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      Best Practice in Systematic Reviews: The Importance of Protocols and Registration

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      The PLoS Medicine Editors *
      PLoS Medicine
      Public Library of Science

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          Abstract

          It is now just over six years [1] since many medical journals began requiring that trials be registered before considering the trial report for publication. Such a policy was set up explicitly to reduce what was considered to be widespread bias in favor of publication of “positive” trials and to ensure that all clinical trials be made public prior to participant enrollment. Given the importance of clinical trials for estimating the efficacy and safety of interventions, and their role in approval of new drugs and devices, such a policy seemed uncontroversial. Although it is known that some trials still go unregistered, there are strong incentives (such as journal publication) and, in some countries legally enforceable mandates, for authors to register these studies before enrolling patients. The existence and widespread uptake of trial registration helps researchers, patients, and funders understand how many trials are being undertaken and which interventions are being evaluated. It also allows studies to be traced from inception through to completion and publication [2]. However, well-conducted systematic reviews—overviews of health care interventions that use a predefined, explicit methodology to find and synthesize all the relevant evidence—are generally considered higher-caliber evidence than are individual trials in decision-making for clinical practice and health policy. The superiority given to such reviews derives from key aspects inherent to the process of carrying out a systematic review. This study type, if done properly, allows the review to come closer to estimating the true effect of an intervention than any single study can, for two main reasons. First, such reviews collect and synthesize all relevant studies; second, reviews appraise each included study for risk of bias. However, there is increasing evidence of the existence of publication bias for systematic reviews. A recent survey [3] indicates that nonpublication of completed studies may be as much of a problem for systematic reviews as it is for trials. Other analyses [4],[5] point to the existence of discrepancies between systematic review protocols and the published report, with one study [5] showing that the outcomes included in published systematic reviews may be biased toward “positive” findings. It is crucially important, therefore, that if the evidence from these studies is to be incorporated into clinical practice, the review is as rigorous and as fully reported as possible. For example, it should be obvious to readers whether there was a prespecified protocol for the review, that deviations are noted, and whether outcomes from the review are reported according to the original study plan. Increased clarity surrounding systematic review conduct and reporting would be possible if the protocols for systematic reviews, just like those for trials, were registered [6],[7]. Systematic reviews conducted under the auspices of the Cochrane Collaboration are registered early, at the protocol development stage. This registration helps minimize bias in the conduct and reporting of the review, reduce duplication of effort between groups, and keep systematic reviews updated. However, until now no overarching registry open to all researchers, worldwide, has existed for recording the existence and development of systematic reviews from inception through to completion. This month, the Centre for Reviews and Dissemination (University of York, UK), supported by the UK National Institutes of Health Research and in collaboration with an international advisory group, announces PROSPERO, its international Prospective Register of Ongoing Systematic Reviews. Following months of public consultation, with many hundreds of respondents from 34 countries providing input on the proposed registration process and minimum dataset, PROSPERO is now open for business [8]. Registration is free, is available to anyone around the world, and generates a unique identifying number for each registered systematic review, which can (and should) be reported in any publications that arise from the study. Investigators should use the registry to record the existence of the protocol for a planned or ongoing systematic review of health care interventions even before screening studies for inclusion in the systematic review. A minimum dataset specifies the key items that are required for a systematic review to be meaningfully registered. Key data items include a statement of the research question, patients and population, study intervention(s) and outcomes; criteria for inclusion and exclusion of studies in the systematic review; outline of search strategy; and methods to assess risk of bias and for analysis of studies included in the systematic review. With a clear system in place for registration of new and ongoing systematic reviews, PLoS Medicine announces its support for this initiative. The journal wishes to promote best practice in the conduct and reporting of systematic reviews. Best practice includes registration during the protocol phase in PROSPERO or other appropriate registry, conduct of the review in accordance with a fully developed protocol, and reporting in line with the PRISMA guidelines [9]. PLoS Medicine and other PLoS journals will now start asking authors on submission whether registered their systematic review, and if so, to provide us with the registry number, which will be included in the final published article if the study is accepted for publication in the journal. We will also encourage authors to submit copies of their protocols, which will be available for reviewers and editors as part of the review process, and then published as supporting information alongside the full report of the systematic review. We recognize that it is still early days for registration of systematic reviews. As a result, the PLoS Medicine editors are keen to hear from our readers and authors about this new initiative. We recognize that efforts such as this cannot alone eliminate bias in the conduct and reporting of research. We also appreciate that an additional burden is posed to prospective authors; as such we will reassess the PLoS policy on systematic review registration within a year. The research community is still in the process of learning what the publication outcomes are of cohorts of trials registered in the main registries, such as ClinicalTrials.gov and ISRCTN, since these sites were set up and widely supported by medical journals [2]. It will be some time before the uptake and outcomes of systematic review registration are known. We hope, however, that the future success of this initiative will contribute toward increased rigor and transparency of the systematic review literature.

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          Bias Due to Changes in Specified Outcomes during the Systematic Review Process

          Background Adding, omitting or changing outcomes after a systematic review protocol is published can result in bias because it increases the potential for unacknowledged or post hoc revisions of the planned analyses. The main objective of this study was to look for discrepancies between primary outcomes listed in protocols and in the subsequent completed reviews published on the Cochrane Library. A secondary objective was to quantify the risk of bias in a set of meta-analyses where discrepancies between outcome specifications in protocols and reviews were found. Methods and Findings New reviews from three consecutive issues of the Cochrane Library were assessed. For each review, the primary outcome(s) listed in the review protocol and the review itself were identified and review authors were contacted to provide reasons for any discrepancies. Over a fifth (64/288, 22%) of protocol/review pairings were found to contain a discrepancy in at least one outcome measure, of which 48 (75%) were attributable to changes in the primary outcome measure. Where lead authors could recall a reason for the discrepancy in the primary outcome, there was found to be potential bias in nearly a third (8/28, 29%) of these reviews, with changes being made after knowledge of the results from individual trials. Only 4(6%) of the 64 reviews with an outcome discrepancy described the reason for the change in the review, with no acknowledgment of the change in any of the eight reviews containing potentially biased discrepancies. Outcomes that were promoted in the review were more likely to be significant than if there was no discrepancy (relative risk 1.66 95% CI (1.10, 2.49), p = 0.02). Conclusion In a review, making changes after seeing the results for included studies can lead to biased and misleading interpretation if the importance of the outcome (primary or secondary) is changed on the basis of those results. Our assessment showed that reasons for discrepancies with the protocol are not reported in the review, demonstrating an under-recognition of the problem. Complete transparency in the reporting of changes in outcome specification is vital; systematic reviewers should ensure that any legitimate changes to outcome specification are reported with reason in the review.
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            Publishing protocols of systematic reviews: comparing what was done to what was planned.

            Publication of research protocols minimizes bias by explicitly stating a priori hypotheses and methods without prior knowledge of results. We conducted a retrospective comparative study to assess the extent to which the content of published Cochrane reviews had changed compared with their previously published protocols and to assess any potential impact these changes may have had in introducing bias to the study. We identified previously published protocols for new Cochrane reviews appearing in The Cochrane Library; 2000, issue 3. The texts of published protocols and completed reviews were compared. Two raters independently identified changes to the different sections of the protocol and classified the changes as none, minor, or major. Of the 66 new Cochrane reviews, we identified a previously published protocol for 47 reviews. Of these, 43 reviews had at least 1 section that had undergone a major change compared with the most recently published protocol. The greatest variation between protocols and reviews was in the methods section, in which 68% of reviews (n = 32) had undergone a major change. Changes made in other sections that may have resulted in the introduction of bias included narrowing of objectives, addition of comparisons or new outcome measures, broadening of criteria for the types of study design included, and narrowing of types of participants included. Research protocols, even if published, are likely to remain, at least to some extent, iterative documents. We found that a large number of changes were made to Cochrane reviews, some of which could be prone to influence by prior knowledge of results. Even if many of the changes between protocol and review improve the overall study, the reasons for making these should be clearly identified and documented within the final review.
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              Clinical trial registration: a statement from the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors.

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                PLoS Med
                PLoS
                plosmed
                PLoS Medicine
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, USA )
                1549-1277
                1549-1676
                February 2011
                February 2011
                22 February 2011
                : 8
                : 2
                : e1001009
                Author notes

                Wrote the first draft of the paper: EV. Contributed to the writing of the paper: VB JC SJ MN.

                The PLoS Medicine Editors are Virginia Barbour, Jocalyn Clark, Susan Jones, Melissa Norton, and Emma Veitch.

                Article
                PMEDICINE-D-11-00066
                10.1371/journal.pmed.1001009
                3042995
                21364968
                8086108c-3bb0-4251-9ae5-b72aa3d4965e
                PLoS Medicine Editors. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
                History
                Page count
                Pages: 2
                Categories
                Editorial
                Systematic Reviews
                Medicine
                Clinical Research Design

                Medicine
                Medicine

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