Prognostic value of preoperative combined with postoperative systemic immune-inflammation index for disease-free survival after radical rectal cancer surgery: a retrospective cohort study

Abstract

Background

Colorectal cancer (CRC) ranks highly in malignant tumor incidence and mortality rates, severely affecting human health. The predictive value of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in CRC prognosis is gaining attention, but there is limited research on the combined preoperative and postoperative SII. This study aims to explore the prognostic value of combined SII on disease-free survival (DFS) in patients undergoing radical surgery for rectal cancer.

Methods

We enrolled 292 patients with rectal cancer who underwent radical resection at the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from May 2018 to September 2020, along with regular follow-ups to document the DFS. Patients’ complete blood cell counts were assessed before surgery and between 21–56 days postoperatively. Calculating preoperative and postoperative SII, patients were categorized into four groups based on the optimal cutoff values: (I) low-low group (preoperative SII <449.325 and postoperative SII <568.13); (II) high-low group (preoperative SII ≥449.325 and postoperative SII <568.13); (III) low-high group (preoperative SII <449.325 and postoperative SII ≥568.13); and (IV) high-high group (preoperative SII ≥449.325 and postoperative SII ≥568.13). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis evaluated the prediction efficacy of preoperative, postoperative, and combined SII. Kaplan-Meier analysis generated DFS curves, and Cox regression analysis determined prognostic factors.

Results

With a median follow-up of 41 months, 65.4% (191/292) patients reached DFS. The clinical pathological features between the four groups are balanced and comparable (P>0.05). The area under the ROC curve for preoperative, postoperative, and combined SII was 0.668 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.6–0.737], 0.696 (95%CI: 0.63–0.763), and 0.741 (95% CI: 0.681–0.802), respectively. After adjusting for confounding factors such as adjuvant therapy, differentiation, vascular invasion, neural invasion, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), significant differences were observed between the high-low group [hazard ratio (HR) =2.403; 95% CI: 1.255–4.602; P=0.008], low-high group (HR =5.058; 95% CI: 2.389–10.71; P<0.001), and high-high group (HR =6.214; 95% CI: 3.474–11.115; P<0.001) compared to the low-low group, with higher risks of adverse outcomes.

Conclusions

Combined SII has better predictive efficacy than monitoring preoperative or postoperative SII alone in rectal cancer patients undergoing radical surgery.