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      Sex differences in mortality after abdominal aortic aneurysm repair in the UK

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          Abstract

          Background

          The UK abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening programmes currently invite only men for screening because the benefit in women is uncertain. Perioperative risk is critical in determining the effectiveness of screening, and contemporary estimates of these risks in women are lacking. The aim of this study was to compare mortality following AAA repair between women and men in the UK.

          Methods

          Anonymized data from the UK National Vascular Registry (NVR) for patients undergoing AAA repair (January 2010 to December 2014) were analysed. Co‐variables were extracted for analysis by sex. The primary outcome measure was in‐hospital mortality. Secondary outcome measures included mortality by 5‐year age groups and duration of hospital stay. Logistic regression was performed to adjust for age, calendar time, AAA diameter and smoking status. NVR‐based outcomes were checked against Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data.

          Results

          A total of 23 245 patients were included (13·0 per cent women). Proportionally, more women than men underwent open repair. For elective open AAA repair, the in‐hospital mortality rate was 6·9 per cent in women and 4·0 per cent in men (odds ratio (OR) 1·48, 95 per cent c.i. 1·08 to 2·02; P = 0·014), whereas for elective endovascular AAA repair it was 1·8 per cent in women and 0·7 per cent in men (OR 2·86, 1·72 to 4·74; P < 0·001); the results in HES were similar. For ruptured AAA, there was no sex difference in mortality within the NVR; however, in HES, for ruptured open AAA repair, the in‐hospital mortality rate was higher in women (33·6 versus 27·1 per cent; OR 1·36, 1·16 to 1·59; P < 0·001).

          Conclusion

          Women have a higher in‐hospital mortality rate than men after elective AAA repair even after adjustment. This higher mortality may have an impact on the benefit offered by any screening programme offered to women.

          Abstract

          Mortality double in women

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          Most cited references28

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          Aneurysm global epidemiology study: public health measures can further reduce abdominal aortic aneurysm mortality.

          Contemporary data from Western populations suggest steep declines in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) mortality; however, international trends are unclear. This study aimed to investigate global AAA mortality trends and to analyze any association with common cardiovascular risk factors.
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            Final follow-up of the Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) randomized trial of abdominal aortic aneurysm screening

            Background: The long-term effects of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening were investigated in extended follow-up from the UK Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) randomized trial. Methods: A population-based sample of men aged 65–74 years were randomized individually to invitation to ultrasound screening (invited group) or to a control group not offered screening. Patients with an AAA (3·0 cm or larger) detected at screening underwent surveillance and were offered surgery after predefined criteria had been met. Cause-specific mortality data were analysed using Cox regression. Results: Some 67 770 men were enrolled in the study. Over 13 years, there were 224 AAA-related deaths in the invited group and 381 in the control group, a 42 (95 per cent confidence interval 31 to 51) per cent reduction. There was no evidence of effect on other causes of death, but there was an overall reduction in all-cause mortality of 3 (1 to 5) per cent. The degree of benefit seen in earlier years of follow-up was slightly diminished by the occurrence of AAA ruptures in those with an aorta originally screened normal. About half of these ruptures had a baseline aortic diameter in the range 2·5–2·9 cm. It was estimated that 216 men need to be invited to screening to save one death over the next 13 years. Conclusion: Screening resulted in a reduction in all-cause mortality, and the benefit in AAA-related mortality continued to accumulate throughout follow-up. Registration number: ISRCTN37381646 (http://www.controlled-trials.com).
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              Randomized clinical trial of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm in women.

              Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is commonly restricted to men. Recent studies have indicated a possible increase in deaths due to ruptured AAA in women, and a higher rate of rupture in women than in men. The present report details results from a randomized controlled trial that assessed the effects of screening women for AAA. Some 9342 women aged 65-80 years were entered into the trial and randomized to age-matched screen and control groups. A single ultrasonographic scan was offered to women in the screening arm of the study. Women with an AAA received follow-up scans, and were considered for elective surgery if certain criteria were met. The prevalence of AAA was six times lower in women (1.3 per cent) than in men (7.6 per cent). Over 5- and 10-year follow-up intervals, the incidence of rupture was the same in the screened and control groups of women. Screening women for AAA is neither clinically indicated nor economically viable.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                ds343@le.ac.uk
                Journal
                Br J Surg
                Br J Surg
                10.1002/(ISSN)1365-2168
                BJS
                The British Journal of Surgery
                John Wiley & Sons, Ltd (Chichester, UK )
                0007-1323
                1365-2168
                26 July 2017
                November 2017
                : 104
                : 12 ( doiID: 10.1002/bjs.2017.104.issue-12 )
                : 1656-1664
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ] Vascular Surgery Group, Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Leicester Cardiovascular Biomedical Research Unit University of Leicester Leicester UK
                [ 2 ] Department of Public Health and Primary Care University of Cambridge Cambridge UK
                [ 3 ] Health Economics and Decision Science University of Sheffield Sheffield UK
                [ 4 ] Vascular Surgery Research Group Imperial College London UK
                Author notes
                [*] [* ] Correspondence to: Mr D. A. Sidloff, Vascular Surgery Group, Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and NIHR Leicester Cardiovascular Biomedical Research Unit, University of Leicester, Leicester LE2 7LX, UK (e‐mail: ds343@ 123456le.ac.uk )
                Article
                BJS10600
                10.1002/bjs.10600
                5655705
                28745403
                9629f869-42c4-4071-9d99-7f9238fda608
                © 2017 The Authors. BJS published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of BJS Society Ltd.

                This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution‐NonCommercial License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.

                History
                : 20 January 2017
                : 15 April 2017
                : 20 April 2017
                Page count
                Figures: 3, Tables: 4, Pages: 10, Words: 9430
                Funding
                Funded by: UK NIHR
                Funded by: UK NIHR HTA
                Award ID: 14/179/01
                Funded by: Applied Research programme
                Award ID: RP‐PG‐1210‐12009
                Categories
                Original Article
                Original Articles
                Custom metadata
                2.0
                bjs10600
                November 2017
                Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_NLMPMC version:5.2.1 mode:remove_FC converted:25.10.2017

                Surgery
                Surgery

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