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      Application of the modified Framingham cardiovascular risk score to newly diagnosed type 2 black African diabetic patients

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          Summary

          Background and objective:

          Cardiovascular complications are a major cause of morbidity and mortality in people with type 2 diabetes. The aim of this cross-sectional study was to assess the baseline cardiovascular risk of newly diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients, using the modified Framingham point-score scale.

          Methods

          Data on cardiovascular risk factors were collected from 97 consecutive newly diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients at the Yaounde Central Hospital, Cameroon. Projected 10-year cardiovascular risk was estimated for each patient using the modified point score of Framingham.

          Results

          Men and women were equally represented and the age of the participants ranged from 33 to 86 years. Mean values for total, low-density lipoprotein (LDL) and non-high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol were relatively elevated in the study population while HDL cholesterol levels were low. Total cardiovascular risk scores and the individual scores for each of the parameters in our model were significantly higher in females than in males. The 10-year risk for coronary artery disease was above 20% in 7.2% (6.7−7.7) of subjects, and between 10 and 20% in 21.7% (20.8−22.6). Overall, men were more at risk than women ( p < 0.001).

          Conclusions

          Patients with type 2 diabetes already had increased cardiovascular risk at clinical diagnosis in Cameroon. There is therefore considerable need for cardiovascular risk-factor intervention, particularly for hypertension and obesity, as well as dyslipidaemia, along with tight metabolic control.

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          Most cited references15

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          The UKPDS risk engine: a model for the risk of coronary heart disease in Type II diabetes (UKPDS 56).

          A definitive model for predicting absolute risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) in male and female people with Type II diabetes is not yet available. This paper provides an equation for estimating the risk of new CHD events in people with Type II diabetes, based on data from 4540 U.K. Prospective Diabetes Study male and female patients. Unlike previously published risk equations, the model is diabetes-specific and incorporates glycaemia, systolic blood pressure and lipid levels as risk factors, in addition to age, sex, ethnic group, smoking status and time since diagnosis of diabetes. All variables included in the final model were statistically significant (P<0.001, except smoking for which P=0.0013) in likelihood ratio testing. This model provides the estimates of CHD risk required by current guidelines for the primary prevention of CHD in Type II diabetes.
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            UKPDS 60: risk of stroke in type 2 diabetes estimated by the UK Prospective Diabetes Study risk engine.

            People with type 2 diabetes are at elevated risk of stroke compared with those without diabetes. Relative risks have been examined in earlier work, but there is no readily available method for predicting the absolute risk of stroke in a diabetic individual. We developed mathematical models to estimate the risk of a first stroke using data from 4549 newly diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients enrolled in the UK Prospective Diabetes Study. During 30 700 person-years of follow-up, 188 first strokes (52 fatal) occurred. Model fitting was carried out by maximum likelihood estimation using the Newton-Raphson method. Diagnostic plots were used to compare survival probabilities calculated by the model with those calculated using nonparametric methods. Variables included in the final model were duration of diabetes, age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and presence of atrial fibrillation. Not included in the model were body mass index, hemoglobin A1c, ethnicity, and ex-smoking status. The use of the model is illustrated with a hypothetical study power calculation. This model forecasts the absolute risk of a first stroke in people with type 2 diabetes using variables readily available in routine clinical practice.
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              Cardiovascular complications of diabetes mellitus in sub-Saharan Africa.

              Cardiovascular disease, the major cause of mortality and morbidity in modern societies, is set to overtake infectious diseases in the developing world as the most common cause of death. The increasing prevalence of major and emerging cardiovascular risk factors accounts for the growing burden of cardiovascular disease in the world. Diabetes in all its forms is one of the main cardiovascular risk factors. Two of 3 diabetic patients will die as a result of cardiovascular complications, and approximately 30% of patients treated in cardiovascular intensive care units have diabetes. This review on the cardiovascular complications of diabetes in sub-Saharan Africa is a bibliographical MEDLINE search of published data over the past 2 decades. Diabetes-related cardiovascular disease complications are considered to be rare in Africa but are on the rise and are regularly associated with classic cardiovascular risk factors. Coronary heart disease may affect 5% to 8% of type 2 diabetic patients and cardiomyopathy, up to 50% of all patients. Close to 15% of patients with stroke have diabetes, and up to 5% of diabetic patients present with cerebrovascular accidents at diagnosis. Peripheral vascular disease prevalence varies across sites from 4% to 28%. It is obvious that diabetes mellitus and related cardiovascular complications are gaining more importance in sub-Saharan Africa. The relative contribution of putative risk factors is not well defined, and further research is therefore needed.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Cardiovasc J Afr
                Cardiovasc J Afr
                TBC
                Cardiovascular Journal of Africa
                Clinics Cardive Publishing
                1995-1892
                1680-0745
                Jul-Aug 2007
                : 18
                : 4
                : 234-237
                Affiliations
                George Institute for International Health, University of Sydney, Australia
                Department of Internal Medicine and Specialities, Faculty of Medicine and Biomedical Science, University of Yaounde 1
                Yaounde Central Hospital, Internal Medicine Unit: Service of Endocrinology, Yaounde, Cameroon
                Department of Internal Medicine and Specialities, Faculty of Medicine and Biomedical Science, University of Yaounde 1
                Yaounde Central Hospital, Internal Medicine Unit: Service of Endocrinology, Yaounde, Cameroon
                Department of Internal Medicine and Specialities, Faculty of Medicine and Biomedical Science, University of Yaounde 1
                Yaounde Central Hospital, Internal Medicine Unit: Service of Endocrinology, Yaounde, Cameroon
                Department of Internal Medicine and Specialities, Faculty of Medicine and Biomedical Science, University of Yaounde 1
                Yaounde Central Hospital, Internal Medicine Unit: Service of Endocrinology, Yaounde, Cameroon
                Article
                4170223
                17940668
                667dddb6-30a6-45a9-af8f-559a9e028120
                Copyright © 2010 Clinics Cardive Publishing

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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                Categories
                Cardiovascular Topics

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