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      Mountain rock glaciers contain globally significant water stores

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      1 , , 1 , 2 , 3 , 4
      Scientific Reports
      Nature Publishing Group UK

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          Abstract

          Glacier- and snowpack-derived meltwaters are threatened by climate change. Features such as rock glaciers (RGs) are climatically more resilient than glaciers and potentially contain hydrologically valuable ice volumes. However, while the distribution and hydrological significance of glaciers is well studied, RGs have received comparatively little attention. Here, we present the first near-global RG database (RGDB) through an analysis of current inventories and this contains >73,000 RGs. Using the RGDB, we identify key data-deficient regions as research priorities (e.g., Central Asia). We provide the first approximation of near-global RG water volume equivalent and this is 83.72 ± 16.74 Gt. Excluding the Antarctic and Subantarctic, Greenland Periphery, and regions lacking data, we estimate a near-global RG to glacier water volume equivalent ratio of 1:456. Significant RG water stores occur in arid and semi-arid regions (e.g., South Asia East, 1:57). These results represent a first-order approximation. Uncertainty in the water storage estimates includes errors within the RGDB, inherent flaws in the meta-analysis methodology, and RG thickness estimation. Here, only errors associated with the assumption of RG ice content are quantified and overall uncertainty is likely larger than that quantified. We suggest that RG water stores will become increasingly important under future climate warming.

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          Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions.

          All currently available climate models predict a near-surface warming trend under the influence of rising levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. In addition to the direct effects on climate--for example, on the frequency of heatwaves--this increase in surface temperatures has important consequences for the hydrological cycle, particularly in regions where water supply is currently dominated by melting snow or ice. In a warmer world, less winter precipitation falls as snow and the melting of winter snow occurs earlier in spring. Even without any changes in precipitation intensity, both of these effects lead to a shift in peak river runoff to winter and early spring, away from summer and autumn when demand is highest. Where storage capacities are not sufficient, much of the winter runoff will immediately be lost to the oceans. With more than one-sixth of the Earth's population relying on glaciers and seasonal snow packs for their water supply, the consequences of these hydrological changes for future water availability--predicted with high confidence and already diagnosed in some regions--are likely to be severe.
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            Elevation-dependent warming in mountain regions of the world

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              The Randolph Glacier Inventory: a globally complete inventory of glaciers

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                dj281@exeter.ac.uk
                Journal
                Sci Rep
                Sci Rep
                Scientific Reports
                Nature Publishing Group UK (London )
                2045-2322
                12 February 2018
                12 February 2018
                2018
                : 8
                : 2834
                Affiliations
                [1 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 8024, GRID grid.8391.3, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, , University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn, ; Cornwall, TR10 9EZ UK
                [2 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 8024, GRID grid.8391.3, Environment and Sustainability Institute, , University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn, ; Cornwall, TR10 9EZ UK
                [3 ]ISNI 0000 0004 1936 8024, GRID grid.8391.3, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, , University of Exeter, Streatham Campus, ; Exeter, EX4 4QE UK
                [4 ]ISNI 0000000405133830, GRID grid.17100.37, Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, ; Devon, EX1 3PB UK
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5046-9163
                Article
                21244
                10.1038/s41598-018-21244-w
                5809490
                29434329
                ebee6f5f-c2d3-4662-b197-87ffbb044db6
                © The Author(s) 2018

                Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

                History
                : 23 May 2017
                : 1 February 2018
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