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      Is the push-pull paradigm useful to explain rural-urban migration? A case study in Uttarakhand, India

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          Abstract

          The present study explored the motivation of rural-urban migrants who moved from the Himalaya foothills of Uttarakhand to its capital city, Dehradun. A survey of 100 migrant families reported their socio-economic profile before and after migration, personal and general reasons for migration, problems in the village and in the city, and perception of push- and pull factors. A remote sensing-based analysis of land cover and forest changes was conducted for two villages of the migrants’ origin, aiming to link the reasons for migration to land cover changes. This was contextualised by reported large scale changes in forest cover. Major reasons for migration mentioned in this study were education, employment opportunities with the associated income, and facilities. These were perceived as both, push and pull factors, whereas environmental factors ranked very low. Declining environment or agriculture were never mentioned spontaneously as personal reason, and only occasionally as a presumed general reason for migration, but were frequently confirmed as a major problem in the village. Thus, although such problems existed, they seemed not a major driver of rural-urban migration. For most of the respondents their migration resulted in a profound change of livelihoods and significantly improved their socio-economic situation. Land and forest cover around the chosen villages fluctuated by up to 15% with a trend to increasing forest cover in recent years. At the district and state scales, forest cover was rather stable. These results question the narrative of deforestation and environmental degradation in the Himalayas as major push-factors for rural-urban migration in Uttarakhand. Even if environmental constraints were felt, it was rather the differences in socio-economic opportunities (education, employment, facilities) that drove people to migrate to the city. Regarding the push-pull paradigm, we conclude that scenarios of external conditions under which people migrate cannot be evaluated without taking the migrants’ attitudes and choices into account.

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          Most cited references23

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          The Laws of Migration

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            Future urban land expansion and implications for global croplands

            Urbanization’s contribution to land use change emerges as an important sustainability concern. Here, we demonstrate that projected urban area expansion will take place on some of the world’s most productive croplands, in particular in megaurban regions in Asia and Africa. This dynamic adds pressure to potentially strained future food systems and threatens livelihoods in vulnerable regions. Urban expansion often occurs on croplands. However, there is little scientific understanding of how global patterns of future urban expansion will affect the world’s cultivated areas. Here, we combine spatially explicit projections of urban expansion with datasets on global croplands and crop yields. Our results show that urban expansion will result in a 1.8–2.4% loss of global croplands by 2030, with substantial regional disparities. About 80% of global cropland loss from urban expansion will take place in Asia and Africa. In both Asia and Africa, much of the cropland that will be lost is more than twice as productive as national averages. Asia will experience the highest absolute loss in cropland, whereas African countries will experience the highest percentage loss of cropland. Globally, the croplands that are likely to be lost were responsible for 3–4% of worldwide crop production in 2000. Urban expansion is expected to take place on cropland that is 1.77 times more productive than the global average. The loss of cropland is likely to be accompanied by other sustainability risks and threatens livelihoods, with diverging characteristics for different megaurban regions. Governance of urban area expansion thus emerges as a key area for securing livelihoods in the agrarian economies of the Global South.
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              Implications of agricultural transitions and urbanization for ecosystem services.

              Historically, farmers and hunter-gatherers relied directly on ecosystem services, which they both exploited and enjoyed. Urban populations still rely on ecosystems, but prioritize non-ecosystem services (socioeconomic). Population growth and densification increase the scale and change the nature of both ecosystem- and non-ecosystem-service supply and demand, weakening direct feedbacks between ecosystems and societies and potentially pushing social-ecological systems into traps that can lead to collapse. The interacting and mutually reinforcing processes of technological change, population growth and urbanization contribute to over-exploitation of ecosystems through complex feedbacks that have important implications for sustainable resource use.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Formal analysisRole: ValidationRole: VisualizationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Data curationRole: Formal analysisRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Visualization
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Funding acquisitionRole: MethodologyRole: SupervisionRole: Validation
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Funding acquisitionRole: Project administrationRole: ResourcesRole: SupervisionRole: Validation
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS One
                PLoS ONE
                plos
                plosone
                PLoS ONE
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, CA USA )
                1932-6203
                2 April 2019
                2019
                : 14
                : 4
                : e0214511
                Affiliations
                [1 ] Organic Plant Production and Agroecosystems Research in the Tropics and Subtropics, Organic Agricultural Sciences, Universität Kassel, Witzenhausen, Germany
                [2 ] Centre for Ecological Economics and Natural Resources, Institute for Social and Economic Change (ISEC), Nagarabhavi, Bangalore, India
                US Geological Survey, UNITED STATES
                Author notes

                Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3200-7405
                Article
                PONE-D-18-25176
                10.1371/journal.pone.0214511
                6445429
                30939153
                dba4e0ee-27b4-4cca-9f88-a866a7cd7d72
                © 2019 Hoffmann et al

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 13 September 2018
                : 15 March 2019
                Page count
                Figures: 11, Tables: 2, Pages: 22
                Funding
                Funded by: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
                Award ID: BU 1308/14-1
                Award Recipient :
                This study was conducted in association to the Research unit “Social-Ecological Systems in the Indian Rural-Urban Interface: Functions, Scales, and Dynamics of Transition (FOR2432)” funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG; http://www.dfg.de/), grant number BU 1308/14-1 to AB, EMH, and VK. Supplementary funding was provided to SN by the International Centre for Development and Decent Work (ICDD; https://www.uni-kassel.de/einrichtungen/international-center-for-development-and-decent-work-icdd/home.html) funded by the Deutscher Akademischer Austauschdienst (DAAD), under the EXCEED initiative. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
                Categories
                Research Article
                Social Sciences
                Economics
                Human Capital
                Economics of Migration
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Agriculture
                People and Places
                Geographical Locations
                Asia
                India
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Psychology
                Behavior
                Animal Behavior
                Animal Migration
                Social Sciences
                Psychology
                Behavior
                Animal Behavior
                Animal Migration
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Zoology
                Animal Behavior
                Animal Migration
                Earth Sciences
                Geography
                Human Geography
                Human Mobility
                Social Sciences
                Human Geography
                Human Mobility
                Ecology and Environmental Sciences
                Deforestation
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Ecology
                Ecosystems
                Forests
                Ecology and Environmental Sciences
                Ecology
                Ecosystems
                Forests
                Ecology and Environmental Sciences
                Terrestrial Environments
                Forests
                Ecology and Environmental Sciences
                Terrestrial Environments
                Urban Environments
                Custom metadata
                All relevant data are held in an institutional repository at the University of Göttingen: https://data.gro.uni-goettingen.de/dataverse/Dehradun.

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