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      Global, regional, and national levels and trends in under-5 mortality between 1990 and 2015, with scenario-based projections to 2030: a systematic analysis by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation.

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          Abstract

          In 2000, world leaders agreed on the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). MDG 4 called for a two-thirds reduction in the under-5 mortality rate between 1990 and 2015. We aimed to estimate levels and trends in under-5 mortality for 195 countries from 1990 to 2015 to assess MDG 4 achievement and then intended to project how various post-2015 targets and observed rates of change will affect the burden of under-5 deaths from 2016 to 2030.

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          Author and article information

          Journal
          Lancet
          Lancet (London, England)
          1474-547X
          0140-6736
          Dec 5 2015
          : 386
          : 10010
          Affiliations
          [1 ] Division of Data, Research, and Policy, UNICEF, New York, NY, USA. Electronic address: dyou@unicef.org.
          [2 ] Division of Data, Research, and Policy, UNICEF, New York, NY, USA.
          [3 ] WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.
          [4 ] United Nations Population Division, New York, NY, USA.
          [5 ] University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.
          [6 ] Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA, USA.
          Article
          S0140-6736(15)00120-8
          10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00120-8
          26361942
          f12adfb2-9362-4e82-9b21-1550662f5514
          Copyright © 2015 World Health Organization. Published by Elsevier Ltd/Inc/BV. All rights reserved. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.

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