This article criticizes the view that the financial sector crisis of 2008 was the primary cause of the real sector crisis. It argues that the real sector economic crisis in the US can be understood as a crisis of over-investment. The over-investment crisis tendency is explained and a method of empirically identifying an over-investment crisis is proposed. The article analyzes the decline in the rate of profit in the US prior to the crisis, from 2004 to 2007, and the movements of the determinants of the rate of profit during that period, to show which underlying factors led to the profit rate decline. The article also examines the components of aggregate demand for the period 2001-10. The results of the analysis suggest that this crisis should be considered as a case of asset-bubble induced over-investment, which both depressed the rate of profit and eventually caused a sharp fall in aggregate demand.
Brenner (2002)
Kotz 2009b
Weisskopf (1979)
Kotz (2009b) Kotz (2009b)