Measurement of tumor volume is not superior to diameter for prediction of lymph node metastasis in early gastric cancer with minute submucosal invasion

Abstract

Background/Aim

The current indication for endoscopic resection in early gastric cancer (EGC) with minute (< 500 µm) submucosal invasion is based on tumor diameter, which may be insufficient to predict lymph node metastasis (LNM). We investigated whether tumor volume might more accurately predict LNM in EGC with minute submucosal invasion.

Materials and Methods

Among patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer, 346 with well/moderately differentiated EGC with submucosal invasion <500 µm were evaluated. Three-dimensional tumor volume was calculated using an endoscopically resected specimen and compared with 1-dimensional tumor diameter. Predictive ability of tumor diameter or volume for LNM was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

Results

Tumor diameter and volume predicted LNM with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.567 and 0.589, respectively. AUC, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and accuracy of the 2 models were not significantly different. Tumor diameter ≥ 3 cm showed a significant association with LNM (odds ratio [OR], 2.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01–6.57; P = 0.049), whereas a tumor volume cutoff value of 752.8 cm3 showed no significant association with LNM (OR, 1.52; 95% CI, 0.59–3.88; P = 0.385).

Conclusions

Tumor volume had no advantage over diameter for predicting LNM in well/moderately differentiated EGC with minute submucosal invasion.