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      Insight into blood pressure targets for universal coverage of hypertension services in Iran: the 2017 ACC/AHA versus JNC 8 hypertension guidelines

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          Abstract

          Background

          We compared the prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension in Iran based on two hypertension guidelines; the 2017 ACC/AHA –with an aggressive blood pressure target of 130/80 mmHg- and the commonly used JNC8 guideline cut-off of 140/90 mmHg. We shed light on the implications of the 2017 ACC/AHA for population subgroups and high-risk individuals who were eligible for non-pharmacologic and pharmacologic therapies.

          Methods

          Data was obtained from the Iran national STEPS 2016 study. Participants included 27,738 adults aged ≥25 years as a representative sample of Iranians. Regression models of survey design were used to examine the determinants of prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension.

          Results

          The prevalence of hypertension based on JNC8 was 29.9% (95% CI: 29.2–30.6), which soared to 53.7% (52.9–54.4) based on the 2017 ACC/AHA. The percentage of awareness, treatment, and control were 59.2% (58.0–60.3), 80.2% (78.9–81.4), and 39.1% (37.4–40.7) based on JNC8, which dropped to 37.1% (36.2–38.0), 71.3% (69.9–72.7), and 19.6% (18.3–21.0), respectively, by applying the 2017 ACC/AHA. Based on the new guideline, adults aged 25–34 years had the largest increase in prevalence (from 7.3 to 30.7%). They also had the lowest awareness and treatment rate, contrary to the highest control rate (36.5%) between age groups. Compared with JNC8, based on the 2017 ACC/AHA, 24, 15, 17, and 11% more individuals with dyslipidaemia, high triglycerides, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease events, respectively, fell into the hypertensive category. Yet, based on the 2017 ACC/AHA, 68.2% of individuals falling into the hypertensive category were eligible for receiving pharmacologic therapy (versus 95.7% in JNC8). LDL cholesterol< 130 mg/dL, sufficient physical activity (Metabolic Equivalents≥600/week), and Body Mass Index were found to change blood pressure by − 3.56(− 4.38, − 2.74), − 2.04(− 2.58, − 1.50), and 0.48(0.42, 0.53) mmHg, respectively.

          Conclusions

          Switching from JNC8 to 2017 ACC/AHA sharply increased the prevalence and drastically decreased the awareness, treatment, and control in Iran. Based on the 2017 ACC/AHA, more young adults and those with chronic comorbidities fell into the hypertensive category; these individuals might benefit from earlier interventions such as lifestyle modifications. The low control rate among individuals receiving treatment warrants a critical review of hypertension services.

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          Most cited references27

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          2018 AHA/ACC/AACVPR/AAPA/ABC/ACPM/ADA/AGS/APhA/ASPC/NLA/PCNA Guideline on the Management of Blood Cholesterol

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            Bias due to misclassification in the estimation of relative risk.

            Lack of bias in the estimation of relative effect in epidemiologic studies depends on the internal validity of the study. This paper conveys in graphic and tabular form the direction and magnitude of bias due to misclassification of study subjects. A series of computer-generated graphs shows that the departure of the estimate of effect (relative risk or odds ratio) from its true value is a function of sensitivity and specificity (measures of classification validity), disease frequency, and exposure frequency. The discussion of bias emphasizes misclassification of the "outcome" variable; i.e., disease occurrence in a cohort study and exposure rate in a case-control study. Examples are used to illustrate that the magnitude of the bias can be large under circumstances which occur readily in epidemiologic research. When misclassification is equal for the two compared groups, the estimate is biased toward the null value, and in some instances beyond; when differential misclassification occurs (as in selective recall in case-control studies) the bias can be in either direction, and may be great. Formulas are derived to estimate the underlying true value of the relative risk or odds ratio using the investigator's observations together with the estimated sensitivity and specificity of the classification procedure.
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              Impact of 2017 ACC/AHA guidelines on prevalence of hypertension and eligibility for antihypertensive treatment in United States and China: nationally representative cross sectional study

              Abstract Objective To examine the effect of the 2017 American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) hypertension guidelines on the prevalence of hypertension and eligibility for initiation and intensification of treatment in nationally representative populations from the United States and China. Design Observational assessment of nationally representative data. Setting US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) for the most recent two cycles (2013-14, 2015-16) and China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) (2011-12). Participants All 45-75 year old adults who would have a diagnosis of hypertension and be candidates for treatment on the basis of the ACC/AHA guidelines, compared with current guidelines. Main outcome measures Diagnosis of hypertension and candidacy for initiation and intensification of antihypertensive treatment. Results Adoption of the 2017 ACC/AHA hypertension guidelines in the US would label 70.1 (95% confidence interval 64.9 to 75.3) million people in the 45-75 year age group as having hypertension, representing 63% (60.6% to 65.4%) of the population in this age group. Their adoption in China would lead to labeling of 266.9 (252.9 to 280.8) million people or 55% (53.4% to 56.7%) of the same age group as having hypertension. This would represent an increase in prevalence of 26.8% (23.2% to 30.9%) in the US and 45.1% (41.3% to 48.9%) in China. Furthermore, on the basis of treatment patterns and current guidelines, 8.1 (6.5 to 9.7) million Americans with hypertension are untreated, which would be expected to increase to 15.6 (13.6 to 17.7) million after the implementation of the ACC/AHA guidelines. In China, on the basis of current treatment patterns, 74.5 (64.1 to 84.8) million patients with hypertension are untreated, estimated to increase to 129.8 (118.7 to 140.9 million. In addition, the ACC/AHA guidelines would label 8.7 (6.0 to 11.5) million adults in the US and 51 (40.3 to 61.6) million in China as having hypertension that would not require antihypertensive treatment, compared with 1.5 (1.2 to 2.1) million and 23.4 (12.1 to 35.1) million with the current guidelines. Finally, even among people receiving treatment, the proportion that are candidates for intensification of treatment is estimated to increase by 13.9 (12.2 to 15.6) million (from 24.0% to 54.4% of treated patients) in the US, and 30 (24.3 to 35.7) million (41.4% to 76.2% of treated patients) in China, if the ACC/AHA treatment targets are adopted. Conclusions If adopted, the 2017 ACC/AHA hypertension guidelines will markedly increase the number of people labeled as having hypertension and treated with drugs in both the US and China, leading to more than half of those aged 45-75 years in both countries being considered hypertensive.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                farzadfar3@yahoo.com
                Journal
                BMC Public Health
                BMC Public Health
                BMC Public Health
                BioMed Central (London )
                1471-2458
                17 March 2020
                17 March 2020
                2020
                : 20
                : 347
                Affiliations
                [1 ]GRID grid.411705.6, ISNI 0000 0001 0166 0922, National Institute of Health Research, , Tehran University of Medical Sciences, ; Tehran, Iran
                [2 ]GRID grid.6906.9, ISNI 0000000092621349, Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, , Erasmus University Rotterdam, ; Rotterdam, The Netherlands
                [3 ]GRID grid.411705.6, ISNI 0000 0001 0166 0922, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, , Tehran University of Medical Sciences, ; Tehran, Iran
                [4 ]GRID grid.411705.6, ISNI 0000 0001 0166 0922, Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Sciences Institute, , Tehran University of Medical Sciences, ; Tehran, Iran
                [5 ]GRID grid.415814.d, ISNI 0000 0004 0612 272X, Deputy of Research and Technology, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, ; Tehran, Iran
                [6 ]GRID grid.411705.6, ISNI 0000 0001 0166 0922, Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Institute, , Tehran University of Medical Sciences, ; Tehran, Iran
                [7 ]GRID grid.415814.d, ISNI 0000 0004 0612 272X, Reference Health Laboratory, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, ; Tehran, Iran
                [8 ]GRID grid.411705.6, ISNI 0000 0001 0166 0922, Diabetes Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Institute, , Tehran University of Medical Sciences, ; Tehran, Iran
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8288-4046
                Article
                8450
                10.1186/s12889-020-8450-1
                7076938
                32183754
                4f086b70-ee75-4f9d-99cd-70b0c97b53ac
                © The Author(s). 2020

                Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver ( http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

                History
                : 5 August 2019
                : 3 March 2020
                Funding
                Funded by: Iran National Institute of Health Research, Tehran University of Medical Sciences
                Award ID: 241/m/93/259.
                Award Recipient :
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2020

                Public health
                hypertension,jnc8 hypertension guideline,2017 acc/aha hypertension guideline,effective coverage,prevalence,awareness,treatment,control,iran

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