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      Increased Land Use by Chukchi Sea Polar Bears in Relation to Changing Sea Ice Conditions

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          Abstract

          Recent observations suggest that polar bears ( Ursus maritimus) are increasingly using land habitats in some parts of their range, where they have minimal access to their preferred prey, likely in response to loss of their sea ice habitat associated with climatic warming. We used location data from female polar bears fit with satellite radio collars to compare land use patterns in the Chukchi Sea between two periods (1986–1995 and 2008–2013) when substantial summer sea-ice loss occurred. In both time periods, polar bears predominantly occupied sea-ice, although land was used during the summer sea-ice retreat and during the winter for maternal denning. However, the proportion of bears on land for > 7 days between August and October increased between the two periods from 20.0% to 38.9%, and the average duration on land increased by 30 days. The majority of bears that used land in the summer and for denning came to Wrangel and Herald Islands (Russia), highlighting the importance of these northernmost land habitats to Chukchi Sea polar bears. Where bears summered and denned, and how long they spent there, was related to the timing and duration of sea ice retreat. Our results are consistent with other studies supporting increased land use as a common response of polar bears to sea-ice loss. Implications of increased land use for Chukchi Sea polar bears are unclear, because a recent study observed no change in body condition or reproductive indices between the two periods considered here. This result suggests that the ecology of this region may provide a degree of resilience to sea ice loss. However, projections of continued sea ice loss suggest that polar bears in the Chukchi Sea and other parts of the Arctic may increasingly use land habitats in the future, which has the potential to increase nutritional stress and human-polar bear interactions.

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          Continuous-time correlated random walk model for animal telemetry data.

          We propose a continuous-time version of the correlated random walk model for animal telemetry data. The continuous-time formulation allows data that have been nonuniformly collected over time to be modeled without subsampling, interpolation, or aggregation to obtain a set of locations uniformly spaced in time. The model is derived from a continuous-time Ornstein-Uhlenbeck velocity process that is integrated to form a location process. The continuous-time model was placed into a state-space framework to allow parameter estimation and location predictions from observed animal locations. Two previously unpublished marine mammal telemetry data sets were analyzed to illustrate use of the model, by-products available from the analysis, and different modifications which are possible. A harbor seal data set was analyzed with a model that incorporates the proportion of each hour spent on land. Also, a northern fur seal pup data set was analyzed with a random drift component to account for directed travel and ocean currents.
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            Footprints of climate change in the Arctic marine ecosystem

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              Long-term Trends in the Population Ecology of Polar Bears in Western Hudson Bay in Relation to Climatic Change

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS One
                PLoS ONE
                plos
                plosone
                PLoS ONE
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, CA USA )
                1932-6203
                18 November 2015
                2015
                : 10
                : 11
                : e0142213
                Affiliations
                [1 ]U.S. Geological Survey, Alaska Science Center, 4210 University Drive, Anchorage, Alaska, 99508, United States of America
                [2 ]United States Fish and Wildlife Service, Marine Mammals Management, 1011 E Tudor Road, Anchorage, Alaska, 99503, United States of America
                [3 ]U.S. Geological Survey, Alaska Science Center, 250 Egan Drive, Juneau, Alaska, 99801, United States of America
                [4 ]Brigham Young University, Plant and Wildlife Sciences, 5049 LSB, Provo, Utah, 84602, United States of America
                Sonoma State University, UNITED STATES
                Author notes

                Competing Interests: Teck Alaska Inc provided in-kind support for the study including use of their facilities as a base for field operations. This in-kind support does not alter the authors' adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.

                Conceived and designed the experiments: KDR EVR RRW MSM. Performed the experiments: KDR RRW MSM EVR. Analyzed the data: KDR RRW MSM JO DCD. Wrote the paper: KDR RRW DCD EVR.

                Article
                PONE-D-15-36598
                10.1371/journal.pone.0142213
                4651550
                26580809
                6077a843-e443-4a9f-a31a-beedf7380009

                This is an open access article, free of all copyright, and may be freely reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, built upon, or otherwise used by anyone for any lawful purpose. The work is made available under the Creative Commons CC0 public domain dedication

                History
                : 19 August 2015
                : 19 October 2015
                Page count
                Figures: 6, Tables: 1, Pages: 18
                Funding
                Funding for this study was provided by the USFWS Marine Mammals Management, USGS Changing Arctic Ecosystem Initiative, the Detroit Zoological Association and the State of Alaska Coastal Impact Assessment Program. Only the USFWS and USGS contributed to study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish and preparation of the manuscript. In-kind support was received from Teck Alaska, Inc.
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                Location data collected from Chukchi Sea female polar bears 1986-1995 are available at doi: 10.5066/F7X34VHM and 2008-2013 at doi: 10.5061/dryad.n5509.

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