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      Mortality gap for people with bipolar disorder and schizophrenia: UK-based cohort study 2000–2014

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          Abstract

          Background

          Bipolar disorder and schizophrenia are associated with increased mortality relative to the general population. There is an international emphasis on decreasing this excess mortality.

          Aims

          To determine whether the mortality gap between individuals with bipolar disorder and schizophrenia and the general population has decreased.

          Method

          A nationally representative cohort study using primary care electronic health records from 2000 to 2014, comparing all patients diagnosed with bipolar disorder or schizophrenia and the general population. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality.

          Results

          Individuals with bipolar disorder and schizophrenia had elevated mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 1.79, 95% CI 1.67–1.88 and 2.08, 95% CI 1.98–2.19 respectively). Adjusted HRs for bipolar disorder increased by 0.14/year (95% CI 0.10–0.19) from 2006 to 2014. The adjusted HRs for schizophrenia increased gradually from 2004 to 2010 (0.11/year, 95% CI 0.04–0.17) and rapidly after 2010 (0.34/year, 95% CI 0.18–0.49).

          Conclusions

          The mortality gap between individuals with bipolar disorder and schizophrenia, and the general population is widening.

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          Most cited references47

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          Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with applications to cancer rates.

          The identification of changes in the recent trend is an important issue in the analysis of cancer mortality and incidence data. We apply a joinpoint regression model to describe such continuous changes and use the grid-search method to fit the regression function with unknown joinpoints assuming constant variance and uncorrelated errors. We find the number of significant joinpoints by performing several permutation tests, each of which has a correct significance level asymptotically. Each p-value is found using Monte Carlo methods, and the overall asymptotic significance level is maintained through a Bonferroni correction. These tests are extended to the situation with non-constant variance to handle rates with Poisson variation and possibly autocorrelated errors. The performance of these tests are studied via simulations and the tests are applied to U.S. prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates. Copyright 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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            Generalisability of The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database: demographics, chronic disease prevalence and mortality rates.

            The degree of generalisability of patient databases to the general population is important for interpreting database research. This report describes the representativeness of The Health Improvement Network (THIN), a UK primary care database, of the UK population. Demographics, deprivation (Townsend), Quality and Outcomes Framework (QOF) condition prevalence and deaths from THIN were compared with national statistical and QOF 2006/2007 data. Demographics were similar although THIN contained fewer people aged under 25 years. Condition prevalence was comparable, e.g. 3.5% diabetes prevalence in THIN, 3.7% nationally. More THIN patients lived in the most affluent areas (23.5% in THIN, 20% nationally). Between 1990 and 2009, standardised mortality ratio ranged from 0.81 (95% CI: 0.39-1.49; 1990) to 0.93 (95% CI: 0.48-1.64; 1995). Adjusting for demographics/deprivation, the 2006 THIN death rate was 9.08/1000 population close to the national death rate of 9.4/1000 population. THIN is generalisable to the UK for demographics, major condition prevalence and death rates adjusted for demographics and deprivation.
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              Fatal and non-fatal repetition of self-harm. Systematic review.

              Non-fatal self-harm frequently leads to non-fatal repetition and sometimes to suicide. We need to quantify these two outcomes of self-harm to help us to develop and test effective interventions. To estimate rates of fatal and non-fatal repetition of self-harm. A systematic review of published follow-up data, from observational and experimental studies. Four electronic databases were searched and 90 studies met the inclusion criteria. Eighty per cent of studies found were undertaken in Europe, over one-third in the UK. Median proportions for repetition 1 year later were: 16% non-fatal and 2% fatal; after more than 9 years, around 7% of patients had died by suicide. The UK studies found particularly low rates of subsequent suicide. After 1 year, non-fatal repetition rates are around 15%. The strong connection between self-harm and later suicide lies somewhere between 0.5% and 2% after 1 year and above 5% after 9 years. Suicide risk among self-harm patients is hundreds of times higher than in the general population.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Br J Psychiatry
                Br J Psychiatry
                bjprcpsych
                The British Journal of Psychiatry
                Royal College of Psychiatrists
                0007-1250
                1472-1465
                September 2017
                September 2017
                : 211
                : 3
                : 175-181
                Affiliations
                Joseph F. Hayes, MSc, MB, ChB, Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London; Louise Marston, PhD; Kate Walters, PhD, Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London; Michael B. King, PhD, David P. J. Osborn, PhD, Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK
                Author notes
                Correspondence: Joseph F. Hayes, Division of Psychiatry, UCL, 6th Floor Maple House, 149 Tottenham Court Road, London W1T 7NF, UK. Email: joseph.hayes@ 123456ucl.ac.uk
                Article
                10.1192/bjp.bp.117.202606
                5579328
                28684403
                538c8fe0-3281-4509-8cdf-c5a225b2b14f
                © The Royal College of Psychiatrists 2017.

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) licence.

                History
                : 3 March 2017
                : 7 April 2017
                : 14 April 2017
                Categories
                Papers

                Clinical Psychology & Psychiatry
                Clinical Psychology & Psychiatry

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