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      Effect of primaquine dose on the risk of recurrence in patients with uncomplicated Plasmodium vivax: a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis

      research-article
      , FRACP a , b , c , * , * , , PhD d , * , , MBiostat d , f , , MPH g , , PhD h , k , , Prof, PhD l , m , , PhD a , n , o , , MD m , p , , Prof, PhD q , , MD r , , PhD t , , PhD a , o , , MD u , v , , PhD w , , Prof, PhD x , y , z , , PhD s , aa , , MSc ab , , Prof, PhD ac , , PhD e , i , ad , , PhD ae , af , , PhD ag , , Prof, DPhil h , , PhD j , ah , , Prof, PhD ai , , FRCP h , m , , PhD aj , , PhD a , , PhD ak , , DPhil m , al , am , , PhD an , ao , , FRS h , m , , Prof, MD m , am , ap , , Prof, PhD b , d , , Prof, FRCP a , b , m , WorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network (WWARN) Vivax Primaquine Dosing Efficacy, Tolerability and Safety Study Group
      The Lancet. Infectious Diseases
      Elsevier Science ;, The Lancet Pub. Group

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          Summary

          Background

          Primaquine is used to eliminate Plasmodium vivax hypnozoites, but its optimal dosing regimen remains unclear. We undertook a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis to investigate the efficacy and tolerability of different primaquine dosing regimens to prevent P vivax recurrence.

          Methods

          For this systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Central for prospective clinical studies of uncomplicated P vivax from endemic countries published between Jan 1, 2000, and June 8, 2023. We included studies if they had active follow-up of at least 28 days, and if they included a treatment group with daily primaquine given over multiple days, where primaquine was commenced within 7 days of schizontocidal treatment and was given alone or coadministered with chloroquine or one of four artemisinin-based combination therapies (ie, artemether–lumefantrine, artesunate–mefloquine, artesunate–amodiaquine, or dihydroartemisinin–piperaquine). We excluded studies if they were on prevention, prophylaxis, or patients with severe malaria, or if data were extracted retrospectively from medical records outside of a planned trial. For the meta-analysis, we contacted the investigators of eligible trials to request individual patient data and we then pooled data that were made available by Aug 23, 2021. We assessed the effects of total dose and duration of primaquine regimens on the rate of first P vivax recurrence between day 7 and day 180 by Cox's proportional hazards regression (efficacy analysis). The effect of primaquine daily dose on gastrointestinal symptoms on days 5–7 was assessed by modified Poisson regression (tolerability analysis). The study was registered with PROSPERO, CRD42019154470.

          Findings

          Of 226 identified studies, 23 studies with patient-level data from 6879 patients from 16 countries were included in the efficacy analysis. At day 180, the risk of recurrence was 51·0% (95% CI 48·2–53·9) in 1470 patients treated without primaquine, 19·3% (16·9–21·9) in 2569 patients treated with a low total dose of primaquine (approximately 3·5 mg/kg), and 8·1% (7·0–9·4) in 2811 patients treated with a high total dose of primaquine (approximately 7 mg/kg), regardless of primaquine treatment duration. Compared with treatment without primaquine, the rate of P vivax recurrence was lower after treatment with low-dose primaquine (adjusted hazard ratio 0·21, 95% CI 0·17–0·27; p<0·0001) and high-dose primaquine (0·10, 0·08–0·12; p<0·0001). High-dose primaquine had greater efficacy than low-dose primaquine in regions with high and low relapse periodicity (ie, the time from initial infection to vivax relapse). 16 studies with patient-level data from 5609 patients from ten countries were included in the tolerability analysis. Gastrointestinal symptoms on days 5–7 were reported by 4·0% (95% CI 0·0–8·7) of 893 patients treated without primaquine, 6·2% (0·5–12·0) of 737 patients treated with a low daily dose of primaquine (approximately 0·25 mg/kg per day), 5·9% (1·8–10·1) of 1123 patients treated with an intermediate daily dose (approximately 0·5 mg/kg per day) and 10·9% (5·7–16·1) of 1178 patients treated with a high daily dose (approximately 1 mg/kg per day). 20 of 23 studies included in the efficacy analysis and 15 of 16 in the tolerability analysis had a low or unclear risk of bias.

          Interpretation

          Increasing the total dose of primaquine from 3·5 mg/kg to 7 mg/kg can reduce P vivax recurrences by more than 50% in most endemic regions, with a small associated increase in gastrointestinal symptoms.

          Funding

          Australian National Health and Medical Research Council, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and Medicines for Malaria Venture.

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          Most cited references54

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          Determinants of relapse periodicity in Plasmodium vivax malaria

          Plasmodium vivax is a major cause of febrile illness in endemic areas of Asia, Central and South America, and the horn of Africa. Plasmodium vivax infections are characterized by relapses of malaria arising from persistent liver stages of the parasite (hypnozoites) which can be prevented only by 8-aminoquinoline anti-malarials. Tropical P. vivax relapses at three week intervals if rapidly eliminated anti-malarials are given for treatment, whereas in temperate regions and parts of the sub-tropics P. vivax infections are characterized either by a long incubation or a long-latency period between illness and relapse - in both cases approximating 8-10 months. The epidemiology of the different relapse phenotypes has not been defined adequately despite obvious relevance to malaria control and elimination. The number of sporozoites inoculated by the anopheline mosquito is an important determinant of both the timing and the number of relapses. The intervals between relapses display a remarkable periodicity which has not been explained. Evidence is presented that the proportion of patients who have successive relapses is relatively constant and that the factor which activates hypnozoites and leads to regular interval relapse in vivax malaria is the systemic febrile illness itself. It is proposed that in endemic areas a large proportion of the population harbours latent hypnozoites which can be activated by a systemic illness such as vivax or falciparum malaria. This explains the high rates of vivax following falciparum malaria, the high proportion of heterologous genotypes in relapses, the higher rates of relapse in people living in endemic areas compared with artificial infection studies, and, by facilitating recombination between different genotypes, contributes to P. vivax genetic diversity particularly in low transmission settings. Long-latency P. vivax phenotypes may be more widespread and more prevalent than currently thought. These observations have important implications for the assessment of radical treatment efficacy and for malaria control and elimination.
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            Mapping the global endemicity and clinical burden of Plasmodium vivax, 2000–17: a spatial and temporal modelling study

            Summary Background Plasmodium vivax exacts a significant toll on health worldwide, yet few efforts to date have quantified the extent and temporal trends of its global distribution. Given the challenges associated with the proper diagnosis and treatment of P vivax, national malaria programmes—particularly those pursuing malaria elimination strategies—require up to date assessments of P vivax endemicity and disease impact. This study presents the first global maps of P vivax clinical burden from 2000 to 2017. Methods In this spatial and temporal modelling study, we adjusted routine malariometric surveillance data for known biases and used socioeconomic indicators to generate time series of the clinical burden of P vivax. These data informed Bayesian geospatial models, which produced fine-scale predictions of P vivax clinical incidence and infection prevalence over time. Within sub-Saharan Africa, where routine surveillance for P vivax is not standard practice, we combined predicted surfaces of Plasmodium falciparum with country-specific ratios of P vivax to P falciparum. These results were combined with surveillance-based outputs outside of Africa to generate global maps. Findings We present the first high-resolution maps of P vivax burden. These results are combined with those for P falciparum (published separately) to form the malaria estimates for the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study. The burden of P vivax malaria decreased by 41·6%, from 24·5 million cases (95% uncertainty interval 22·5–27·0) in 2000 to 14·3 million cases (13·7–15·0) in 2017. The Americas had a reduction of 56·8% (47·6–67·0) in total cases since 2000, while South-East Asia recorded declines of 50·5% (50·3–50·6) and the Western Pacific regions recorded declines of 51·3% (48·0–55·4). Europe achieved zero P vivax cases during the study period. Nonetheless, rates of decline have stalled in the past five years for many countries, with particular increases noted in regions affected by political and economic instability. Interpretation Our study highlights important spatial and temporal patterns in the clinical burden and prevalence of P vivax. Amid substantial progress worldwide, plateauing gains and areas of increased burden signal the potential for challenges that are greater than expected on the road to malaria elimination. These results support global monitoring systems and can inform the optimisation of diagnosis and treatment where P vivax has most impact. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the Wellcome Trust.
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              Geographical variation in Plasmodium vivax relapse

              Background Plasmodium vivax has the widest geographic distribution of the human malaria parasites and nearly 2.5 billion people live at risk of infection. The control of P. vivax in individuals and populations is complicated by its ability to relapse weeks to months after initial infection. Strains of P. vivax from different geographical areas are thought to exhibit varied relapse timings. In tropical regions strains relapse quickly (three to six weeks), whereas those in temperate regions do so more slowly (six to twelve months), but no comprehensive assessment of evidence has been conducted. Here observed patterns of relapse periodicity are used to generate predictions of relapse incidence within geographic regions representative of varying parasite transmission. Methods A global review of reports of P. vivax relapse in patients not treated with a radical cure was conducted. Records of time to first P. vivax relapse were positioned by geographic origin relative to expert opinion regions of relapse behaviour and epidemiological zones. Mixed-effects meta-analysis was conducted to determine which geographic classification best described the data, such that a description of the pattern of relapse periodicity within each region could be described. Model outputs of incidence and mean time to relapse were mapped to illustrate the global variation in relapse. Results Differences in relapse periodicity were best described by a historical geographic classification system used to describe malaria transmission zones based on areas sharing zoological and ecological features. Maps of incidence and time to relapse showed high relapse frequency to be predominant in tropical regions and prolonged relapse in temperate areas. Conclusions The results indicate that relapse periodicity varies systematically by geographic region and are categorized by nine global regions characterized by similar malaria transmission dynamics. This indicates that relapse may be an adaptation evolved to exploit seasonal changes in vector survival and therefore optimize transmission. Geographic patterns in P. vivax relapse are important to clinicians treating individual infections, epidemiologists trying to infer P. vivax burden, and public health officials trying to control and eliminate the disease in human populations.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Lancet Infect Dis
                Lancet Infect Dis
                The Lancet. Infectious Diseases
                Elsevier Science ;, The Lancet Pub. Group
                1473-3099
                1474-4457
                1 February 2024
                February 2024
                : 24
                : 2
                : 172-183
                Affiliations
                [a ]Global Health Division, Menzies School of Health Research and Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT, Australia
                [b ]WorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network (WWARN), Asia-Pacific Regional Centre, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
                [c ]General and Subspecialty Medicine, Grampians Health—Ballarat, Ballarat, VIC, Australia
                [d ]Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
                [e ]Department of Medical Biology, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
                [f ]Department of Infectious Diseases, The University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
                [g ]ICAP, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
                [h ]Mahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit (MORU), Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
                [i ]Mahidol Vivax Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
                [j ]Department of Clinical Tropical Medicine, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
                [k ]Nangarhar Medical Faculty, Nangarhar University, Jalalabad, Afghanistan
                [l ]Oxford University Clinical Research Unit Indonesia, Faculty of Medicine Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia
                [m ]Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
                [n ]QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
                [o ]Infectious Diseases Society Sabah-Menzies School of Health Research Clinical Research Unit, Kota Kinabalu, Malaysia
                [p ]Shoklo Malaria Research Unit, MORU, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Mae Sot, Thailand
                [q ]Department of Internal Medicine, Morsani College of Medicine, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USA
                [r ]Fiocruz Clinical Research Platform and Vice‑presidency of Research and Biological Collections, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
                [s ]Laboratory of Parasitic Diseases, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
                [t ]Regional Centre for Public Health Research, National Institute for Public Health, Tapachula, Mexico
                [u ]US President's Malaria Initiative, Malaria Branch, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
                [v ]Institute for Global Health Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
                [w ]Department of Medicine-Western Health, Melbourne Medical School, The University of Melbourne, St Albans, VIC, Australia
                [x ]Fundação de Medicina Tropical Dr Heitor Vieira Dourado, Manaus, Brazil
                [y ]Instituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz, Manaus, Brazil
                [z ]University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX, USA
                [aa ]Global Health and Tropical Medicine, Institute of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal
                [ab ]Department of Pharmacology and Therapy, Faculty of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, Universitas Nusa Cendana, Kupang, Indonesia
                [ac ]Unit of Leishmaniasis and Malaria, Instituto de Medicina Tropical Alexander von Humboldt, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
                [ad ]Population Health and Immunity Division, Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
                [ae ]Centro de Pesquisa em Medicina Tropical de Rondônia (CEPEM), Porto Velho, Brazil
                [af ]Fundação Universidade Federal de Rondônia (UNIR), Porto Velho, Brazil
                [ag ]Department of Pediatrics, Medical Faculty, Universitas Sumatera Utara, Medan, Indonesia
                [ah ]Central Department of Microbiology, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Nepal
                [ai ]Department of Parasitology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia
                [aj ]National Institute of Malariology, Parasitology and Entomology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
                [ak ]Federal University of Pará (Universidade Federal do Pará - UFPA), Belém, Brazil
                [al ]Oxford University Clinical Research Unit, Hospital for Tropical Diseases, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam
                [am ]WWARN, Oxford, UK
                [an ]Grupo Malaria, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia
                [ao ]Facultad Nacional de Salud Publica, Universidad de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia
                [ap ]Infectious Diseases Data Observatory (IDDO), Oxford, UK
                Author notes
                [* ]Correspondence to: Dr Robert J Commons, Global Health Division, Menzies School of Health Research and Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT 0810, Australia robert.commons@ 123456gmail.com
                [*]

                Contributed equally

                [†]

                Members listed at the end of the Article

                Article
                S1473-3099(23)00430-9
                10.1016/S1473-3099(23)00430-9
                7615564
                37748496
                b371b12b-d586-48bf-9c41-cbf87e9835cb
                © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license

                This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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