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      RefDNN: a reference drug based neural network for more accurate prediction of anticancer drug resistance

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          Abstract

          Cancer is one of the most difficult diseases to treat owing to the drug resistance of tumour cells. Recent studies have revealed that drug responses are closely associated with genomic alterations in cancer cells. Numerous state-of-the-art machine learning models have been developed for prediction of drug responses using various genomic data and diverse drug molecular information, but those methods are ineffective to predict drug response to untrained drugs and gene expression patterns, which is known as the cold-start problem. In this study, we present a novel deep neural network model, termed RefDNN, for improved prediction of drug resistance and identification of biomarkers related to drug response. RefDNN exploits a collection of drugs, called reference drugs, to learn representations for a high-dimensional gene expression vector and a molecular structure vector of a drug and predicts drug response labels using the reference drug-based representations. These calculations come from the observation that similar chemicals have similar effects. The proposed model not only outperformed existing computational prediction models in most comparative experiments, but also showed more robust prediction for untrained drugs and cancer types than traditional machine learning models. RefDNN exploits the ElasticNet regularization to deal with high-dimensional gene expression data, which allows identification of gene markers associated with drug resistance. Lastly, we described an application of RefDNN in exploring a new candidate drug for liver cancer. As the proposed model can guarantee good prediction of drug responses to untrained drugs for given gene expression patterns, it may be of potential benefit in drug repositioning and personalized medicine.

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          A community effort to assess and improve drug sensitivity prediction algorithms.

          Predicting the best treatment strategy from genomic information is a core goal of precision medicine. Here we focus on predicting drug response based on a cohort of genomic, epigenomic and proteomic profiling data sets measured in human breast cancer cell lines. Through a collaborative effort between the National Cancer Institute (NCI) and the Dialogue on Reverse Engineering Assessment and Methods (DREAM) project, we analyzed a total of 44 drug sensitivity prediction algorithms. The top-performing approaches modeled nonlinear relationships and incorporated biological pathway information. We found that gene expression microarrays consistently provided the best predictive power of the individual profiling data sets; however, performance was increased by including multiple, independent data sets. We discuss the innovations underlying the top-performing methodology, Bayesian multitask MKL, and we provide detailed descriptions of all methods. This study establishes benchmarks for drug sensitivity prediction and identifies approaches that can be leveraged for the development of new methods.
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            Effect of everolimus on survival in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma after failure of sorafenib: the EVOLVE-1 randomized clinical trial.

            Aside from the multikinase inhibitor sorafenib, there are no effective systemic therapies for the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. To assess the efficacy of everolimus in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma for whom sorafenib treatment failed. EVOLVE-1 was a randomized, double-blind, phase 3 study conducted among 546 adults with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B or C hepatocellular carcinoma and Child-Pugh A liver function whose disease progressed during or after sorafenib or who were intolerant of sorafenib. Patients were enrolled from 17 countries between May 2010 and March 2012. Randomization was stratified by region (Asia vs rest of world) and macrovascular invasion (present vs absent). Everolimus, 7.5 mg/d, or matching placebo, both given in combination with best supportive care and continued until disease progression or intolerable toxicity. Per the 2:1 randomization scheme, 362 patients were randomized to the everolimus group and 184 patients to the placebo group. The primary end point was overall survival. Secondary end points included time to progression and the disease control rate (the percentage of patients with a best overall response of complete or partial response or stable disease). No significant difference in overall survival was seen between treatment groups, with 303 deaths (83.7%) in the everolimus group and 151 deaths (82.1%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio [HR], 1.05; 95% CI, 0.86-1.27; P = .68; median overall survival, 7.6 months with everolimus, 7.3 months with placebo). Median time to progression with everolimus and placebo was 3.0 months and 2.6 months, respectively (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.75-1.15), and disease control rate was 56.1% and 45.1%, respectively (P = .01). The most common grade 3/4 adverse events for everolimus vs placebo were anemia (7.8% vs 3.3%, respectively), asthenia (7.8% vs 5.5%, respectively), and decreased appetite (6.1% vs 0.5%, respectively). No patients experienced hepatitis C viral flare. Based on central laboratory results, hepatitis B viral reactivation was experienced by 39 patients (29 everolimus, 10 placebo); all cases were asymptomatic, but 3 everolimus recipients discontinued therapy. Everolimus did not improve overall survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma whose disease progressed during or after receiving sorafenib or who were intolerant of sorafenib. clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01035229.
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              Cross-validation pitfalls when selecting and assessing regression and classification models

              Background We address the problem of selecting and assessing classification and regression models using cross-validation. Current state-of-the-art methods can yield models with high variance, rendering them unsuitable for a number of practical applications including QSAR. In this paper we describe and evaluate best practices which improve reliability and increase confidence in selected models. A key operational component of the proposed methods is cloud computing which enables routine use of previously infeasible approaches. Methods We describe in detail an algorithm for repeated grid-search V-fold cross-validation for parameter tuning in classification and regression, and we define a repeated nested cross-validation algorithm for model assessment. As regards variable selection and parameter tuning we define two algorithms (repeated grid-search cross-validation and double cross-validation), and provide arguments for using the repeated grid-search in the general case. Results We show results of our algorithms on seven QSAR datasets. The variation of the prediction performance, which is the result of choosing different splits of the dataset in V-fold cross-validation, needs to be taken into account when selecting and assessing classification and regression models. Conclusions We demonstrate the importance of repeating cross-validation when selecting an optimal model, as well as the importance of repeating nested cross-validation when assessing a prediction error.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                sanghyun@yonsei.ac.kr
                jgahn@inu.ac.kr
                Journal
                Sci Rep
                Sci Rep
                Scientific Reports
                Nature Publishing Group UK (London )
                2045-2322
                5 February 2020
                5 February 2020
                2020
                : 10
                : 1861
                Affiliations
                [1 ]ISNI 0000 0004 0470 5454, GRID grid.15444.30, Department of Computer Science, , Yonsei University, ; Seoul, South Korea
                [2 ]ISNI 0000 0004 0532 7395, GRID grid.412977.e, Department of Computer Science & Engineering, , Incheon National University, ; Incheon, South Korea
                Article
                58821
                10.1038/s41598-020-58821-x
                7002431
                32024872
                f859c79a-1cb0-4449-81a7-a1faa61403b2
                © The Author(s) 2020

                Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

                History
                : 7 April 2019
                : 20 January 2020
                Funding
                Funded by: FundRef https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003725, National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF);
                Award ID: NRF-2016R1D1A1B03934135
                Award ID: NRF-2019R1A2C3005212
                Award Recipient :
                Categories
                Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2020

                Uncategorized
                computational models,machine learning,virtual drug screening
                Uncategorized
                computational models, machine learning, virtual drug screening

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