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      Outcomes in Asymptomatic Severe Aortic Stenosis With Preserved Ejection Fraction Undergoing Rest and Treadmill Stress Echocardiography

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          Abstract

          Background

          In asymptomatic patients with severe aortic stenosis and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction, we sought to assess the incremental prognostic value of resting valvuloarterial impedence (Zva) and left ventricular global longitudinal strain ( LVGLS) to treadmill stress echocardiography.

          Methods and Results

          We studied 504 such patients (66±12 years, 78% men, 32% with coronary artery disease who underwent treadmill stress echocardiography between 2001 and 2012. Clinical and exercise variables (% of age‐sex predicted metabolic equivalents [% AGPMETs]) were recorded. Resting Zva ([systolic arterial pressure+mean aortic valve gradient]/[ LV‐stroke volume index]) and LVGLS (measured offline using Velocity Vector Imaging, Siemens) were obtained from the baseline resting echocardiogram. Death was the primary outcome. There were no major adverse cardiac events during treadmill stress echocardiography. Indexed aortic valve area, Zva, and LVGLS were 0.46±0.1 cm 2/m 2, 4.5±0.9 mm Hg/mL per m 2 and −16±4%, respectively; only 50% achieved >100% AGPMETs. Sixty‐four percent underwent aortic valve replacement. Death occurred in 164 (33%) patients over 8.9±3.6 years (2 within 30 days of aortic valve replacement). On multivariable Cox survival analysis, higher Society of Thoracic Surgeons score (hazard ratio or HR 1.06), lower % AGPMETS ( HR 1.16), higher Zva ( HR 1.25) and lower LVGLS ( HR 1.12) were associated with higher longer‐term mortality, while aortic valve replacement ( HR 0.45) was associated with improved survival (all P<0.01). Sequential addition of ZVa and LVGLS to clinical model (Society of Thoracic Surgeons score and % AGPMETs) increased the c‐statistic from 0.65 to 0.69 and 0.75, respectively, both P<0.001); findings were similar in the subgroup of patients who underwent aortic valve replacement.

          Conclusions

          In asymptomatic patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing treadmill stress echocardiography, LVGLS and ZVa offer incremental prognostic value.

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          Most cited references27

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          American Society of Echocardiography recommendations for performance, interpretation, and application of stress echocardiography.

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            Impaired chronotropic response to exercise stress testing as a predictor of mortality.

            Chronotropic incompetence, an attenuated heart rate response to exercise, is a predictor of all-cause mortality in healthy populations. This association may be independent of exercise-induced myocardial perfusion defects. To examine the prognostic significance of chronotropic incompetence in a low-risk cohort of patients referred for treadmill stress testing with thallium imaging. Prospective cohort study conducted between September 1990 and December 1993. Tertiary care academic medical center. Consecutive patients (1877 men and 1076 women; mean age, 58 years) who were not taking beta-blockers and who were referred for symptom-limited treadmill thallium testing. Association of chronotropic incompetence, defined as either failure to achieve 85% of the age-predicted maximum heart rate or a low chronotropic index, a heart rate response measure that accounts for effects of age, resting heart rate, and physical fitness, with all-cause mortality during 2 years of follow-up. Three hundred sixteen patients (11%) failed to reach 85% of the age-adjusted maximum heart rate, 762 (26%) had a low chronotropic index, and 612 (21%) had thallium perfusion defects. Ninety-one patients died during the follow-up period. After adjustment for age, sex, thallium perfusion defects, and other confounders, failure to reach 85% of the age-predicted maximum heart rate was associated with increased risk of death (adjusted relative risk [RR], 1.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-3.00; P=.01), as was a low chronotropic index (adjusted RR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.43-3.44; P<.001). Among patients with known or suspected coronary disease, chronotropic incompetence is independently predictive of all-cause mortality, even after considering thallium perfusion defects. Incorporation of chronotropic response into the routine interpretation of stress thallium studies may improve the prognostic power of this test.
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              The prognostic value of a nomogram for exercise capacity in women.

              Recent studies have demonstrated that exercise capacity is an independent predictor of mortality in women. Normative values of exercise capacity for age in women have not been well established. Our objectives were to construct a nomogram to permit determination of predicted exercise capacity for age in women and to assess the predictive value of the nomogram with respect to survival. A total of 5721 asymptomatic women underwent a symptom-limited, maximal stress test. Exercise capacity was measured in metabolic equivalents (MET). Linear regression was used to estimate the mean MET achieved for age. A nomogram was established to allow the percentage of predicted exercise capacity to be estimated on the basis of age and the exercise capacity achieved. The nomogram was then used to determine the percentage of predicted exercise capacity for both the original cohort and a referral population of 4471 women with cardiovascular symptoms who underwent a symptom-limited stress test. Survival data were obtained for both cohorts, and Cox survival analysis was used to estimate the rates of death from any cause and from cardiac causes in each group. The linear regression equation for predicted exercise capacity (in MET) on the basis of age in the cohort of asymptomatic women was as follows: predicted MET = 14.7 - (0.13 x age). The risk of death among asymptomatic women whose exercise capacity was less than 85 percent of the predicted value for age was twice that among women whose exercise capacity was at least 85 percent of the age-predicted value (P<0.001). Results were similar in the cohort of symptomatic women. We have established a nomogram for predicted exercise capacity on the basis of age that is predictive of survival among both asymptomatic and symptomatic women. These findings could be incorporated into the interpretation of exercise stress tests, providing additional prognostic information for risk stratification. Copyright 2005 Massachusetts Medical Society.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                desaim2@ccf.org
                Journal
                J Am Heart Assoc
                J Am Heart Assoc
                10.1002/(ISSN)2047-9980
                JAH3
                ahaoa
                Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
                John Wiley and Sons Inc. (Hoboken )
                2047-9980
                12 April 2018
                17 April 2018
                : 7
                : 8 ( doiID: 10.1002/jah3.2018.7.issue-8 )
                : e007880
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ] Heart Valve Center, Heart and Vascular Institute Cleveland Clinic Cleveland OH
                Author notes
                [*] [* ] Correspondence to: Milind Desai, MD, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, 9500 Euclid Ave, Desk J1‐5, Cleveland, OH 44195. E‐mail: desaim2@ 123456ccf.org
                [†]

                Dr Huded and Dr Masri are co‐first authors and contributed equally to this work.

                Article
                JAH33086
                10.1161/JAHA.117.007880
                6015416
                29650708
                e671d8e7-e851-43d3-a6db-2e9b5716a186
                © 2018 The Authors. Published on behalf of the American Heart Association, Inc., by Wiley.

                This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.

                History
                : 16 October 2017
                : 27 February 2018
                Page count
                Figures: 5, Tables: 4, Pages: 13, Words: 9444
                Categories
                Original Research
                Original Research
                Imaging
                Custom metadata
                2.0
                jah33086
                17 April 2018
                Converter:WILEY_ML3GV2_TO_NLMPMC version:version=5.3.4 mode:remove_FC converted:17.04.2018

                Cardiovascular Medicine
                aortic stenosis,strain,stress echocardiography,echocardiography,exercise testing,valvular heart disease

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