients (17.9%) with nonsevere disease and in 5 of 173 patients (2.9%) with severe disease. Lymphocytopenia was present in 83.2% of the patients on admission. Conclusions During the first 2 months of the current outbreak, Covid-19 spread rapidly throughout China and caused varying degrees of illness. Patients often presented without fever, and many did not have abnormal radiologic findings. (Funded by the National Health Commission of China and others.)
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            Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China

            In December 2019, novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)-infected pneumonia (NCIP) occurred in Wuhan, China. The number of cases has increased rapidly but information on the clinical characteristics of affected patients is limited.
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              Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak

              Highlights • The novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) pneumonia has caused 2033 confirmed cases, including 56 deaths in mainland China, by 2020-01-26 17:06. • We aim to estimate the basic reproduction number of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan, China using the exponential growth model method. • We estimated that the mean R 0 ranges from 2.24 to 3.58 with an 8-fold to 2-fold increase in the reporting rate. • Changes in reporting likely occurred and should be taken into account in the estimation of R 0.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                IEEE Trans Comput Soc Syst
                IEEE Trans Comput Soc Syst
                0066800
                TCSS
                ITCSGL
                Ieee Transactions on Computational Social Systems
                IEEE
                2329-924X
                December 2021
                28 April 2021
                : 8
                : 6
                : 1302-1310
                Affiliations
                [1] divisionCollege of Information and Communication Engineering, institutionDalian Minzu University, institutionringgold 66455; Dalian 116600 China
                [2] divisionWeb Mining Laboratory, departmentDepartment of Media and Communication, institutionCity University of Hong Kong, institutionringgold 53025; Hong Kong
                [3] divisionWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, institutionThe University of Hong Kong, institutionringgold 25809; Hong Kong
                [4] divisionLaboratory of Data Discovery for Health, institutionHong Kong Science and Technology Park; Hong Kong
                [5] divisionComputational Communication Research Center, institutionBeijing Normal University, institutionringgold 47836; Zhuhai 519087 China
                [6] divisionSchool of Journalism and Communication, institutionBeijing Normal University, institutionringgold 47836; Beijing 100875 China
                Article
                TCSS-2021-01-0034
                10.1109/TCSS.2021.3073109
                8843051
                35582036
                43c00c5f-e896-4e36-aff8-6b1998c6f0d3
                Copyright @ 2021

                Personal use is permitted, but republication/redistribution requires IEEE permission. See https://www.ieee.org/publications/rights/index.html for more information.

                History
                : 25 January 2021
                : 26 March 2021
                : 11 April 2021
                : 01 December 2021
                Page count
                Figures: 10, Tables: 2, Equations: 54, References: 42, Pages: 9
                Funding
                Funded by: National Natural Science Foundation of China, fundref 10.13039/501100001809;
                Award ID: 61773091
                Award ID: 11875005
                Award ID: 61976025
                Award ID: 11975025
                Funded by: Liaoning Revitalization Talents Program, fundref 10.13039/501100018617;
                Award ID: XLYC1807106
                Funded by: Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province, China, fundref 10.13039/501100005047;
                Award ID: 2020-MZLH-22
                Funded by: Major Project of the National Social Science Fund of China, fundref 10.13039/501100001809;
                Award ID: 19ZDA324
                This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 61773091, Grant 11875005, Grant 61976025, and Grant 11975025; in part by the Liaoning Revitalization Talents Program under Grant XLYC1807106; in part by the Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province, China under Grant 2020-MZLH-22; and in part by the Major Project of the National Social Science Fund of China under Grant 19ZDA324.
                Categories
                Article

                asymptomatic infection,covid-19,digital contract tracing,mitigation strategy,social distancing,susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed (seir)

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