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      Observational analytic studies in multiple sclerosis: controlling bias through study design and conduct. The Australian Multicentre Study of Environment and Immune Function

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          Abstract

          Rising multiple sclerosis incidence over the last 50 years and geographic patterns of occurrence suggest an environmental role in the causation of this multifactorial disease. Design options for epidemiological studies of environmental causes of multiple sclerosis are limited by the low incidence of the disease, possible diagnostic delay and budgetary constraints. We describe scientific and methodological issues considered in the development of the Australian Multicentre Study of Environment and Immune Function (the Ausimmune Study), which seeks, in particular, to better understand the causes of the well-known MS positive latitudinal gradient. A multicentre, case-control design down the eastern seaboard of Australia allows the recruitment of sufficient cases for adequate study power and provides data on environmental exposures that vary by latitude. Cases are persons with an incident first demyelinating event (rather than prevalent multiple sclerosis), sourced from a population base using a two tier notification system. Controls, matched on sex, age (within two years) and region of residence, are recruited from the general population. Biases common in case-control studies, eg, prevalence-incidence bias, admission-rate bias, non-respondent bias, observer bias and recall bias, as well as confounding have been carefully considered in the study design and conduct of the Ausimmune Study. Multiple Sclerosis 2007; 13 : 827—839. http://msj.sagepub.com

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          Most cited references35

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          Bias in analytic research

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            Physical activity and multiple sclerosis: a meta-analysis.

            Using meta-analytic procedures, this study involved a quantitative synthesis of the difference in physical activity among individuals with multiple sclerosis (MS) compared with nondiseased and diseased populations and then examined factors (i.e., moderators) that explain variation in the overall difference in physical activity. We searched MEDLINE, PsycINFO and Current Contents Plus using the key words physical activity, exercise and physical fitness in conjunction with multiple sclerosis; conducted a manual search of bibliographies of the retrieved papers; and contacted study authors about additional studies. Overall, 53 effects were retrieved from 13 studies with 2360 MS participants and yielded a weighted mean effect size (ES) of -0.60 (95% CI = -0.44, -0.77). The weighted mean ES was heterogenous, Q = 1164.11, df = 52, P < 0.0001. There were larger effects with objective versus self-report measures of physical activity, nondiseased versus diseased populations and primary progressive versus relapsing remitting MS. The cumulative evidence suggests that individuals with MS are less physically active than nondiseased, but not diseased, populations.
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              Past exposure to sun, skin phenotype, and risk of multiple sclerosis: case-control study.

              To examine whether past high sun exposure is associated with a reduced risk of multiple sclerosis. Population based case-control study. Tasmania, latitudes 41-3 degrees S. 136 cases with multiple sclerosis and 272 controls randomly drawn from the community and matched on sex and year of birth. Multiple sclerosis defined by both clinical and magnetic resonance imaging criteria. Higher sun exposure when aged 6-15 years (average 2-3 hours or more a day in summer during weekends and holidays) was associated with a decreased risk of multiple sclerosis (adjusted odds ratio 0.31, 95% confidence interval 0.16 to 0.59). Higher exposure in winter seemed more important than higher exposure in summer. Greater actinic damage was also independently associated with a decreased risk of multiple sclerosis (0.32, 0.11 to 0.88 for grades 4-6 disease). A dose-response relation was observed between multiple sclerosis and decreasing sun exposure when aged 6-15 years and with actinic damage. Higher sun exposure during childhood and early adolescence is associated with a reduced risk of multiple sclerosis. Insufficient ultraviolet radiation may therefore influence the development of multiple sclerosis.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Multiple Sclerosis Journal
                Mult Scler
                SAGE Publications
                1352-4585
                1477-0970
                August 2007
                September 19 2007
                August 2007
                : 13
                : 7
                : 827-839
                Affiliations
                [1 ]National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, The Australian National University,
                [2 ]Murdoch Childrens Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia
                [3 ]National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, The Australian National University
                [4 ]Menzies Research Institute, Hobart, Australia
                [5 ]Barwon Health, Geelong, Australia
                [6 ]Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital and The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
                [7 ]Centre for Neuroscience, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
                [8 ]Otago University, Christchurch, New Zealand
                [9 ]Queensland Institute of Medical Research, Brisbane, Australia
                [10 ]John Hunter Hospital, University of Newcastle, Newcastle, Australia
                Article
                10.1177/1352458507077174
                17881396
                4e77e397-8de5-427a-8523-53205e79694b
                © 2007

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