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      Performance of Transient Elastography for the Staging of Liver Fibrosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B: A Meta-Analysis

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          Abstract

          Background

          Transient elastography (TE), a non-invasive tool that measures liver stiffness, has been evaluated in meta-analyses for effectiveness in assessing liver fibrosis in European populations with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). However, these data cannot be extrapolated to populations in Asian countries, where chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is more prevalent. In this study, we performed a meta-analysis to assess the overall performance of TE for assessing liver fibrosis in patients with CHB .

          Methods

          Studies from the literature and international conference abstracts which enrolled only patients with CHB or performed a subgroup analysis of such patients were enrolled. Combined effects were calculated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC) and diagnostic accuracy values of each study.

          Result

          A total of 18 studies comprising 2,772 patients were analyzed. The mean AUROCs for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis (F2), severe fibrosis (F3), and cirrhosis (F4) were 0.859 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.857–0.860), 0.887 (95% CI, 0.886–0.887), and 0.929 (95% CI, 0.928–0.929), respectively. The estimated cutoff for F2 was 7.9 (range, 6.1–11.8) kPa, with a sensitivity of 74.3% and specificity of 78.3%. For F3, the cutoff value was determined to be 8.8 (range, 8.1–9.7) kPa, with a sensitivity of 74.0% and specificity of 63.8%. The cutoff value for F4 was 11.7 (range, 7.3–17.5) kPa, with a sensitivity of 84.6% and specificity of 81.5%.

          Conclusion

          TE can be performed with good diagnostic accuracy for quantifying liver fibrosis in patients with CHB.

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          Most cited references15

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          Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems.

          J Swets (1988)
          Diagnostic systems of several kinds are used to distinguish between two classes of events, essentially "signals" and "noise". For them, analysis in terms of the "relative operating characteristic" of signal detection theory provides a precise and valid measure of diagnostic accuracy. It is the only measure available that is uninfluenced by decision biases and prior probabilities, and it places the performances of diverse systems on a common, easily interpreted scale. Representative values of this measure are reported here for systems in medical imaging, materials testing, weather forecasting, information retrieval, polygraph lie detection, and aptitude testing. Though the measure itself is sound, the values obtained from tests of diagnostic systems often require qualification because the test data on which they are based are of unsure quality. A common set of problems in testing is faced in all fields. How well these problems are handled, or can be handled in a given field, determines the degree of confidence that can be placed in a measured value of accuracy. Some fields fare much better than others.
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            Elastography for the diagnosis of severity of fibrosis in chronic liver disease: a meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy.

            Transient elastography is a non-invasive method, for the assessment of hepatic fibrosis, developed as an alternative to liver biopsy. We studied the performance of elastography for diagnosis of fibrosis using meta-analysis. MEDLINE, EMBASE, SCI, Cochrane Library, conference abstracts books, and article references were searched. We included studies using biopsy as a reference standard, with the data necessary to calculate the true and false positive, true and false negative diagnostic results of elastography for a fibrosis stage, and with a 3-month maximum interval between tests. The quality of the studies was rated with the QUADAS tool. We identified 40 eligible studies. Summary sensitivity and specificity was 0.79 (95% CI 0.74-0.82) and 0.78 (95% CI 0.72-0.83) for F2 stage and 0.83 (95% CI 0.79-0.86) and 0.89 (95% CI 0.87-0.91) for cirrhosis. After an elastography result at/over the threshold value for F2 or cirrhosis ("positive" result), the corresponding post-test probability for their presence (if pre-test probability was 50%) was 78%, and 88% respectively, while, if values were below these thresholds ("negative" result), the post-test probability was 21% and 16%, respectively. No optimal stiffness cut-offs for individual fibrosis stages were validated in independent cohorts and cut-offs had a wide range and overlap within and between stages. Elastography theoretically has good sensitivity and specificity for cirrhosis (and less for lesser degrees of fibrosis); however, it should be cautiously applied to everyday clinical practice because there is no validation of the stiffness cut-offs for the various stages. Such validation is required before elastography is considered sufficiently accurate for non-invasive staging of fibrosis. Copyright © 2010 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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              Interferon therapy reduces the risk for hepatocellular carcinoma: national surveillance program of cirrhotic and noncirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis C in Japan. IHIT Study Group. Inhibition of Hepatocarcinogenesis by Interferon Therapy.

              Previous studies on the effect of interferon therapy on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma have not sufficiently assessed degree of liver fibrosis, a major risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma. To evaluate the effect of interferon therapy on incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma, adjusting for risk factors, including the degree of liver fibrosis. Retrospective cohort study. Seven university hospitals and one regional core hospital in Japan. 2890 patients with chronic hepatitis C who had undergone liver biopsy since 1986. Of these patients, 2400 received interferon and 490 were untreated. The degree of liver fibrosis was assessed from stage F0 (no fibrosis) to stage F4 (cirrhosis). Response to interferon was determined virologically and biochemically. Screening for development of hepatocellular carcinoma was performed periodically during an average follow-up of 4.3 years. Effect of interferon therapy on the risk for hepatocellular carcinoma was analyzed by using Cox proportional hazards regression. Hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 89 interferon-treated patients and in 59 untreated patients. Among untreated patients, the annual incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma increased with the degree of liver fibrosis, from 0.5% among patients with stage F0 or F1 fibrosis to 7.9% among patients with stage F4 fibrosis. The cumulative incidence in treated and untreated patients differed significantly for patients with stage F2 fibrosis (P = 0.0128) and for those with stage F3 fibrosis (P = 0.0011). In multivariate analysis, interferon therapy was associated with a reduced risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (adjusted risk ratio, 0.516 [95% CI, 0.358 to 0.742]; P < 0.001), especially among patients with sustained virologic response (risk ratio, 0.197 [CI, 0.099 to 0.392]), among those with persistently normal serum alanine aminotransferase levels (risk ratio, 0.197 [CI, 0.104 to 0.375]), and among those with alanine aminotransferase levels less than two times the upper limit of normal (risk ratio, 0.358 [CI, 0.206 to 0.622]). Interferon therapy significantly reducesthe risk for hepatocellular carcinoma, especially among virologic or biochemical responders.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS One
                PLoS ONE
                plos
                plosone
                PLoS ONE
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, USA )
                1932-6203
                2012
                25 September 2012
                : 7
                : 9
                : e44930
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
                [2 ]Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
                [3 ]Liver Cirrhosis Clinical Research Center, Seoul, Korea
                [4 ]Department of Biostatics, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
                The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
                Author notes

                Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

                Conceived and designed the experiments: YEC EHC SHA SUK. Performed the experiments: YEC EHC. Analyzed the data: YEC EHC KJS. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: JYP DYK KHH CYC SHA SUK. Wrote the paper: YEC EHC.

                Article
                PONE-D-12-11655
                10.1371/journal.pone.0044930
                3458028
                23049764
                6c647357-0dc5-40d6-a2d3-942df4023853
                Copyright @ 2012

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 24 April 2012
                : 10 August 2012
                Page count
                Pages: 7
                Funding
                This study was supported by a grant of the Korea Healthcare Technology R & D Project, Ministry of Health and Welfare, Republic of Korea (A102065). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
                Categories
                Research Article
                Medicine
                Clinical Research Design
                Meta-Analyses
                Gastroenterology and Hepatology
                Liver Diseases
                Infectious Hepatitis
                Hepatitis B
                Cirrhosis
                Portal Hypertension
                Non-Clinical Medicine
                Health Services Research

                Uncategorized
                Uncategorized

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