A Lagrangian Perspective on Growth of Midlatitude Storms

Abstract

Extratropical storms dominate midlatitude climate and weather and are known to grow baroclinicaly and decay barotropicaly. Understanding how their growth responds to climatic changes is crucial for accurately quantifying climate and weather in the extratropics. To date, quantitative climatic measures of storms' growth have been mostly based on Eulerian measures, taking into account the mean state of the atmosphere and how those affect eddy growth, but they do not consider the Lagrangian growth of the storms themselves. Here, using ERA-5 reanalysis data and tracking all extratropical storms (cyclones and anticyclones) from over 80 years of data, we examine the actual growth of the storms and compare it to the Eulerian characteristics of the mean state as the storms develop. We find that, in the limit of weak baroclinicity, measures such as the Eulerian Eady Growth Rate provide a good measure of the storms' actual strength. However, for high baroclinicity levels, this linear relationship breaks. We show that while the actual growth rate of single storms is linearly correlated with the Eulerian measures, the high baroclinicity reduction in storm strength is due to a decrease in the storms' growth time with baroclinicity. Based on the Lagrangian analysis, we suggest a nonlinear correction to the traditional Eady Growth Rate. Expanding the analysis to include the mean flow's barotropic properties highlights their marginal effect on storms' growth rate but the crucial impact on growth time. Our results emphasize the potential of Lagrangianly studying many storms to advance understanding of the midlatitude climate.